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Nantes vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 107-89
30-22 25-18 31-21 21-28
Position#6
Record22-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game82.5
Nantes 🏆
France
vs
Position#10
Record21-17
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.7
FrancePro BElite 2 - Semi-finals· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nantes v La Rochelle
22 Dec 2026
NANT v LRO
upcoming
19 May 2026
NANT107
LRO89
17 Oct 2025
NANT73
LRO81
03 Nov 2023
NANT60
LRO97
10 Jan 2023
NANT75
LRO61
20 Sep 2022
NANT57
LRO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#1
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H27/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A03/04
Pro B
Challans
#21
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H07/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
W
98-88
98
88
+10
A10/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
L
77-96
77
96
-19
H17/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A21/04
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A24/04
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H01/05
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
108-81
108
81
+27
H08/05
Pro B
Vichy
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A15/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
21-14
12-11
15-24
22-17
26-23
27-14
13-21
28-16
22-16
25-25
23-19
19-23
31-27
21-22
27-16
22-30
23-21
21-23
11-22
23-20
17-25
17-13
17-22
29-18
22-20
17-18
21-29
19-10
26-14
19-26
24-20
32-22
25-16
23-17
28-26
23-24
22-21
17-17
20-13
166.8Avg total
87.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)85.182.5167.6+2.658%
Season at home (19)84.880.2165.0+4.758%
Season away (19)85.484.9170.3+0.558%
Last 10 (10)87.079.8166.8+7.270%
Last 5 (5)88.278.2166.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.390.7162.0-19.30%
vs Similar (17)86.884.2170.9+2.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.279.0167.2+9.280%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H27/03
Pro B
Challans
#21
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A03/04
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H07/04
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
H10/04
Pro B
Caen
#17
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A17/04
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H21/04
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A24/04
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H30/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A09/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-27
22-20
20-20
15-11
18-28
26-22
24-15
15-15
27-26
15-16
23-26
23-19
27-31
22-21
16-27
24-18
20-28
15-10
33-18
20-19
19-25
20-22
25-11
24-13
12-16
15-19
19-25
16-15
28-22
20-24
17-19
16-21
14-28
24-17
13-20
12-21
27-13
22-18
26-24
162.1Avg total
81.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)79.279.7158.8-0.555%
Season at home (19)81.876.6158.4+5.268%
Season away (19)76.682.7159.3-6.142%
Last 10 (10)81.380.8162.1+0.550%
Last 5 (5)77.878.4156.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.482.4157.9-7.033%
vs Similar (16)83.582.3165.8+1.256%
vs Weaker (5)80.674.6155.2+6.080%
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
NantesLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A03/04
Pro B
Challans
#21
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A10/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H17/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/04
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A24/04
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H01/05
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H08/05
Pro B
Vichy
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A15/05
Pro B
87.2Avg total
47.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.186.6+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.238.782.8+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)43.046.589.5-3.524%-
Last 10 (10)47.240.087.2+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)47.638.085.6+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.347.387.7-7.033%-
vs Similar (17)44.144.188.2+0.041%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.440.183.5+3.350%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H27/03
Pro B
Challans
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A03/04
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/04
Pro B
Nantes
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H10/04
Pro B
Caen
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A17/04
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/04
Pro B
Vichy
#7
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A24/04
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H30/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A09/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/05
Pro B
81.0Avg total
39.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.181.0+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.038.679.6+2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.841.882.6-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.481.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.676.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.341.881.1-2.422%-
vs Similar (16)40.741.181.8-0.450%-
vs Weaker (5)44.433.678.0+10.880%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.8
57.4%
53.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.7
37.5%
32.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.517.3
70.6%
71.4%17.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.4
55.3%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.6
35.8%
32.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.516.7
77.7%
71.4%16.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
WWWWLLWWWL
La Rochelle
WLWLWWLLWL
#6
League position
#10
+8.9
Net rating
+1.6
101.8
Offensive rating
95.4
92.9
Defensive rating
93.7
56.9%
Effective FG%
54.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.5%
3-point %
35.8%
62.3%
Assist %
68.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 95.4Defence92.9 · 93.7Shooting56.9% · 54.7%3-point %37.5% · 35.8%Ball care15.5% · 16.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Nantes   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nantes wins
3
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26La Rochelle v Nantes88-98
17/10/25Nantes v La Rochelle73-81
03/05/24La Rochelle v Nantes75-76
03/11/23Nantes v La Rochelle60-97
31/01/23La Rochelle v Nantes59-65
10/01/23Nantes v La Rochelle75-61
20/09/22Nantes v La Rochelle57-68
11/09/15La Rochelle v Nantes48-85
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/26AVichy82-75
08/05/26HAntibes108-81
01/05/26HSt. Chamond88-70
24/04/26AEvreux89-85
21/04/26APoitiers74-80
17/04/26HAix Maurienne77-96
10/04/26ALa Rochelle98-88
07/04/26HChallans98-76
03/04/26AHyeres-Toulon88-75
27/03/26HRoanne68-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/26HSt. Chamond87-76
09/05/26AAda Blois67-86
30/04/26HEvreux81-80
24/04/26AVichy70-73
21/04/26HOrleans84-77
17/04/26ACaen92-74
10/04/26HNantes88-98
07/04/26HRouen80-83
03/04/26AChallans83-76
27/03/26HPau-Orthez81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLWLWW58%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %58%58%58%
Points / game85.184.885.4
Allowed / game82.580.284.9
Point differential+2.6+4.7+0.5
Avg total167.6165.0170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%42%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
La Rochelle
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLLWWW68%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %55%68%42%
Points / game79.281.876.6
Allowed / game79.776.682.7
Point differential-0.5+5.2-6.1
Avg total158.8158.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%37%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Roanne3831782%89.178.8+10.3
2 Pau-Orthez38261268%87.180.3+6.7
3 Orleans38241463%82.678.9+3.7
4 Poitiers38241463%84.181.0+3.0
5 Ada Blois38241463%82.679.8+2.8
6 Vichy38221658%80.476.9+3.5
7 Nantes38221658%85.182.5+2.6
8 Chalons-Reims39221756%81.080.2+0.8
9 La Rochelle38211755%79.279.7-0.5
10 Denain-Voltaire39211854%83.081.9+1.1
11 Hyeres-Toulon38191950%84.784.8-0.1
12 ASA38191950%83.183.3-0.2
13 Aix Maurienne37181949%85.585.7-0.2
14 Rouen38182047%82.683.8-1.3
15 Antibes38172145%81.982.9-1.0
16 St. Chamond38152339%82.882.7+0.1
17 Caen38132534%78.783.6-4.9
18 Evreux38112729%79.786.3-6.7
19 Quimper3792824%75.584.9-9.4
20 Challans3843411%77.688.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes30253121107
La Rochelle2218212889
← all games of the day
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