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La Rochelle vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:50
Final 81-85
21-18 18-27 22-20 20-20
Position#10
Record16-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.2
La Rochelle
France
vs
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
Position#2
Record18-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game81.1
FrancePro BRound 29· Salle Gaston Neveur
Other2025-26
Meetings · La Rochelle v Pau-Orthez
27 Mar 2026
LRO81
POR85
28 Nov 2023
LRO84
POR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Evreux
#19
L
70-77
70
77
-7
61avg 76
A16/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 76
H23/01
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
68avg 76
A30/01
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
63-78
63
78
-15
48avg 76
H06/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
89avg 76
A10/02
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
89-97
89
97
-8
84avg 76
A13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
85avg 76
H06/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
91-76
91
76
+15
98avg 76
A13/03
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 76
A17/03
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 76
H20/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
26-11
7-16
14-27
25-28
17-21
15-16
24-27
19-28
16-20
18-18
19-17
14-18
16-12
14-30
19-18
27-23
17-9
21-22
18-23
25-22
22-17
21-30
21-28
29-15
18-21
22-22
20-17
25-15
17-23
27-15
22-23
30-18
21-21
17-12
17-30
18-18
17-9
22-14
26-24
160.7Avg total
80.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.479.2157.7-0.857%
Season at home (13)81.073.6154.6+7.477%
Season away (15)76.284.1160.3-7.940%
Last 10 (10)80.680.1160.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)87.478.8166.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.482.4156.8-8.050%
vs Similar (16)81.681.5163.1+0.156%
vs Weaker (6)84.772.7157.3+12.083%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Roanne
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
88avg 89
H16/01
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
91-78
91
78
+13
90avg 89
A23/01
Pro B
Caen
#17
W
90-54
90
54
+36
94avg 89
H30/01
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
92avg 89
A06/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
80-83
80
83
-3
75avg 89
A13/02
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
97-77
97
77
+20
99avg 89
H17/02
Pro B
ASA
#12
W
95-78
95
78
+17
97avg 89
A06/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
92avg 89
H13/03
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 89
A17/03
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
97-81
97
81
+16
99avg 89
H21/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
29-23
13-24
28-22
31-17
28-20
8-21
24-20
24-8
23-16
25-19
18-11
22-18
22-17
20-19
21-25
8-21
31-24
15-14
26-24
33-18
20-27
18-19
26-13
23-18
14-31
29-14
29-15
24-29
26-19
19-27
24-16
12-21
20-19
26-17
26-25
27-26
22-17
19-8
29-30
169.6Avg total
90.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.181.1169.3+7.064%
Season at home (14)86.679.7166.4+6.964%
Season away (14)89.682.6172.2+7.164%
Last 10 (10)90.079.6169.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)93.281.8175.0+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.093.0181.0-5.00%
vs Similar (6)85.376.8162.2+8.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.782.1170.8+6.664%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
La RochellePau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#19
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A16/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H23/01
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A30/01
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H06/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/02
Pro B
ASA
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H06/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/03
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A17/03
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/03
Pro B
79.4Avg total
42.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.779.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.635.777.3+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.541.882.3-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.279.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.880.2+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.142.081.1-2.925%-
vs Similar (16)40.439.780.1+0.856%-
vs Weaker (6)45.231.877.0+13.3100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H16/01
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A23/01
Pro B
Caen
#17
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H30/01
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A06/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/02
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H17/02
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H13/03
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A17/03
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H21/03
Pro B
87.0Avg total
45.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.841.183.9+1.752%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.640.983.5+1.753%-
Last 30 away (14)43.041.484.4+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.387.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.089.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.047.094.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (6)45.038.583.5+6.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.041.683.6+0.450%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.7
51.7%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.5
37.3%
32.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.118.0
71.7%
71.4%18.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.423.2
62.0%
53.1%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.3
38.4%
32.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.616.3
69.1%
71.4%16.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
WWWWLWLLLL
Pau-Orthez
WWWWWLWWWL
#10
League position
#2
+1.6
Net rating
+12.4
93.7
Offensive rating
102.0
92.0
Defensive rating
89.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
60.3%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.38
37.3%
3-point %
38.4%
66.5%
Assist %
73.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 102.0Defence92.0 · 89.6Shooting53.3% · 60.3%3-point %37.3% · 38.4%Ball care16.4% · 18.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
La Rochelle wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Pau-Orthez v La Rochelle81-82
10/05/24Pau-Orthez v La Rochelle65-52
28/11/23La Rochelle v Pau-Orthez84-68
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26HAntibes83-65
17/03/26AQuimper85-81
13/03/26AChalons-Reims91-76
06/03/26HDenain-Voltaire89-75
13/02/26AASA89-97
10/02/26AHyeres-Toulon83-77
06/02/26HPoitiers63-78
30/01/26ARoanne72-83
23/01/26HAix Maurienne81-92
16/01/26AEvreux70-77
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HEvreux97-81
17/03/26AOrleans84-82
13/03/26HDenain-Voltaire93-91
06/03/26AASA95-78
17/02/26HNantes97-77
13/02/26AHyeres-Toulon80-83
06/02/26AQuimper85-79
30/01/26HCaen90-54
23/01/26ARouen91-78
16/01/26HRoanne88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWLLWW77%
AwayLWLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %57%77%40%
Points / game78.481.076.2
Allowed / game79.273.684.1
Point differential-0.8+7.4-7.9
Avg total157.7154.6160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%46%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game88.186.689.6
Allowed / game81.179.782.6
Point differential+7.0+6.9+7.1
Avg total169.3166.4172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%43%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)20% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Roanne2923679%89.079.8+9.1
2 Pau-Orthez28181064%88.181.1+7.0
3 Ada Blois28181064%82.980.2+2.7
4 Orleans27171063%80.977.9+3.0
5 Vichy29181162%81.277.1+4.1
6 Denain-Voltaire28171161%85.582.8+2.7
7 Poitiers29171259%83.380.1+3.2
8 La Rochelle28161257%78.479.2-0.8
9 Hyeres-Toulon29161355%85.484.7+0.7
10 ASA29161355%84.483.8+0.6
11 Nantes29151452%83.983.1+0.8
12 Chalons-Reims29151452%80.981.6-0.7
13 Aix Maurienne28141450%86.186.1+0.0
14 St. Chamond28131546%85.182.2+3.0
15 Antibes29131645%81.881.7+0.0
16 Rouen29111838%81.485.7-4.3
17 Evreux29101934%79.985.1-5.2
18 Caen2992031%77.983.2-5.3
19 Quimper2872125%75.085.4-10.4
20 Challans282267%75.886.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Rochelle2118222081
Pau-Orthez1827202085
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