Lappeenranta vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 71-76

21-16 15-19 19-22 16-19

Position#7

Record7-9

FormWWWWL

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game82.6

Lappeenranta

ToPo Helsinki 🏆

Position#5

Record9-7

FormLLWWL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game75.1

KorisliigaRound 19

Other2011-12

Meetings · Lappeenranta v ToPo Helsinki

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lappeenranta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

ToPo Helsinki winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lappeenranta Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ToPo Helsinki

72-107

107

-35

A26/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

89-98

-9

H30/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

83-90

-7

A02/11

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

76-67

H05/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

47-77

-30

H10/11

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

82-56

+26

A16/11

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

72-56

+16

H25/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

87-72

+15

A30/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

92-81 OT

+11

H02/12

Korisliiga

LoKoKo

78-84

-6

A07/12

Korisliiga

12-27

14-39

29-24

17-17

28-14

22-25

14-32

25-27

17-23

14-20

19-14

33-33

19-18

14-15

18-19

25-15

15-16

12-20

4-20

16-21

25-17

25-9

20-10

12-20

15-15

19-9

19-16

30-17

15-23

24-10

18-22

17-14

26-17

18-23

20-27

12-21

26-16

19-22

21-25

156.6Avg total

77.8Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.2	82.6	162.9	-2.4	44%
Season at home (8)	81.0	80.6	161.6	+0.4	62%
Season away (8)	79.5	84.6	164.1	-5.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	78.8	156.6	-1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	69.8	152.0	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	77.8	91.5	169.3	-13.8	6%
vs Similar (9)	83.8	78.4	162.2	+5.3	56%
vs Weaker (4)	87.0	75.0	162.0	+12.0	100%

This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ToPo Helsinki Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kouvot Kouvola

77-87

-10

A29/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

66-70

-4

H02/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

97-77

+20

A07/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

105-77

105

+28

A09/11

Korisliiga

LoKoKo

90-98

-8

H13/11

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

76-88

-12

A21/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

57-74

-17

A23/11

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

105-83

105

+22

H30/11

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

107-89

107

+18

A03/12

Korisliiga

Kataja

62-72

-10

H07/12

Korisliiga

20-21

17-22

20-18

20-26

17-20

18-23

12-12

19-15

18-18

17-26

32-10

30-23

10-19

38-18

32-24

25-16

31-20

21-29

24-21

14-28

16-20

28-24

16-18

16-26

21-20

14-23

11-16

11-15

26-26

30-18

25-16

24-23

26-18

33-21

28-22

20-28

18-20

15-16

16-17

13-19

165.7Avg total

84.2Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	83.9	75.1	159.1	+8.8	56%
Season at home (8)	87.9	78.0	165.9	+9.9	62%
Season away (8)	80.0	72.2	152.2	+7.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	81.5	165.7	+2.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	81.2	162.6	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	74.5	86.0	160.5	-11.5	0%
vs Similar (12)	85.2	79.5	164.8	+5.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	92.2	78.9	171.1	+13.3	80%

This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LappeenrantaToPo Helsinki

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	22.3	40.9	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.8	22.2	40.0	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.2	16.2	42.5	+10.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	20.0	41.7	+1.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.9	21.9	44.8	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.6	20.5	42.2	+1.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.2	39.4	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	14.8	37.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.1	21.8	40.8	-2.7	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.8	18.2	34.0	-2.5	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.1	42.4	+2.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	23.0	44.9	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	20.9	38.4	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	25.1	21.3	46.4	+3.8	50%	-

LappeenrantaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ToPo Helsinki

26-66

-40

A26/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

50-39

+11

H30/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

31-43

-12

A02/11

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

33-33

H05/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

27-36

-9

H10/11

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

50-26

+24

A16/11

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

34-24

+10

H25/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

45-40

A30/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

43-31

+12

H02/12

Korisliiga

LoKoKo

38-37

A07/12

Korisliiga

75.2Avg total

37.7Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.5	78.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	36.0	74.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	44.9	82.9	-6.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	37.5	75.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	31.6	73.6	+10.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.8	44.0	80.8	-7.2	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.9	36.4	76.3	+3.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	34.5	76.5	+7.5	75%	-

This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kouvot Kouvola

37-43

-6

A29/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

35-43

-8

H02/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

35-44

-9

A07/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

48-37

+11

A09/11

Korisliiga

LoKoKo

52-49

H13/11

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

44-44

A21/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

35-43

-8

A23/11

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

56-44

+12

H30/11

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

59-39

+20

A03/12

Korisliiga

Kataja

33-36

-3

H07/12

Korisliiga

85.6Avg total

43.4Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.9	41.6	85.4	+2.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	41.0	86.4	+4.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	42.1	84.5	+0.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	42.2	85.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	41.2	86.6	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.4	42.8	83.1	-2.4	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	44.5	42.9	87.4	+1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	46.1	39.1	85.2	+7.0	50%	-

