Lappeenranta vs Honka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2009

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 99-95

28-21 21-28 25-23 25-23

Position#5

Record3-2

FormLLWWW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game79.0

Lappeenranta 🏆

Honka

Position#9

Record4-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game73.4

KorisliigaRound 6

Other2009-10

Meetings · Lappeenranta v Honka

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lappeenranta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Honka winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lappeenranta Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karkkila

#11

100-74

100

+26

A28/03

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

61-71

-10

H03/04

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

85-80

A08/04

Korisliiga

Kataja

85-105

105

-20

H11/04

Korisliiga

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

89-94

-5

A13/04

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

57-76

-19

A02/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

61-94

-33

H04/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

#10

93-61

+32

H07/10

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

91-88 OT

H10/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

92-76

+16

A14/10

Korisliiga

23-22

29-19

21-15

27-18

17-12

10-18

26-21

8-20

15-24

30-13

18-19

22-24

20-29

27-18

20-27

18-31

26-25

22-28

19-16

22-25

16-15

20-17

8-20

13-24

9-27

20-19

18-18

14-30

31-19

20-12

28-19

14-11

21-24

16-16

20-19

20-18

17-21

25-18

27-21

23-16

163.3Avg total

81.4Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	78.8	79.0	157.8	-0.2	60%
Season at home (3)	81.7	81.0	162.7	+0.7	67%
Season away (2)	74.5	76.0	150.5	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	81.9	163.3	-0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	79.0	157.8	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	73.9	85.4	159.3	-11.4	25%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	80.4	78.2	158.7	+2.2	67%
vs Weaker (5)	82.4	73.0	155.4	+9.4	60%

This opponent (Honka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Honka

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KTP Kotka Basket

75-62

+13

H22/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

65-72

-7

H29/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

67-70

-3

A03/05

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

79-85

-6

H04/05

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

74-83

-9

H11/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

#10

98-76

+22

A02/10

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

67-66

H04/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

99-83

+16

A07/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

#11

94-47

+47

H10/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

66-95

-29

H14/10

Korisliiga

22-17

15-18

17-12

21-15

16-17

23-21

14-24

12-10

24-16

14-13

8-20

21-21

19-18

17-26

17-16

26-25

15-22

19-21

20-19

20-21

27-28

24-18

31-13

16-17

21-24

19-10

19-19

8-13

36-20

20-28

29-16

14-19

21-12

29-9

23-20

21-6

18-23

11-22

24-24

13-26

152.3Avg total

78.4Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	84.8	73.4	158.2	+11.4	80%
Season at home (3)	75.7	69.3	145.0	+6.3	67%
Season away (2)	98.5	79.5	178.0	+19.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	73.9	152.3	+4.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	73.4	158.2	+11.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	66.0	95.0	161.0	-29.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	77.2	75.1	152.2	+2.1	38%
vs Weaker (16)	82.9	65.5	148.4	+17.4	94%

This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LappeenrantaHonka

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.6	20.7	39.2	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	17.6	37.6	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.4	46.0	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.9	17.8	37.8	+2.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.4	17.3	38.7	+4.1	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.8	38.8	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.9	19.9	38.9	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	22.0	33.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.4	15.1	34.5	+4.3	67%	-

LappeenrantaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karkkila

#11

52-41

+11

A28/03

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

27-30

-3

H03/04

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

45-37

A08/04

Korisliiga

Kataja

47-47

H11/04

Korisliiga

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

48-53

-5

A13/04

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

36-32

A02/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

29-46

-17

H04/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

#10

51-31

+20

H07/10

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

37-40

-3

H10/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

42-39

A14/10

Korisliiga

81.0Avg total

41.4Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	38.7	77.3	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	36.5	73.6	+0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	41.1	81.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.6	81.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	37.6	76.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.5	40.6	78.1	-3.1	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.8	35.8	74.6	+3.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.8	37.6	79.4	+4.2	60%	-

This opponent (Honka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KTP Kotka Basket

