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Lafayette vs Mercyhurst Lakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-71
34-34 45-37
Position#317
Record2-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#206
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lafayette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#102
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A04/11
NCAA
Dickinson Red Devils
#509
W
79-44
79
44
+35
H06/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
60-97
60
97
-37
A08/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
78-97
78
97
-19
H13/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H28/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H29/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-23
35-48
31-41
45-44
43-26
36-18
28-46
32-51
40-46
38-51
25-36
34-45
25-34
45-40
38-38
25-38
23-15
32-22
32-41
42-47
143.3Avg total
68.3Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.275.4143.7-7.222%
Season at home (5)69.868.4138.2+1.440%
Season away (4)66.284.2150.5-18.00%
Last 10 (10)68.375.0143.3-6.720%
Last 5 (5)64.271.2135.4-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.387.3155.7-19.00%
vs Similar (23)67.267.0134.2+0.339%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
47-70
47
70
-23
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#626
W
93-43
93
43
+50
H08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A13/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A24/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
38-70
38
70
-32
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-24
41-36
48-37
42-31
25-36
22-34
34-27
39-38
44-17
49-26
25-32
30-26
42-24
44-48
29-37
42-39
23-27
37-42
22-39
16-31
132.9Avg total
67.8Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)65.465.4130.8+0.038%
Season at home (2)89.557.5147.0+32.0100%
Season away (6)57.368.0125.3-10.717%
Last 10 (10)67.865.1132.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)62.069.0131.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)61.874.9136.6-13.112%
vs Similar (13)63.168.0131.1-4.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)75.372.1147.4+3.157%
This opponent (Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +1.1+1.1
LafayetteMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#102
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A07/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A04/11
NCAA
Dickinson Red Devils
#509
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H06/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A08/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H13/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A21/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H28/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
23-15
23
15
+8
H29/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
31.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.132.864.9-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.431.865.2+1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)30.633.964.6-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)31.934.666.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)28.632.861.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.341.373.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (23)31.630.862.4+0.843%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#626
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A13/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A24/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A30/11
NCAA
61.6Avg total
31.6Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.530.862.3+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.228.163.2+7.183%-
Last 30 away (18)29.032.761.7-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)31.630.061.6+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)28.231.860.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.432.962.2-3.550%-
vs Similar (13)29.331.060.3-1.738%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.930.666.4+5.371%-
This opponent (Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lafayette wins
0
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Mercyhurst Lakers v Lafayette73-77
Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HMonmouth74-88
29/11/25HBall State55-37
28/11/25HLe Moyne63-76
21/11/25AStonehill70-74
18/11/25AWest Virginia59-81
13/11/25HCornell78-97
08/11/25ATexas60-97
06/11/25HDickinson Red Devils79-44
04/11/25ASaint Josephs Hawks76-85
07/03/25AAmerican University69-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25AWest Virginia38-70
24/11/25AMarshall60-69
21/11/25AMiami (Ohio)71-76
15/11/25HMorgan State86-72
13/11/25ACanisius55-58
08/11/25HPenn State-New Kensington93-43
07/11/25ALoyola Chicago73-65
04/11/25ANorthwestern47-70
28/02/25HChicago State90-68
21/02/25HFairleigh Dickinson65-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lafayette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game68.269.866.2
Allowed / game75.468.484.2
Point differential-7.2+1.4-18.0
Avg total143.7138.2150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%100%17%
Points / game65.489.557.3
Allowed / game65.457.568.0
Point differential+0.0+32.0-10.7
Avg total130.8147.0125.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 American University106460%82.071.5+10.5
2 Colgate95456%75.773.1+2.6
3 Navy105550%73.170.5+2.6
4 Boston University94544%75.274.9+0.3
5 Loyola Maryland103730%75.276.0-0.8
6 Lehigh103730%68.772.8-4.1
7 Holy Cross103730%66.475.9-9.5
8 Army103730%69.780.2-10.5
9 Lafayette92722%68.275.4-7.2
10 Bucknell102820%67.681.1-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State85362%82.670.4+12.2
2 New Haven Chargers95456%69.665.7+3.9
3 LIU Sharks84450%75.481.5-6.1
4 Le Moyne94544%78.278.2+0.0
5 Mercyhurst Lakers83538%65.465.4+0.0
6 Stonehill103730%68.873.0-4.2
7 Fairleigh Dickinson92722%73.378.7-5.3
8 St. Francis (PA)92722%70.880.4-9.7
9 Wagner71614%72.483.9-11.4
10 Chicago State91811%67.984.8-16.9
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lafayette344579
Mercyhurst Lakers343771
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