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Lappeenranta vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 54-65
17-20 19-18 12-9 6-18
Position#11
Record2-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#7
Record8-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.1
FinlandI Divisioona A· Lappeenranta Sports Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lappeenranta v ToPo Helsinki
29 Jan 2026
LAPP54
TOPO65
06 Mar 2025
LAPP74
TOPO81
24 Mar 2012
LAPP84
TOPO67
14 Dec 2011
LAPP71
TOPO76
09 Mar 2011
LAPP75
TOPO87
08 Dec 2010
LAPP85
TOPO94
17 Feb 2010
LAPP87
TOPO97
11 Nov 2009
LAPP86
TOPO81
03 Apr 2009
LAPP61
TOPO71
30 Dec 2008
LAPP85
TOPO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lappeenranta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ToPo Helsinki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LappeenrantaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLappeenranta
Date
Competition
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
63-96
63
96
-33
48avg 65
H13/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
83-67
83
67
+16
74avg 65
A21/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
54avg 65
H27/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
100-77
100
77
+23
104avg 65
A05/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 65
H11/12
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
56avg 65
A20/12
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
81-106
81
106
-25
76avg 65
A04/01
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
63-102
63
102
-39
56avg 65
H08/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A17/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
75-114
75
114
-39
62avg 65
H22/01
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
20-20
18-29
10-27
24-20
28-12
20-16
11-19
24-20
20-27
14-8
6-25
33-23
25-16
24-11
18-27
20-25
14-14
21-16
21-28
12-27
14-25
26-14
14-23
24-18
19-38
17-30
21-20
16-28
22-22
13-30
12-22
23-24
19-19
10-17
25-20
8-35
26-30
17-19
24-30
164.2Avg total
74.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.589.6164.1-15.113%
Season at home (7)71.091.6162.6-20.60%
Season away (8)77.687.9165.5-10.225%
Last 10 (10)74.889.4164.2-14.620%
Last 5 (5)72.498.2170.6-25.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.389.1163.4-14.85%
vs Similar (9)82.683.8166.3-1.256%
vs Weaker (2)79.571.0150.5+8.5100%
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
ACO Basket
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
71avg 80
A16/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
100-79
100
79
+21
106avg 80
H21/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
108-98
108
98
+10
113avg 80
A27/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
104avg 80
H05/12
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
84-97
84
97
-13
80avg 80
H12/12
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
69-57
69
57
+12
69avg 80
A19/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 80
A03/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
95avg 80
H09/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A18/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
67-68
67
68
-1
65avg 80
H23/01
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
17-19
16-14
20-24
29-20
22-20
34-14
15-25
23-19
27-26
22-37
36-16
22-8
25-21
28-23
20-23
26-21
21-23
25-26
12-27
13-16
15-10
24-14
17-17
17-22
12-19
11-20
33-17
8-25
27-19
31-23
29-24
21-21
18-34
17-28
28-15
16-14
17-25
14-14
20-15
166.9Avg total
85.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.880.1162.9+2.753%
Season at home (8)82.882.5165.2+0.250%
Season away (7)82.977.4160.3+5.457%
Last 10 (10)85.181.8166.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)77.678.4156.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.395.3176.6-14.014%
vs Similar (11)81.982.1164.0-0.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.476.2159.6+7.275%
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
LappeenrantaToPo Helsinki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LappeenrantaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H13/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A21/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H27/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A05/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/12
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A20/12
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A04/01
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H08/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
34-65
34
65
-31
H22/01
I Divisioona A
86.9Avg total
40.6Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.882.6-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.142.981.0-4.729%-
Last 30 away (16)39.444.784.1-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.386.9-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.653.289.8-16.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.245.582.6-8.311%-
vs Similar (9)41.642.684.1-1.044%-
vs Weaker (2)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ACO Basket
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H21/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H05/12
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H12/12
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A19/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A03/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H09/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A18/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H23/01
I Divisioona A
80.1Avg total
39.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.482.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.040.881.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)41.242.183.4-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.280.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.841.073.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.747.987.6-8.143%-
vs Similar (11)42.040.782.7+1.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.138.379.4+2.850%-
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lappeenrantatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lappeenranta: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.1
53.0%
51.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.0
26.1%
30.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws13.69.3
68.4%
67.7%9.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ToPo Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ToPo Helsinki: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.1
56.1%
51.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
30.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.711.1
70.7%
67.7%11.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lappeenranta
LLLLLLWLWL
ToPo Helsinki
LLWLWLWWWL
#11
League position
#7
-19.6
Net rating
+8.4
91.8
Offensive rating
104.6
111.4
Defensive rating
96.1
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
21.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.1%
3-point %
33.1%
60.9%
Assist %
77.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 104.6Defence111.4 · 96.1Shooting47.4% · 53.6%3-point %26.1% · 33.1%Ball care21.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds33.1% · 34.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Lappeenranta   ■ ToPo Helsinki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lappeenranta wins
9
ToPo Helsinki wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HKipina75-114
17/01/26ARaholan Pyrkiva77-80
08/01/26HKarkkila63-102
04/01/26APyrinto Akatemia81-106
20/12/25AACO Basket66-89
11/12/25HHelsingin NMKY76-83
05/12/25AHuima100-77
27/11/25HJyvaskyla64-80
21/11/25ARaiders Basket83-67
13/11/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki63-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HHelsingin NMKY67-68
18/01/26AKipina84-98
09/01/26HHuima95-91
03/01/26ARaholan Pyrkiva73-78
19/12/25AJyvaskyla69-57
12/12/25HKarkkila84-97
05/12/25HRaiders Basket95-75
27/11/25APyrinto Akatemia108-98
21/11/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki100-79
16/11/25AACO Basket76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lappeenranta
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %13%0%25%
Points / game74.571.077.6
Allowed / game89.691.687.9
Point differential-15.1-20.6-10.2
Avg total164.1162.6165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
ToPo Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%50%57%
Points / game82.882.882.9
Allowed / game80.182.577.4
Point differential+2.7+0.2+5.4
Avg total162.9165.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket1413193%92.569.2+23.3
2 Karkkila1512380%92.677.6+15.0
3 Kipina1512380%95.086.3+8.7
4 Jyvaskyla1410471%83.676.1+7.5
5 Helsingin NMKY159660%80.383.7-3.3
6 ToPo Helsinki158753%82.880.1+2.7
7 Raholan Pyrkiva158753%76.877.1-0.3
8 HBA-Marsky Helsinki145936%77.677.3+0.3
9 Pyrinto Akatemia1551033%77.588.1-10.7
10 Huima1431121%78.187.6-9.5
11 Lappeenranta1521313%74.589.6-15.1
12 Raiders Basket151147%71.989.1-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lappeenranta171912654
ToPo Helsinki201891865
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