37-35

H22/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

39-38

H29/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

38-29

A03/05

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

36-44

-8

H04/05

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

34-43

-9

H11/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

#10

51-46

A02/10

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

40-34

H04/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

56-48

A07/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

#11

50-21

+29

H10/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

29-45

-16

H14/10

Korisliiga

79.3Avg total

41.0Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.2	34.7	73.9	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.7	34.1	72.8	+4.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.9	35.7	75.6	+4.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	38.3	79.3	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	45.0	74.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.2	36.6	74.8	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.8	32.4	73.2	+8.4	80%	-

This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	17.8	37.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	23.4	40.2	-6.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.8	21.2	37.1	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.7	16.9	38.6	+4.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.4	43.6	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.1	16.3	38.4	+5.7	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.7	41.6	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	20.5	38.2	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	23.1	45.5	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.7	39.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.6	23.5	44.1	-2.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.2	20.4	38.7	-2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	17.8	38.2	+2.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.3	34.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	16.2	30.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	26.0	39.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+2.9	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	42.1	80.4	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.4	38.2	75.7	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	46.6	85.7	-7.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.2	76.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	36.4	44.8	81.2	-8.3	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.1	41.2	81.3	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.6	35.4	76.0	+5.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.4	36.2	76.6	+4.3	66%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.8	36.4	77.1	+4.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.0	35.9	75.9	+4.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	35.6	73.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	34.6	74.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	50.0	87.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.0	38.5	77.5	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.9	33.3	75.2	+8.7	87%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lappeenranta wins

Honka wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/09	Honka v Lappeenranta	95-57
21/01/09	Lappeenranta v Honka	74-64
22/11/08	Honka v Lappeenranta	100-81
06/10/08	Lappeenranta v Honka	82-85

Lappeenrantalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/09	A	Kataja	92-76
10/10/09	H	Namika Lahti	91-88 OT
07/10/09	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	93-61
04/10/09	H	Pyrinto Tampere	61-94
02/10/09	A	ToPo Helsinki	57-76
13/04/09	A	Porvoon Tarmo	89-94
11/04/09	H	Kataja	85-105
08/04/09	A	KTP Kotka Basket	85-80
03/04/09	H	ToPo Helsinki	61-71
28/03/09	A	Karkkila	100-74

Honkalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/09	H	Kouvot Kouvola	66-95
10/10/09	H	Salon Vilpas	94-47
07/10/09	A	Kataja	99-83
04/10/09	H	Namika Lahti	67-66
02/10/09	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	98-76
11/05/09	H	Pyrinto Tampere	74-83
04/05/09	H	Namika Lahti	79-85
03/05/09	A	Namika Lahti	67-70
29/04/09	H	Namika Lahti	65-72
22/04/09	H	KTP Kotka Basket	75-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lappeenranta

Korisliiga 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	60%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	78.8	81.7	74.5
Allowed / game	79.0	81.0	76.0
Point differential	-0.2	+0.7	-1.5
Avg total	157.8	162.7	150.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	20%	33%	0%

Honka

Korisliiga 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	80%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	67%	100%
Points / game	84.8	75.7	98.5
Allowed / game	73.4	69.3	79.5
Point differential	+11.4	+6.3	+19.0
Avg total	158.2	145.0	178.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	33%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Pyrinto Tampere	6	6	0	100%	85.8	68.3	+17.5
2	Kouvot Kouvola	5	4	1	80%	89.6	73.6	+16.0
3	Honka	5	4	1	80%	84.8	73.4	+11.4
4	ToPo Helsinki	6	4	2	67%	81.7	74.5	+7.2
5	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	5	3	2	60%	81.4	72.2	+9.2
6	Lappeenranta	5	3	2	60%	78.8	79.0	-0.2
7	Namika Lahti	5	2	3	40%	81.4	82.4	-1.0
8	Forssan Koripojat	5	2	3	40%	71.2	78.8	-7.6
9	KTP Kotka Basket	5	1	4	20%	84.0	94.8	-10.8
10	Salon Vilpas	5	1	4	20%	68.8	84.0	-15.2
11	Kauhajoen Karhu	5	1	4	20%	76.6	95.2	-18.6
12	Kataja	5	0	5	0%	79.2	92.0	-12.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lappeenranta	28	21	25	25	99
Honka	21	28	23	23	95

← all games of the day

Lappeenranta vs Honka Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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