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Lanus vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game83.2
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lanus v San Lorenzo
22 Dec 2026
LANU v SAN
upcoming
27 Apr 2016
LANU77
SAN 70
29 Sep 2015
LANU92
SAN 93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lanus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Lorenzo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LanusArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLanus
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
67-58
67
58
+9
51avg 63
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 63
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
93-108
93
108
-15
89avg 63
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
50avg 63
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
69-80
69
80
-11
52avg 63
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
61avg 63
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
81-72
81
72
+9
67avg 63
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
94-95
94
95
-1
no box
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
93-57
93
57
+36
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
25-15
12-14
18-15
26-18
17-27
23-26
11-13
18-26
22-34
25-25
28-23
22-18
18-20
13-21
20-16
20-25
19-8
16-27
14-20
18-22
19-21
12-8
23-12
20-23
19-13
21-10
21-26
22-21
30-22
16-21
26-31
19-18
22-27
11-29
19-14
29-13
26-14
24-13
14-17
157.0Avg total
79.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.579.3157.8-0.736%
Season at home (6)77.371.0148.3+6.367%
Season away (5)80.089.2169.2-9.20%
Last 10 (10)79.078.0157.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)82.275.0157.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.087.2168.2-6.225%
vs Similar (15)78.376.7155.0+1.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.773.4158.1+11.386%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 69
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 69
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
89-73
89
73
+16
84avg 69
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
70avg 69
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
58-80
58
80
-22
47avg 69
H28/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
42-75
42
75
-33
no box
H08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
55-81
55
81
-26
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
89-122
89
122
-33
no box
A15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-26
9-18
24-15
17-21
18-19
14-20
21-16
20-22
18-18
29-14
22-19
22-28
22-17
18-26
23-21
18-21
26-25
14-17
15-15
18-16
18-28
16-22
6-14
14-20
17-11
13-20
26-14
8-20
17-17
8-21
9-17
17-24
9-28
12-14
17-15
27-21
11-32
24-30
27-39
152.3Avg total
70.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.183.2153.4-13.125%
Season at home (6)69.577.2146.7-7.733%
Season away (2)72.0101.5173.5-29.50%
Last 10 (10)70.182.2152.3-12.120%
Last 5 (5)62.884.6147.4-21.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.782.4158.0-6.729%
vs Similar (8)80.980.9161.8+0.050%
vs Weaker (1)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
This opponent (Lanus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
LanusSan Lorenzo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H11/11
Liga A
82.2Avg total
42.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.079.2+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.637.479.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.979.3-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.982.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.644.285.9-2.638%-
vs Similar (15)39.238.777.9+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.433.774.1+6.757%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H28/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A13/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A15/11
Liga A
78.9Avg total
35.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.880.3-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.242.780.8-4.522%-
Last 30 away (12)36.443.079.4-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)35.443.578.9-8.10%-
Last 5 (5)31.243.474.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.243.580.7-6.319%-
vs Similar (8)38.240.478.6-2.138%-
vs Weaker (1)37.047.084.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Lanus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lanustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lanus: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.5%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.4
27.8%
32.6%25.1
🏀 Free throws24.416.9
69.2%
72.7%16.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
72.7%17.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lanus
WLLWWLLLLW
San Lorenzo
LLLWLLLWLL
#12
League position
#17
-4.5
Net rating
-6.0
104.8
Offensive rating
110.0
109.3
Defensive rating
116.0
45.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
27.8%
3-point %
30.1%
48.0%
Assist %
50.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 110.0Defence109.3 · 116.0Shooting45.8% · 50.9%3-point %27.8% · 30.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Lanus   ■ San Lorenzo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lanus wins
3
San Lorenzo wins
DateGameScore
28/04/16Lanus v San Lorenzo77-70
02/04/16San Lorenzo v Lanus88-75
28/11/15San Lorenzo v Lanus96-86
30/09/15Lanus v San Lorenzo92-93
Lanuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLa Union93-57
07/11/26AQuimsa71-88
05/11/26AOlimpico94-95
30/10/26HSan Martin81-72
26/10/26HRegatas72-63
24/10/26AAtenas69-80
22/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba73-75
20/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva93-108
14/10/26HPenarol77-84
09/10/26HObera TC67-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AIndependiente de Oliva89-122
13/11/26AAtenas55-81
08/11/26HSan Martin42-75
07/11/26HRegatas70-65
28/10/26HPlatense58-80
18/10/26HObera TC73-78
17/10/26HPenarol85-92
09/10/26HGimnasia89-73
18/04/26AObras Sanitarias70-76
15/04/26AArgentino70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lanus
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game78.577.380.0
Allowed / game79.371.089.2
Point differential-0.7+6.3-9.2
Avg total157.8148.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Lorenzo
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game70.169.572.0
Allowed / game83.277.2101.5
Point differential-13.1-7.7-29.5
Avg total153.4146.7173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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