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Lappeenranta vs Karkkila Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 63-102
16-28 22-22 13-30 12-22
Position#11
Record2-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#3
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game77.7
FinlandI Divisioona A· Lappeenranta Sports Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lappeenranta v Karkkila
08 Jan 2026
LAPP63
KARK102
04 Feb 2009
LAPP69
KARK57
25 Oct 2008
LAPP79
KARK84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lappeenranta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LappeenrantaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLappeenranta
Date
Competition
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
58avg 66
H23/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
93-107
93
107
-14
90avg 66
A02/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
55-70
55
70
-15
42avg 66
A07/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
63-96
63
96
-33
48avg 66
H13/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
83-67
83
67
+16
74avg 66
A21/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
54avg 66
H27/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
100-77
100
77
+23
104avg 66
A05/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 66
H11/12
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
56avg 66
A20/12
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
81-106
81
106
-25
76avg 66
A04/01
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
12-16
15-17
25-21
25-28
18-26
23-28
27-25
14-14
18-10
16-22
7-24
15-20
20-20
18-29
10-27
24-20
28-12
20-16
11-19
24-20
20-27
14-8
6-25
33-23
25-16
24-11
18-27
20-25
14-14
21-16
21-28
12-27
14-25
26-14
14-23
24-18
19-38
17-30
21-20
159.4Avg total
74.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.287.3162.6-12.117%
Season at home (5)71.885.0156.8-13.20%
Season away (7)77.789.0166.7-11.329%
Last 10 (10)74.884.6159.4-9.820%
Last 5 (5)77.487.0164.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.987.2161.1-13.26%
vs Similar (10)83.585.0168.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (2)79.571.0150.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta
#11
W
107-66
107
66
+41
111avg 83
H19/10
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 83
A24/10
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
96-64
96
64
+32
90avg 83
H02/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
93-90
93
90
+3
84avg 83
A07/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
84avg 83
H16/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
53avg 83
A23/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
92-88
92
88
+4
78avg 83
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
109-79
109
79
+30
106avg 83
A04/12
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
97-84
97
84
+13
93avg 83
A12/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 83
H21/12
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
32-17
28-17
25-17
19-29
21-14
19-13
16-14
22-14
17-11
33-13
24-26
23-14
15-29
29-21
26-26
28-21
25-16
16-20
28-23
19-22
22-10
18-23
11-25
26-16
24-24
25-22
17-26
31-24
26-23
29-17
23-15
21-26
23-21
26-25
27-12
22-17
21-15
18-19
21-17
168.7Avg total
91.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.077.7168.7+13.382%
Season at home (5)94.873.2168.0+21.6100%
Season away (6)87.881.5169.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)91.876.9168.7+14.990%
Last 5 (5)90.079.8169.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.985.1157.0-13.218%
vs Similar (4)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.875.7167.4+16.189%
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
LappeenrantaKarkkila
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LappeenrantaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H23/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A02/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A07/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H13/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A21/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H27/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A05/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/12
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A20/12
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A04/01
I Divisioona A
81.0Avg total
39.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.081.9-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.740.478.1-2.729%-
Last 30 away (16)39.945.385.2-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.681.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.687.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.643.780.3-7.211%-
vs Similar (10)42.443.686.0-1.240%-
vs Weaker (2)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H19/10
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H02/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H16/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A23/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A04/12
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/12
I Divisioona A
83.7Avg total
45.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.838.277.1+0.645%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.036.476.4+3.657%-
Last 30 away (15)37.739.977.7-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)45.937.883.7+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.686.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.839.975.7-4.125%-
vs Similar (4)36.033.269.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.437.683.0+7.967%-
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lappeenrantatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lappeenranta: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.2
52.7%
51.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.8
27.6%
30.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws14.19.7
68.8%
67.7%9.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.9
54.3%
51.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.5
37.4%
30.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.313.7
67.5%
67.7%13.7
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lappeenranta
LLLWLWLLLL
Karkkila
WWWWLWWWWW
#11
League position
#3
-13.4
Net rating
+18.3
97.9
Offensive rating
113.0
111.3
Defensive rating
94.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
21.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.6%
3-point %
37.4%
61.7%
Assist %
52.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 113.0Defence111.3 · 94.8Shooting48.6% · 55.0%3-point %27.6% · 37.4%Ball care21.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.9% · 32.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Lappeenranta   ■ Karkkila
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lappeenranta wins
2
Karkkila wins
DateGameScore
19/10/25Karkkila v Lappeenranta107-66
28/03/09Karkkila v Lappeenranta74-100
04/02/09Lappeenranta v Karkkila69-57
28/12/08Karkkila v Lappeenranta68-77
25/10/08Lappeenranta v Karkkila79-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26APyrinto Akatemia81-106
20/12/25AACO Basket66-89
11/12/25HHelsingin NMKY76-83
05/12/25AHuima100-77
27/11/25HJyvaskyla64-80
21/11/25ARaiders Basket83-67
13/11/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki63-96
07/11/25AToPo Helsinki55-70
02/11/25AKipina93-107
23/10/25HRaholan Pyrkiva67-71
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HRaholan Pyrkiva82-68
12/12/25AToPo Helsinki97-84
04/12/25APyrinto Akatemia109-79
29/11/25HACO Basket92-88
23/11/25AHelsingin NMKY70-80
16/11/25HHuima97-80
07/11/25AJyvaskyla93-90
02/11/25HRaiders Basket96-64
24/10/25AHBA-Marsky Helsinki75-70
19/10/25HLappeenranta107-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lappeenranta
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %17%0%29%
Points / game75.271.877.7
Allowed / game87.385.089.0
Point differential-12.1-13.2-11.3
Avg total162.6156.8166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game91.094.887.8
Allowed / game77.773.281.5
Point differential+13.3+21.6+6.3
Avg total168.7168.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket1110191%93.569.8+23.7
2 Karkkila119282%91.077.7+13.3
3 Jyvaskyla118373%83.575.7+7.7
4 Kipina118373%94.588.9+5.6
5 ToPo Helsinki127558%83.078.8+4.2
6 Raholan Pyrkiva127558%77.175.9+1.2
7 Helsingin NMKY127558%79.183.0-3.9
8 Pyrinto Akatemia124833%81.090.2-9.2
9 HBA-Marsky Helsinki113827%77.176.9+0.2
10 Huima113827%76.486.5-10.2
11 Lappeenranta1221017%75.287.3-12.1
12 Raiders Basket121118%71.588.7-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lappeenranta1622131263
Karkkila28223022102
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