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Larochette vs Amicale Steesel Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 91-79
Projected total 170.3
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game77.6
Vs
86%
14%
■ LARO 86%■ AMIC 14%
Pythia win probability
Position#5
Record4-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.9
LuxembourgTotal LeagueRound 9· Hall sportif Centre Filano
Other2026-27
Meetings · Larochette v Amicale Steesel
15 Nov 2026
LARO v AMIC
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
LARO83
AMIC74
11 Jan 2025
LARO70
AMIC91
03 Feb 2024
LARO81
AMIC95
08 Apr 2023
LARO88
AMIC100
14 Jan 2023
LARO95
AMIC89
24 Oct 2021
LARO102
AMIC80
10 Apr 2021
LARO89
AMIC81
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Larochette will host Amicale Steesel on 15 November 2026 in the Total League, with the Pythia model designating Larochette as the favourite at 86% due to their 6-2 record, 93.2 points per game and 77.6 allowed per game, placing them second in the league, while Amicale Steesel sits at 4-4, 80.2 points per game and 80.9 allowed, fifth in the standings. Larochette is undefeated at home, 4-0, averaging 97.0 points and conceding 80.5, and has won four of its last five games, including a 96-53 win over Esch on 7 November, a 91-83 win over Soleuvre on 31 October and a 102-90 win over Bertrange on 24 October. Amicale Steesel has a 2-2 road record, 83.2 points per game and 81.0 allowed, and has won two of its last five, with a 97-87 victory over Walferdange on 31 October and a 77-76 win over Musel Pikes on 24 October, but lost to Soleuvre 70-77 at home on 7 November. Historically, Amicale Steesel has won seven of the ten meetings, most recently defeating Larochette 87-85 on 7 March 2026. Pythia projects a 91-79 score, 170.3 total points, an 86% chance of a home win and a 14% chance of an away win, with a 3% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larochette win
85.8%fair 1.17
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Amicale Steesel win
14.2%fair 7.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarochetteLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarochette
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
74avg 86
H04/04
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A15/04
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#4
W
89-59
89
59
+30
61avg 86
A19/09
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#11
W
99-64
99
64
+35
89avg 86
H26/09
Total League
Musel Pikes
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
62avg 86
A03/10
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
H10/10
Total League
Walferdange
#8
L
89-100 OT
89
100
-11
no box
A17/10
Total League
Bertrange
#1
W
102-90
102
90
+12
no box
H24/10
Total League
Soleuvre
#9
W
91-83
91
83
+8
no box
H31/10
Total League
Esch
#6
W
96-53
96
53
+43
no box
A07/11
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
17-20
19-24
29-24
18-27
27-17
19-20
26-28
20-13
20-16
22-26
27-4
18-17
22-18
31-9
28-20
24-25
19-19
22-17
19-26
26-21
23-25
25-20
22-19
26-19
14-14
16-28
23-18
30-19
23-27
28-19
21-25
31-16
17-20
23-23
20-24
22-12
37-11
24-23
13-7
173.9Avg total
92.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.277.6170.9+15.675%
Season at home (4)97.080.5177.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)89.574.8164.2+14.850%
Last 10 (10)92.681.3173.9+11.360%
Last 5 (5)94.882.2177.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.093.5168.5-18.50%
vs Similar (2)93.586.0179.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)97.182.8180.0+14.385%
This opponent (Amicale Steesel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Amicale SteeselLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSteesel
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
A26/04
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H30/04
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#12
L
81-96
81
96
-15
16avg 68
A19/09
Total League
Bertrange
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
83avg 68
H26/09
Total League
Esch
#6
W
91-61
91
61
+30
73avg 68
A03/10
Total League
Grengewald Hueschtert
#10
L
67-79
67
79
-12
no box
H10/10
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
no box
A17/10
Total League
Musel Pikes
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H24/10
Total League
Walferdange
#8
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
A31/10
Total League
Soleuvre
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
H07/11
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
12-19
14-18
25-25
12-10
19-23
25-21
24-29
20-35
14-19
27-20
20-22
14-18
23-25
28-15
30-33
16-14
15-15
30-13
30-19
20-21
15-22
13-18
19-18
13-20
21-27
15-21
15-12
17-15
23-20
18-14
19-27
28-21
16-26
21-26
32-14
14-22
27-18
11-24
18-13
161.2Avg total
79.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.280.9161.1-0.650%
Season at home (4)77.280.8158.0-3.550%
Season away (4)83.281.0164.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)79.381.9161.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)75.079.8154.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.488.9166.3-11.411%
vs Similar (8)76.071.1147.1+4.975%
vs Weaker (13)89.174.9164.0+14.285%
This opponent (Larochette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5
Over 160.5
72.2%
Under 160.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
61.0%
Under 165.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
48.9%
Under 170.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Larochette total 80
Over 80
87.7%
Under 80
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Larochette total 84
Over 84
77.5%
Under 84
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Larochette total 88
Over 88
63.3%
Under 88
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amicale Steesel total 78
Over 78
53.5%
Under 78
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amicale Steesel total 82
Over 82
37.4%
Under 82
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amicale Steesel total 86
Over 86
23.6%
Under 86
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Larochette -3
LARO -3
80.9%
AMIC +3
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
LARO
No market prices yet.
