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Mercyhurst Lakers vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-68
48-37 42-31
Position#219
Record14-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#368
Record4-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mercyhurst Lakers v Chicago State
30 Jan 2027
MERC v CHIC
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
MERC61
CHIC59
27 Feb 2025
MERC90
CHIC68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercyhurst Lakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#194
L
63-72 OT
63
72
-9
A20/01
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H25/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H26/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
31-25
37-31
34-35
29-26
39-42
29-23
33-35
37-26
30-34
37-31
41-54
37-28
45-50
38-35
25-38
36-40
37-45
24-24
41-36
142.6Avg total
70.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)67.270.0137.1-2.847%
Season at home (12)74.163.3137.4+10.783%
Season away (18)62.674.4136.9-11.822%
Last 10 (10)70.971.7142.6-0.860%
Last 5 (5)72.276.2148.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)60.274.9135.1-14.612%
vs Similar (14)66.969.0135.9-2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)70.273.0143.2-2.850%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A26/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
73-67 OT
73
67
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H07/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H08/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
49-91
49
91
-42
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H21/02
NCAA
Wagner
#234
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-27
25-31
29-35
44-40
22-30
42-51
29-36
29-22
31-37
54-41
41-42
28-39
27-43
22-48
31-27
44-53
36-26
39-55
12-33
40-31
141.9Avg total
66.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)62.278.6140.9-16.414%
Season at home (11)65.172.5137.6-7.527%
Season away (18)60.582.3142.8-21.86%
Last 10 (10)66.375.6141.9-9.320%
Last 5 (5)64.079.4143.4-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)62.278.6140.9-16.414%
vs Similar (1)74.077.0151.0-3.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -4.4-4.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -4.4-4.4
Mercyhurst LakersChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#194
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H25/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H26/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H21/02
NCAA
63.0Avg total
33.2Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.130.962.9+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.028.263.2+6.883%-
Last 30 away (18)30.132.662.7-2.539%-
Last 10 (10)33.229.863.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.666.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.431.961.2-2.550%-
vs Similar (14)31.131.362.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)34.030.364.3+3.767%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A26/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Wagner
#234
L
12-33
12
33
-21
H22/02
NCAA
61.7Avg total
28.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.436.063.4-8.617%-
Last 30 at home (12)29.834.764.5-4.817%-
Last 30 away (18)25.836.962.7-11.117%-
Last 10 (10)28.133.661.7-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)29.434.263.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)27.235.963.1-8.717%-
vs Similar (1)35.039.074.0-4.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
1
Chicago State wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Chicago State v Mercyhurst Lakers85-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/25HFairleigh Dickinson65-60
15/02/25AStonehill73-85
14/02/25ACentral Connecticut State63-73
08/02/25HLe Moyne82-78
07/02/25AChicago State78-85
01/02/25AFairleigh Dickinson67-60
31/01/25HSt. Francis (PA)62-58
26/01/25HLIU Sharks85-80 OT
25/01/25HWagner71-66
20/01/25ALIU Sharks63-72 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HWagner52-64
21/02/25HCentral Connecticut State75-81
15/02/25ALe Moyne75-80
14/02/25AFairleigh Dickinson49-91
08/02/25HSt. Francis (PA)69-81
07/02/25HMercyhurst Lakers85-78
01/02/25HLIU Sharks73-67 OT
26/01/25ACentral Connecticut State64-81
25/01/25AStonehill73-75
21/01/25HFairleigh Dickinson48-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301218
Win %47%83%22%
Points / game67.274.162.6
Allowed / game70.063.374.4
Point differential-2.8+10.8-11.8
Avg total137.1137.4136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)83% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %7%8%6%
Chicago State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWWLLL27%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291118
Win %14%27%6%
Points / game62.265.160.5
Allowed / game78.672.582.3
Point differential-16.4-7.5-21.8
Avg total140.9137.6142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%9%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %3%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State2721678%72.963.1+9.8
2 Wagner27141352%63.960.9+2.9
3 LIU Sharks29141548%67.866.4+1.3
4 Stonehill29141548%68.669.3-0.8
5 Mercyhurst Lakers30141647%67.270.0-2.8
6 St. Francis (PA)30121840%71.273.9-2.7
7 Fairleigh Dickinson29111838%74.273.8+0.4
8 Le Moyne2992031%74.179.7-5.6
9 Chicago State2942514%62.278.6-16.4
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.078.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercyhurst Lakers484290
Chicago State373168
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