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Pau-Orthez vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-52
9-12 18-11 11-16 27-13
Position#7
Record17-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game79.0
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
vs
La Rochelle
France
Position#1
Record27-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game70.5
FrancePro BRound 34· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v La Rochelle
27 Dec 2025
POR81
LRO82
10 May 2024
POR65
LRO52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Dijon
#1
L
58-90
58
90
-32
54avg 85
A16/03
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
L
62-70
62
70
-8
71avg 85
A22/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
98avg 85
A26/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
99avg 85
H29/03
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
88avg 85
A05/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
98avg 85
H09/04
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
79-76
79
76
+3
93avg 85
A12/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
105avg 85
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
67-85
67
85
-18
80avg 85
A28/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
90avg 85
A03/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
12-20
8-26
21-23
13-19
19-10
10-25
20-16
19-29
20-18
26-21
23-23
19-28
27-17
17-16
15-17
18-28
18-21
19-26
27-18
18-21
28-18
18-16
20-25
21-18
16-18
22-18
20-22
18-18
28-16
23-17
18-20
21-33
22-20
13-18
11-14
18-16
19-16
23-18
20-28
160.6Avg total
77.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.779.0158.7+0.752%
Season at home (16)81.877.2159.0+4.669%
Season away (17)77.780.6158.4-2.935%
Last 10 (10)77.882.8160.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)79.478.0157.4+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.389.0158.3-19.70%
vs Similar (20)78.077.3155.4+0.755%
vs Weaker (7)86.381.1167.4+5.157%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
87-73
87
73
+14
102avg 88
H15/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
76-64
76
64
+12
92avg 88
H22/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
77avg 88
A26/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
65-63
65
63
+2
76avg 88
H29/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
92avg 88
A05/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
89-64
89
64
+25
103avg 88
H09/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
94avg 88
A12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
104avg 88
H19/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
57-69
57
69
-12
62avg 88
A28/04
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
75-76
75
76
-1
87avg 88
H03/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
31-15
21-13
13-22
27-12
20-17
13-18
16-17
23-14
13-11
16-20
17-27
18-20
13-11
17-14
17-18
22-11
15-25
13-12
25-21
30-24
22-9
25-10
12-21
19-14
19-26
13-21
31-18
23-16
25-23
21-22
18-13
10-15
24-15
16-24
7-15
29-18
9-17
18-26
19-15
146.5Avg total
76.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.270.5149.7+8.782%
Season at home (17)82.169.5151.6+12.694%
Season away (16)76.171.6147.6+4.569%
Last 10 (10)76.270.3146.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)78.072.4150.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.067.5146.5+11.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)79.570.6150.1+8.982%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
Pau-OrthezLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A22/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/03
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A05/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/04
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A28/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A03/05
Pro B
79.6Avg total
39.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.339.080.3+2.358%-
Last 30 away (18)38.240.278.3-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.579.6-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.344.778.0-11.30%-
vs Similar (20)39.438.678.0+0.860%-
vs Weaker (7)42.140.682.7+1.643%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A26/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H29/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A05/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H09/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/04
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/05
Pro B
75.0Avg total
41.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.334.876.2+6.583%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.935.178.9+8.894%-
Last 30 away (14)38.434.673.0+3.971%-
Last 10 (10)41.433.675.0+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.477.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)44.031.075.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.135.176.2+6.082%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.9
48.4%
51.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.9
33.2%
33.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.217.1
70.7%
72.2%17.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.3
50.9%
51.1%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.1
34.1%
33.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.7
81.8%
72.2%15.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WLWWWLLLLL
La Rochelle
LLWWWWWLWW
#7
League position
#1
-8.7
Net rating
+8.6
102.9
Offensive rating
102.1
111.6
Defensive rating
93.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
19.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.2%
3-point %
34.1%
62.0%
Assist %
74.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 102.1Defence111.6 · 93.5Shooting48.9% · 51.0%3-point %33.2% · 34.1%Ball care19.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.2% · 19.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pau-Orthez wins
1
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
28/11/23La Rochelle v Pau-Orthez84-68
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24APoitiers80-78
28/04/24AASA67-85
19/04/24HFos-sur-Mer87-71
12/04/24ALille79-76
09/04/24HBoulazac84-80
05/04/24AVichy82-93
29/03/24HAix Maurienne91-94 OT
26/03/24ARouen88-91
22/03/24ASt. Chamond62-70
16/03/24ADijon58-90
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24HNantes75-76
28/04/24AFos-sur-Mer57-69
19/04/24HVichy87-74
12/04/24AAix Maurienne82-79
09/04/24HPoitiers89-64
05/04/24AASA75-69
29/03/24HLille65-63
26/03/24AAntibes69-72
22/03/24HOrleans76-64
15/03/24HChalons-Reims87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLLWLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %52%69%35%
Points / game79.781.877.7
Allowed / game79.077.280.6
Point differential+0.7+4.6-2.9
Avg total158.7159.0158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)50% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
La Rochelle
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL82%
HomeWWWWL94%
AwayWLWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %82%94%69%
Points / game79.282.176.1
Allowed / game70.569.571.6
Point differential+8.7+12.6+4.5
Avg total149.7151.6147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%65%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle3327682%79.270.5+8.7
2 Vichy3324973%84.278.2+6.0
3 Boulazac33221167%78.574.6+3.8
4 Orleans33201361%82.481.8+0.5
5 Chalons-Reims33191458%81.377.2+4.0
6 Rouen33191458%82.581.3+1.3
7 Pau-Orthez33171652%79.779.0+0.7
8 ASA33161748%78.778.4+0.3
9 Poitiers33161748%81.081.8-0.8
10 Antibes33161748%81.582.5-1.1
11 Lille33151845%75.675.6+0.0
12 St. Chamond33151845%81.982.8-0.9
13 Nantes33141942%81.583.3-1.8
14 Denain-Voltaire33132039%76.880.3-3.5
15 Aix Maurienne33132039%81.285.2-4.1
16 Fos-sur-Mer33112233%77.979.2-1.3
17 Evreux33102330%79.083.8-4.9
18 Angers33102330%79.086.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez918112765
La Rochelle1211161352
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