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Lamar vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-82
35-38 44-44
Position#146
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#211
Record5-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lamar v Southern Miss
18 Dec 2023
LAMA79
SOUT82
13 Dec 2022
LAMA65
SOUT91
15 Dec 2020
LAMA63
SOUT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lamar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LamarUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
114-66
114
66
+48
H07/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A10/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A18/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
83-65
83
65
+18
A24/11
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
A26/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A01/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A03/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
68-27
46-39
19-31
48-47
42-40
48-42
39-31
37-46
36-23
47-42
30-45
42-38
40-34
33-39
38-44
45-42
29-55
41-35
47-37
50-36
161.7Avg total
83.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.678.1161.7+5.550%
Season at home (3)100.373.7174.0+26.7100%
Season away (7)76.480.0156.4-3.629%
Last 10 (10)83.678.1161.7+5.550%
Last 5 (5)81.282.6163.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.473.4137.8-9.017%
vs Similar (11)70.277.9148.1-7.727%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.675.7165.3+13.971%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William Carey
#436
W
64-42
64
42
+22
H07/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A11/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
76-45
76
45
+31
H16/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H19/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-19
36-23
31-33
23-39
41-20
35-25
30-34
35-33
25-34
42-40
22-34
32-31
41-26
49-58
46-46
39-36
36-25
47-49
26-38
22-29
135.8Avg total
68.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.667.2135.8+1.450%
Season at home (6)68.261.2129.3+7.050%
Season away (4)69.276.2145.5-7.050%
Last 10 (10)68.667.2135.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)72.074.4146.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)52.068.0120.0-16.00%
vs Similar (15)72.172.5144.5-0.460%
vs Weaker (10)73.364.4137.7+8.990%
This opponent (Lamar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
LamarSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
68-27
68
27
+41
H07/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A10/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H15/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A24/11
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A03/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H15/12
NCAA
75.5Avg total
38.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.337.270.5-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.838.274.0-2.531%-
Last 30 away (17)31.436.467.8-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.775.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.079.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.536.165.6-6.625%-
vs Similar (11)30.440.671.0-10.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.333.778.0+10.686%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William Carey
#436
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A11/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H16/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H19/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H23/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A14/12
NCAA
63.5Avg total
32.6Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.064.2+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.729.761.4+2.056%-
Last 30 away (14)32.834.667.4-1.829%-
Last 10 (10)32.630.963.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.868.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)26.335.061.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (15)32.332.865.1-0.540%-
vs Weaker (10)33.730.263.9+3.560%-
This opponent (Lamar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lamar wins
4
Southern Miss wins
DateGameScore
14/12/22Lamar v Southern Miss65-91
10/12/22Southern Miss v Lamar95-59
21/11/21Southern Miss v Lamar82-75
16/12/20Lamar v Southern Miss63-66
Lamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23HLouisiana Monroe97-73
03/12/23ASam Houston St.70-90
01/12/23AUTSA Roadrunners83-86
26/11/23ADelaware State84-81 OT
25/11/23ALongwood72-83
24/11/23ABethune-Cookman83-65
18/11/23APacific76-77
15/11/23HUTSA Roadrunners90-82
10/11/23ASMU Mustangs67-78
07/11/23HJarvis Christian114-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23AMcNeese State48-67
09/12/23HNorthwestern St.83-74
02/12/23AUAB85-82
25/11/23AWisc. Milwaukee90-84
23/11/23HSouth Dakota St.54-65
20/11/23HCS Fullerton67-74
19/11/23HUtah Valley State65-67
16/11/23HXavier76-45
11/11/23AAkron54-72
07/11/23HWilliam Carey64-42

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lamar
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %50%100%29%
Points / game83.6100.376.4
Allowed / game78.173.780.0
Point differential+5.5+26.7-3.6
Avg total161.7174.0156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%14%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game68.668.269.2
Allowed / game67.261.276.2
Point differential+1.4+7.0-7.0
Avg total135.8129.3145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1210283%80.257.8+22.5
2 Texas A&M-CC116555%78.367.3+11.0
3 Lamar105550%83.678.1+5.5
4 Stephen F. Austin105550%74.570.4+4.1
5 TX A&M Commerce126650%76.973.5+3.4
6 New Orleans115645%80.076.2+3.8
7 Nicholls State104640%74.378.1-3.8
8 Incarnate Word103730%75.779.2-3.5
9 UTRGV113827%73.979.7-5.8
10 SE Louisiana113827%68.075.2-7.2
11 Houston Christian92722%73.483.0-9.6
12 Northwestern St.111109%67.781.2-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison10100100%93.574.8+18.7
2 Appalachian State119282%81.162.9+18.2
3 Louisiana Lafayette116555%77.971.6+6.3
4 South Alabama116555%73.675.3-1.6
5 Troy105550%85.869.9+15.9
6 Southern Miss105550%68.667.2+1.4
7 Texas State105550%69.368.5+0.8
8 Marshall125742%77.278.6-1.4
9 Georgia State104640%74.675.6-1.0
10 Louisiana Monroe104640%71.273.3-2.1
11 Arkansas State114736%74.678.3-3.6
12 Old Dominion93633%69.474.4-5.0
13 Coastal Carolina103730%80.578.9+1.6
14 Georgia Southern110110%67.781.5-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lamar354479
Southern Miss384482
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