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La Rochelle vs Orleans Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#20
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game83.3
FrancePro BRound 12· Salle Gaston Neveur
Other2026-27
Meetings · La Rochelle v Orleans
04 Dec 2026
LRO v ORL
upcoming
21 Apr 2026
LRO84
ORL77
22 Mar 2024
LRO76
ORL64
28 Mar 2023
LRO88
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Orleans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#16
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/05
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
89-107
89
107
-18
A19/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#17
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#13
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
89-102
89
102
-13
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A30/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
27-13
22-18
26-24
22-30
18-25
21-31
28-21
22-19
19-22
15-24
13-25
33-20
18-23
29-23
15-22
19-21
21-33
25-23
32-26
23-30
21-18
22-22
15-14
25-35
17-17
22-25
25-25
25-24
22-25
7-20
21-7
15-19
27-18
25-27
12-21
23-25
23-26
22-13
17-25
174.6Avg total
84.6Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.989.6175.4-3.714%
Season at home (3)85.085.7170.7-0.733%
Season away (4)86.592.5179.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)84.690.0174.6-5.420%
Last 5 (5)81.887.2169.0-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.986.8166.7-6.920%
vs Similar (16)83.682.9166.6+0.744%
vs Weaker (4)79.878.5158.2+1.275%
This opponent (Orleans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrleansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vichy
#7
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H24/05
Pro B
Vichy
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A27/05
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A03/06
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H06/06
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#4
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H26/09
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H03/10
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A09/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A16/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
80-103
80
103
-23
H20/10
Pro B
Levallois
#14
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A23/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
18-10
15-10
18-12
19-18
19-16
19-14
22-25
20-15
16-23
25-27
11-25
24-29
17-23
25-10
19-28
16-17
28-20
17-19
15-20
31-18
14-18
28-24
18-14
16-15
16-28
19-20
34-26
14-16
14-13
28-26
23-9
14-27
26-21
16-35
24-20
17-26
30-27
25-10
21-19
162.8Avg total
81.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.383.3168.7+2.050%
Season at home (3)85.088.3173.3-3.333%
Season away (3)85.778.3164.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)81.980.9162.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.682.4168.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
vs Similar (20)84.081.5165.6+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.677.3159.9+5.267%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
La RochelleOrleans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/05
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A19/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
Pro B
89.6Avg total
43.2Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.983.7+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.040.182.1+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.743.685.3-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.246.489.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.491.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.244.484.6-4.220%-
vs Similar (16)42.341.483.8+0.956%-
vs Weaker (4)44.237.281.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Orleans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrleansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vichy
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/05
Pro B
Vichy
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/05
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/06
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H06/06
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H26/09
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/10
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A16/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H20/10
Pro B
Levallois
#14
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A23/10
Pro B
79.3Avg total
38.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.780.6+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.585.2+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.975.9+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.479.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.880.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (20)40.439.880.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.339.682.9+3.878%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
53.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
74.0%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orleanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orleans: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.0
54.1%
53.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.5
30.5%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.717.6
74.3%
74.0%17.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
LLLLLLWLLW
Orleans
WLWLWLLLWW
#20
League position
#10
-7.0
Net rating
+1.7
93.8
Offensive rating
91.7
100.8
Defensive rating
90.0
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.1%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.5%
3-point %
30.5%
75.2%
Assist %
68.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 91.7Defence100.8 · 90.0Shooting53.4% · 50.1%3-point %36.5% · 30.5%Ball care15.6% · 17.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Orleans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
La Rochelle wins
2
Orleans wins
DateGameScore
21/04/26La Rochelle v Orleans84-77
19/12/25Orleans v La Rochelle91-61
22/03/24La Rochelle v Orleans76-64
26/01/24Orleans v La Rochelle58-74
28/03/23La Rochelle v Orleans88-106
17/12/22Orleans v La Rochelle80-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26APoitiers85-89
23/10/26HEvreux79-85
20/10/26ARouen75-76
16/10/26AAda Blois89-102
09/10/26HSt. Chamond81-84
02/10/26AHyeres-Toulon97-103
25/09/26HASA95-88
22/05/26HChalons-Reims69-90
19/05/26ANantes89-107
15/05/26HSt. Chamond87-76
Orleanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26ALevallois93-82
20/10/26HAda Blois80-103
16/10/26AHyeres-Toulon79-64
09/10/26AAntibes85-89
03/10/26HRouen91-74
26/09/26HChalons-Reims84-88 OT
06/06/26HPau-Orthez85-90
03/06/26APau-Orthez72-90
27/05/26AVichy79-73
24/05/26HVichy71-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game85.985.086.5
Allowed / game89.685.792.5
Point differential-3.7-0.7-6.0
Avg total175.4170.7179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orleans
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game85.385.085.7
Allowed / game83.388.378.3
Point differential+2.0-3.3+7.3
Avg total168.7173.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire76186%88.776.7+12.0
2 Antibes75271%87.181.7+5.4
3 Poitiers75271%86.081.0+5.0
4 Chalons-Reims75271%82.080.6+1.4
5 Quimper64267%79.372.2+7.2
6 Evreux74357%85.986.3-0.4
7 Nantes74357%81.982.7-0.9
8 Hyeres-Toulon74357%85.486.6-1.1
9 Ada Blois63350%92.788.3+4.3
10 Orleans63350%85.383.3+2.0
11 Vichy63350%87.288.0-0.8
12 Le Havre73443%90.787.1+3.6
13 St. Chamond73443%83.986.1-2.3
14 Levallois73443%82.184.6-2.4
15 Caen73443%85.688.7-3.1
16 Aix Maurienne73443%81.688.4-6.9
17 ASA72529%82.486.0-3.6
18 Rouen72529%83.788.9-5.1
19 Fos-sur-Mer72529%71.680.3-8.7
20 La Rochelle71614%85.989.6-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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