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Lancut vs Trefl Sopot II Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 98-96 (OT)
24-15 20-18 21-21 14-25 19-17
Position#3
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#18
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game82.6
Poland1 LigaRound 8· MOSiR Lancut
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trefl Sopot II winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
90-100
90
100
-10
86avg 72
A14/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
L
71-96
71
96
-25
60avg 72
H20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
79-98
79
98
-19
69avg 72
A27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
85-99
85
99
-14
82avg 72
A28/09
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
86-58
86
58
+28
85avg 72
H01/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 72
A09/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 72
H16/10
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
81-76
81
76
+5
79avg 72
A19/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
64-75
64
75
-11
53avg 72
H23/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 72
A26/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
22-24
22-26
24-30
15-20
24-33
15-25
17-18
19-28
20-28
22-20
18-22
20-23
19-26
18-26
28-24
21-15
24-8
21-14
20-21
23-27
18-18
25-18
20-14
23-23
24-14
15-21
25-22
18-20
7-21
24-22
32-13
16-23
12-14
9-19
27-19
29-31
19-34
15-18
17-14
166.5Avg total
80.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.380.3161.6+1.057%
Season at home (3)79.071.0150.0+8.067%
Season away (4)83.087.2170.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)80.985.6166.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)79.681.0160.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.586.1164.6-7.616%
vs Similar (8)85.586.6172.1-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.090.7172.7-8.733%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl Sopot IIPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormII
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
54avg 72
A29/09
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 72
H04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 72
A09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
72avg 72
H12/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
93-91
93
91
+2
90avg 72
H20/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
64-72
64
72
-8
54avg 72
H23/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
60avg 72
A26/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
19-22
20-15
21-15
20-14
24-17
22-15
27-30
12-17
20-20
30-19
22-26
20-27
20-22
18-24
24-19
22-35
25-25
24-15
22-16
17-23
17-15
15-20
15-14
23-18
23-21
16-29
15-19
166.3Avg total
83.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.782.6166.3+1.157%
Season at home (4)83.082.8165.8+0.250%
Season away (3)84.782.3167.0+2.367%
Last 10 (7)83.782.6166.3+1.157%
Last 5 (5)80.084.8164.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar (3)89.382.0171.3+7.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
LancutTrefl Sopot II
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A14/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A28/09
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H01/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/10
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A19/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H23/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A26/10
1 Liga
84.5Avg total
39.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.183.5-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.940.678.6-2.736%-
Last 30 away (16)40.847.187.8-6.312%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.084.5-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.082.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.343.381.6-4.921%-
vs Similar (8)42.943.186.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)37.351.789.0-14.30%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl Sopot IILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A29/09
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H20/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H23/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A26/10
1 Liga
85.3Avg total
42.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)42.143.185.3-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (4)41.244.585.8-3.225%-
Last 30 away (3)43.341.384.7+2.067%-
Last 10 (7)42.143.185.3-1.043%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.684.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.843.583.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (3)45.342.788.0+2.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.1
49.3%
51.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.3
75.8%
70.2%16.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trefl Sopot IItheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot II: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.4
49.5%
51.0%38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.1
32.3%
32.5%27.4
🏀 Free throws24.416.6
67.8%
70.2%16.6
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
LLWWWWLLLL
Trefl Sopot II
LLWLWWW
#3
League position
#18
-6.9
Net rating
+1.5
104.1
Offensive rating
106.2
111.0
Defensive rating
104.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.0%
3-point %
32.3%
67.3%
Assist %
61.0%
40%
Form (last 10/7)
57%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 106.2Defence111.0 · 104.7Shooting51.4% · 49.0%3-point %36.0% · 32.3%Ball care18.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds23.8% · 30.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/7)40% · 57%
■ Lancut   ■ Trefl Sopot II
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lancut wins
0
Trefl Sopot II wins
No previous meetings.
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24AInowroclaw80-97
23/10/24HPolonia Warszawa64-75
19/10/24AHydroTruck Radom81-76
16/10/24HGKS Tychy87-80
09/10/24AWKK Wroclaw86-77
01/10/24HBydgoszcz86-58
28/09/24APoli. Opolska85-99
27/04/24ASlask Wroclaw79-98
20/04/24HGTK Gliwice71-96
14/04/24ADabrowa Gornicza90-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24APolonia Warszawa77-87
23/10/24HGKS Tychy64-72
20/10/24HBydgoszcz93-91
12/10/24HR. Rzeszow82-92
09/10/24AStarogard Gdanski84-82
04/10/24HSlask Wroclaw II93-76
29/09/24AMKKS Koszalin93-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game81.379.083.0
Allowed / game80.371.087.2
Point differential+1.0+8.0-4.2
Avg total161.6150.0170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trefl Sopot II
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game83.783.084.7
Allowed / game82.682.882.3
Point differential+1.1+0.2+2.3
Avg total166.3165.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Poli. Opolska76186%85.777.0+8.7
2 Krosno75271%83.478.7+4.7
3 Inowroclaw75271%84.481.3+3.1
4 Polonia Warszawa64267%80.876.3+4.5
5 Poznan74357%87.778.4+9.3
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg74357%80.072.9+7.1
7 Bydgoszcz74357%81.978.7+3.1
8 Trefl Sopot II74357%83.782.6+1.1
9 Lancut74357%81.380.3+1.0
10 Pelplin74357%78.778.7+0.0
11 Starogard Gdanski74357%82.382.3+0.0
12 LKS Lodz73443%84.783.3+1.4
13 GKS Tychy73443%78.780.1-1.4
14 R. Rzeszow73443%80.488.4-8.0
15 WKK Wroclaw72529%75.380.4-5.1
16 HydroTruck Radom72529%75.781.9-6.1
17 Slask Wroclaw II61517%71.382.0-10.7
18 MKKS Koszalin7070%73.787.4-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Lancut242021141998
Trefl Sopot II151821251796
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