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La Rochelle vs Poitiers Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 09 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record6-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game84.3
FrancePro BRound 32· Salle Gaston Neveur
Other2026-27
Meetings · La Rochelle v Poitiers
09 Apr 2027
LRO v POI
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
LRO63
POI78
09 Apr 2024
LRO89
POI64
17 Sep 2014
LRO78
POI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Poitiers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
66avg 77
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
95-88
95
88
+7
86avg 77
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
86avg 77
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
76avg 77
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
no box
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 77
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
66avg 77
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 77
A30/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-22
15-24
13-25
33-20
18-23
29-23
15-22
19-21
21-33
25-23
32-26
23-30
21-18
22-22
15-14
25-35
17-17
22-25
25-25
25-24
22-25
7-20
21-7
15-19
27-18
25-27
12-21
23-25
23-26
22-13
17-25
27-12
21-23
17-19
20-19
25-14
21-19
19-26
20-19
170.8Avg total
84.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.786.4172.1-0.833%
Season at home (5)85.081.6166.6+3.460%
Season away (4)86.592.5179.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)84.086.8170.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)81.880.2162.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.685.4166.0-4.830%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.783.3167.0+0.441%
vs Weaker (3)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Evreux
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 80
H25/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
92-105
92
105
-13
90avg 80
A03/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 80
H09/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
92-77
92
77
+15
89avg 80
H16/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
80-67
80
67
+13
80avg 80
A21/10
Pro B
Caen
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 80
A23/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 80
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
A03/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
77-102
77
102
-25
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
20-28
20-18
16-17
22-29
19-23
30-17
21-36
18-22
26-16
32-12
14-23
12-18
27-18
25-24
28-17
18-22
23-11
20-18
19-16
14-17
26-21
22-14
17-22
25-23
26-23
13-22
25-17
23-19
15-20
33-22
30-22
18-23
22-24
17-24
33-20
14-23
11-34
22-20
30-25
171.3Avg total
87.0Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.084.3171.3+2.760%
Season at home (5)88.282.4170.6+5.860%
Season away (5)85.886.2172.0-0.460%
Last 10 (10)87.084.3171.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)87.287.0174.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.096.5191.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.682.0167.6+3.665%
vs Weaker (11)86.883.5170.3+3.473%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
La RochellePoitiers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H06/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H13/11
Pro B
89.0Avg total
44.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.783.5+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.481.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)41.244.385.5-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.389.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.086.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.542.182.6-1.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.542.084.5+0.553%-
vs Weaker (3)42.738.381.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H25/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/10
Pro B
Caen
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A23/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H06/11
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
25-57
25
57
-32
A13/11
Pro B
84.0Avg total
40.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.885.0-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.943.086.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.582.9-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.784.0-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.484.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.547.092.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.042.086.0+2.047%-
vs Weaker (11)39.043.282.2-4.236%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
53.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
74.0%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.517.4
74.0%
74.0%17.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
WWLLLLLLWL
Poitiers
LLWWWWWWLL
#17
League position
#6
-7.0
Net rating
+4.1
93.8
Offensive rating
96.8
100.8
Defensive rating
92.7
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.5%
3-point %
35.4%
75.2%
Assist %
64.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 96.8Defence100.8 · 92.7Shooting53.4% · 53.1%3-point %36.5% · 35.4%Ball care15.6% · 15.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Poitiers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
La Rochelle wins
4
Poitiers wins
DateGameScore
30/10/26Poitiers v La Rochelle89-85
06/02/26La Rochelle v Poitiers63-78
31/10/25Poitiers v La Rochelle95-64
09/04/24La Rochelle v Poitiers89-64
19/12/23Poitiers v La Rochelle83-87
17/09/14La Rochelle v Poitiers78-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HAntibes85-78
06/11/26HDenain-Voltaire85-73
30/10/26APoitiers85-89
23/10/26HEvreux79-85
20/10/26ARouen75-76
16/10/26AAda Blois89-102
09/10/26HSt. Chamond81-84
02/10/26AHyeres-Toulon97-103
25/09/26HASA95-88
22/05/26HChalons-Reims69-90
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ARouen77-102
06/11/26HAntibes90-91
03/11/26ALevallois101-83
30/10/26HLa Rochelle89-85
23/10/26ACaen79-74
21/10/26AFos-sur-Mer80-67
16/10/26HChalons-Reims92-77
09/10/26HNantes90-73
03/10/26AAda Blois92-105
25/09/26HEvreux80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game85.785.086.5
Allowed / game86.481.692.5
Point differential-0.8+3.4-6.0
Avg total172.1166.6179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poitiers
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game87.088.285.8
Allowed / game84.382.486.2
Point differential+2.7+5.8-0.4
Avg total171.3170.6172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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