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Lafayette vs American University Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-76 (OT)
33-17 26-42 25-17
Position#317
Record10-22
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game64.9
vs
Position#181
Record17-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Lafayette v American University
23 Jan 2027
LAFA v AMER
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
LAFA61
AMER75
29 Jan 2025
LAFA68
AMER75
31 Jan 2024
LAFA66
AMER69
05 Mar 2023
LAFA84
AMER76
30 Dec 2022
LAFA47
AMER60
02 Feb 2022
LAFA71
AMER62
31 Jan 2021
LAFA v AMER
upcoming
01 Feb 2020
LAFA82
AMER70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lafayette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
American University winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#40
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A28/01
NCAA
Navy
#129
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#329
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A07/02
NCAA
Boston University
#230
W
69-65 OT
69
65
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Army
#194
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Colgate
#40
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A25/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
23-36
23-30
11-23
21-33
43-33
35-29
37-29
33-27
24-30
23-39
47-34
15-27
28-26
38-38
31-35
32-34
33-41
41-18
30-46
126.3Avg total
61.4Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)61.764.9126.6-3.231%
Season at home (11)59.962.8122.7-2.936%
Season away (21)62.766.0128.7-3.329%
Last 10 (10)61.464.9126.3-3.530%
Last 5 (5)63.667.6131.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)58.567.5125.9-9.08%
vs Similar ◀ (16)65.562.1127.6+3.456%
vs Weaker (1)45.057.0102.0-12.00%
This opponent (American University) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
American UniversityUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#287
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Boston University
#230
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A09/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#329
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A14/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Navy
#129
L
54-70
54
70
-16
H23/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Navy
#129
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
39-34
31-35
30-25
21-24
33-36
32-34
34-40
23-33
28-40
27-33
32-29
28-26
26-44
33-31
38-40
34-29
30-30
33-27
19-24
127.9Avg total
60.9Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)65.165.4130.4-0.355%
Season at home (14)66.665.3131.9+1.457%
Season away (17)63.865.4129.2-1.653%
Last 10 (10)60.967.0127.9-6.130%
Last 5 (5)61.265.0126.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.262.4122.6-2.260%
vs Similar ◀ (19)64.265.9130.1-1.847%
vs Weaker (6)71.364.7136.0+6.783%
This opponent (Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
LafayetteAmerican University
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#40
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A28/01
NCAA
Navy
#129
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H04/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#329
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Boston University
#230
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H11/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A16/02
NCAA
Army
#194
L
15-27
15
27
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Colgate
#40
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H23/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
W
41-18
41
18
+23
A03/03
NCAA
60.3Avg total
29.5Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.631.662.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (11)30.533.063.5-2.536%-
Last 30 away (19)30.630.761.4-0.142%-
Last 10 (10)29.530.860.3-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)29.831.261.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.734.564.2-4.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.629.260.8+2.456%-
vs Weaker (1)27.032.059.0-5.00%-
This opponent (American University) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
American UniversityLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#287
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/02
NCAA
Colgate
#40
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Boston University
#230
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#329
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H18/02
NCAA
Navy
#129
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H23/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Navy
#129
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A03/03
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.929.959.8+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.632.063.6-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)28.428.156.5+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)29.431.661.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.029.260.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.031.463.4+0.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)29.029.658.6-0.647%-
vs Weaker (6)31.029.560.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lafayette wins
2
American University wins
Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23ALehigh71-64
25/02/23ABucknell65-75
23/02/23HColgate69-73
18/02/23AArmy43-53
16/02/23ALoyola Maryland70-73
11/02/23HBoston University69-65 OT
07/02/23AHoly Cross72-58
04/02/23HLehigh64-66
02/02/23HNavy34-53
28/01/23AColgate57-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23ANavy52-51
01/03/23HBucknell64-59
25/02/23ALoyola Maryland77-83 OT
23/02/23HNavy54-70
18/02/23HLehigh59-62
14/02/23ABucknell51-73
11/02/23HHoly Cross66-74
09/02/23ABoston University54-60
04/02/23HColgate61-60
02/02/23HBucknell71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lafayette
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeWLLWL36%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321121
Win %31%36%29%
Points / game61.759.962.7
Allowed / game64.962.866.0
Point differential-3.2-2.9-3.3
Avg total126.6122.7128.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %12%27%5%
American University
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayWLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %55%57%53%
Points / game65.166.663.8
Allowed / game65.465.365.4
Point differential-0.3+1.4-1.6
Avg total130.4131.9129.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)67% (6)75% (8)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colgate3325876%78.669.2+9.4
2 Navy31181358%69.464.9+4.5
3 American University31171455%65.165.4-0.3
4 Lehigh30161453%69.869.4+0.4
5 Army33171652%73.170.4+2.7
6 Boston University32151747%67.167.2-0.1
7 Loyola Maryland33132039%67.370.6-3.3
8 Bucknell32122038%67.568.5-1.0
9 Lafayette32102231%61.764.9-3.2
10 Holy Cross32102231%66.872.6-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Lafayette33262584
American University17421776
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