PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
La Salle hosts Coppin State on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names La Salle as the clear favourite, assigning a 92% chance of victory largely because the Cardinals have a 1-2 record with an average of 67.3 points scored and 84.7 allowed, while Coppin State sits 1-3 with 62.2 points for and 66.2 against; the model also notes La Salle's 1-0 home record and 88.0 points per game at home versus Coppin State's 0-2 road record and 52.5 points per game on the road. La Salle's last five games include a win over LIU Sharks 88-80 at home and losses to Villanova 59-80 and Houston 55-94, while Coppin State's recent slate features a 90-53 win over Cheyney Wolves at home and defeats to Bradley 54-56 and George Mason 51-68. In the two meetings between the teams, La Salle has won both, most recently 87-59 on 5 November 2025. Pythia projects a 82-66 score, a total of 148.2 points, a 92% probability that La Salle will win, an 8% chance for Coppin State, and a 2% chance of overtime. The projected home win probability of 92% reflects the model's confidence in La Salle's dominance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 67.3 | 84.7 | 152.0 | -17.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 88.0 | 80.0 | 168.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 57.0 | 87.0 | 144.0 | -30.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.6 | 80.8 | 151.4 | -10.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 71.6 | 88.2 | 159.8 | -16.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 65.9 | 76.5 | 142.4 | -10.6 | 22% |
| vs Similar (2) | 74.5 | 75.5 | 150.0 | -1.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 62.4 | 67.6 | 130.0 | -5.2 | 20% |
| Season at home (2) | 72.0 | 54.5 | 126.5 | +17.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 56.0 | 76.3 | 132.3 | -20.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 64.7 | 69.5 | 134.2 | -4.8 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 62.4 | 67.6 | 130.0 | -5.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (25) | 63.6 | 80.5 | 144.1 | -16.8 | 16% |
| vs Similar (3) | 66.3 | 65.3 | 131.7 | +1.0 | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 96.5 | 57.5 | 154.0 | +39.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.0 | 35.8 | 69.8 | -1.8 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 36.7 | 35.1 | 71.8 | +1.5 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 31.3 | 36.4 | 67.7 | -5.1 | 13% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.5 | 37.1 | 70.6 | -3.6 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.0 | 39.8 | 71.8 | -7.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 33.5 | 36.6 | 70.0 | -3.1 | 30% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 34.5 | 33.5 | 68.0 | +1.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.7 | 36.9 | 67.6 | -6.3 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 34.6 | 31.2 | 65.8 | +3.5 | 55% | - |
| Last 30 away (19) | 28.4 | 40.3 | 68.6 | -11.9 | 16% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.7 | 35.1 | 65.8 | -4.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.4 | 35.2 | 67.6 | -2.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (25) | 30.0 | 38.8 | 68.8 | -8.8 | 28% | - |
| vs Similar (3) | 23.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | -8.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 50.5 | 23.0 | 73.5 | +27.5 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/11/25 | La Salle v Coppin State | 87-59 |
| 26/11/23 | La Salle v Coppin State | 81-62 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Villanova | 59-80 |
| 07/11/26 | H | LIU Sharks | 88-80 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Houston | 55-94 |
| 11/03/26 | H | St. Bonaventure | 80-99 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Saint Josephs Hawks | 76-88 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Fordham | 87-84 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Davidson | 64-71 |
| 24/02/26 | H | George Washington | 77-104 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Rhode Island | 59-46 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Duquesne | 61-62 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | South Florida | 63-73 |
| 12/11/26 | H | Bradley | 54-56 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Cheyney Wolves | 90-53 |
| 07/11/26 | A | George Mason | 51-68 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Virginia Tech | 54-88 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Morgan State | 66-70 |
| 03/03/26 | A | Howard | 70-90 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Norfolk State | 69-75 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Md.-East. Shore | 71-65 OT |
| 16/02/26 | A | South Carolina St | 59-57 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 67.3 | 88.0 | 57.0 |
| Allowed / game | 84.7 | 80.0 | 87.0 |
| Point differential | -17.3 | +8.0 | -30.0 |
| Avg total | 152.0 | 168.0 | 144.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 20% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 62.4 | 72.0 | 56.0 |
| Allowed / game | 67.6 | 54.5 | 76.3 |
| Point differential | -5.2 | +17.5 | -20.3 |
| Avg total | 130.0 | 126.5 | 132.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Louis Billikens | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 71.3 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  George Washington | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 51.8 | +28.2 |
| 3 |  Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.2 | 59.2 | +22.0 |
| 4 |  George Mason | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 58.5 | +13.5 |
| 5 |  Duquesne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 72.2 | 64.5 | +7.8 |
| 6 |  Saint Josephs Hawks | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 78.8 | 71.8 | +7.0 |
| 7 |  Richmond Spiders | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 64.0 | +25.0 |
| 8 |  St. Bonaventure | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 82.0 | 62.5 | +19.5 |
| 9 |  Loyola Chicago | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.8 | 67.5 | +12.2 |
| 10 |  Davidson | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 71.0 | 61.5 | +9.5 |
| 11 |  Fordham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.5 | 72.0 | +4.5 |
| 12 |  VCU Rams | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 70.0 | +15.7 |
| 13 | La Salle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 84.7 | -17.3 |
| 14 |  Dayton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 81.5 | 83.2 | -1.8 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morgan State | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 80.8 | 64.6 | +16.2 |
| 2 |  South Carolina St | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.2 | 72.8 | +5.5 |
| 3 |  Howard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 72.0 | 70.6 | +1.4 |
| 4 |  Norfolk State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.8 | 72.8 | -3.0 |
| 5 |  Delaware State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 68.0 | 68.2 | -0.2 |
| 6 | Coppin State | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 62.4 | 67.6 | -5.2 |
| 7 |  Md.-East. Shore | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 58.6 | 70.0 | -11.4 |
| 8 |  N. Carolina Central | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 63.5 | 74.2 | -10.8 |
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