This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.2	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	16.5	39.0	+6.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.9	41.1	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.4	39.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	14.5	20.1	34.6	-5.6	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.7	20.9	44.6	+2.8	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.2	44.0	-2.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	23.9	44.7	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.5	43.3	-1.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.8	24.1	44.9	-3.3	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	24.0	46.5	-1.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	21.0	42.0	-0.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.1	41.6	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.4	18.9	41.3	+3.5	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	44.3	85.8	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	45.7	86.2	-5.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	42.9	85.3	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.3	80.3	-2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.9	46.5	86.4	-6.5	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.7	42.0	84.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.0	40.5	85.5	+4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.4	41.5	82.9	-0.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	40.1	82.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	42.7	83.4	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	39.3	80.1	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	40.0	76.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.0	41.2	74.2	-8.2	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.4	43.2	86.5	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	46.1	39.8	85.9	+6.3	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lappeenranta wins

ToPo Helsinki wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/11	ToPo Helsinki v Lappeenranta	107-72
09/03/11	Lappeenranta v ToPo Helsinki	75-87
19/01/11	ToPo Helsinki v Lappeenranta	106-81
08/12/10	Lappeenranta v ToPo Helsinki	85-94
15/10/10	ToPo Helsinki v Lappeenranta	78-81
17/02/10	Lappeenranta v ToPo Helsinki	87-97
06/01/10	ToPo Helsinki v Lappeenranta	98-77
11/11/09	Lappeenranta v ToPo Helsinki	86-81
02/10/09	ToPo Helsinki v Lappeenranta	76-57
03/04/09	Lappeenranta v ToPo Helsinki	61-71

Lappeenrantalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/11	A	LoKoKo	78-84
02/12/11	H	KTP Kotka Basket	92-81 OT
30/11/11	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	87-72
25/11/11	H	Salon Vilpas	72-56
16/11/11	A	Kouvot Kouvola	82-56
10/11/11	H	Kataja	47-77
05/11/11	H	Namika Lahti	76-67
02/11/11	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	83-90
30/10/11	H	Pyrinto Tampere	89-98
26/10/11	A	ToPo Helsinki	72-107

ToPo Helsinkilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/11	H	Kataja	62-72
03/12/11	A	Namika Lahti	107-89
30/11/11	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	105-83
23/11/11	A	Kataja	57-74
21/11/11	A	Pyrinto Tampere	76-88
13/11/11	H	LoKoKo	90-98
09/11/11	A	KTP Kotka Basket	105-77
07/11/11	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	97-77
02/11/11	H	Salon Vilpas	66-70
29/10/11	A	Kouvot Kouvola	77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lappeenranta

Korisliiga 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	44%
Home	LWLWW	62%
Away	LLWWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	44%	62%	25%
Points / game	80.2	81.0	79.5
Allowed / game	82.6	80.6	84.6
Point differential	-2.4	+0.4	-5.1
Avg total	162.9	161.6	164.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	38%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

ToPo Helsinki

Korisliiga 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	56%
Home	WLLWL	62%
Away	WWLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	56%	62%	50%
Points / game	83.9	87.9	80.0
Allowed / game	75.1	78.0	72.2
Point differential	+8.8	+9.9	+7.8
Avg total	159.1	165.9	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kataja	17	14	3	82%	84.1	70.9	+13.1
2	Pyrinto Tampere	15	11	4	73%	87.5	81.5	+6.0
3	LoKoKo	15	11	4	73%	81.9	78.6	+3.3
4	Kauhajoen Karhu	16	10	6	62%	87.8	81.8	+5.9
5	ToPo Helsinki	16	9	7	56%	83.9	75.1	+8.8
6	Kouvot Kouvola	16	8	8	50%	76.6	77.7	-1.1
7	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	18	8	10	44%	80.5	85.6	-5.1
8	Lappeenranta	16	7	9	44%	80.2	82.6	-2.4
9	Salon Vilpas	16	5	11	31%	73.8	79.3	-5.6
10	KTP Kotka Basket	18	5	13	28%	80.9	91.4	-10.4
11	Namika Lahti	17	2	15	12%	77.1	87.2	-10.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lappeenranta	21	15	19	16	71
ToPo Helsinki	16	19	22	19	76

← all games of the day

Lappeenranta vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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