AMIC
No market prices yet.
Spread Larochette 0
LARO 0
85.8%
AMIC 0
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
LARO
No market prices yet.
AMIC
No market prices yet.
Spread Larochette +3
LARO +3
90.3%
AMIC -3
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
LARO
No market prices yet.
AMIC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
LarochetteAmicale Steesel
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarochetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H04/04
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A15/04
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A19/09
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H26/09
Total League
Musel Pikes
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/10
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
Total League
Walferdange
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/10
Total League
Bertrange
#1
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H24/10
Total League
Soleuvre
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H31/10
Total League
Esch
#6
W
59-23
59
23
+36
A07/11
Total League
84.7Avg total
45.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.040.088.0+8.183%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.140.993.0+11.393%-
Last 30 away (16)44.439.283.6+5.275%-
Last 10 (10)45.938.884.7+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.836.886.6+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.051.086.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (2)49.046.595.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)49.038.687.6+10.392%-
This opponent (Amicale Steesel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Amicale SteeselLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/04
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H30/04
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#12
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A19/09
Total League
Bertrange
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/09
Total League
Esch
#6
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A03/10
Total League
Grengewald Hueschtert
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H10/10
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A17/10
Total League
Musel Pikes
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H24/10
Total League
Walferdange
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A31/10
Total League
Soleuvre
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/11
Total League
77.6Avg total
35.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.639.079.6+1.659%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.536.576.9+4.067%-
Last 30 away (14)40.741.782.4-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)35.941.777.6-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.481.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.443.378.8-7.911%-
vs Similar (7)38.437.676.0+0.971%-
vs Weaker (13)45.336.882.1+8.585%-
This opponent (Larochette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larochettetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larochette: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.623.1
58.3%
51.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.1
34.9%
30.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
71.5%14.2
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Amicale Steeseltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amicale Steesel: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.0
54.1%
51.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.2
27.4%
30.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.712.4
66.3%
71.5%12.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larochette
WWWLWLWWLL
Amicale Steesel
LWWLLWWLLL
#2
League position
#5
+12.4
Net rating
-1.4
102.3
Offensive rating
85.7
89.9
Defensive rating
87.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
27.4%
48.0%
Assist %
48.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 85.7Defence89.9 · 87.0Shooting55.7% · 48.8%3-point %34.9% · 27.4%Ball care13.4% · 18.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Larochette   ■ Amicale Steesel
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Larochette wins
7
Amicale Steesel wins
Larochettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AEsch96-53
31/10/26HSoleuvre91-83
24/10/26HBertrange102-90
17/10/26AWalferdange89-100 OT
10/10/26HRacing Luxembourg96-85
03/10/26AMusel Pikes84-87
26/09/26HKordall Steelers99-64
19/09/26AT71 Dudelange89-59
15/04/26AT71 Dudelange90-92
04/04/26HEttelbruck90-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HSoleuvre70-77
31/10/26AWalferdange97-87
24/10/26HMusel Pikes77-76
17/10/26AT71 Dudelange64-80
10/10/26HGrengewald Hueschtert67-79
03/10/26AEsch91-61
26/09/26HBertrange95-91
19/09/26ARacing Luxembourg81-96
30/04/26HEttelbruck80-83
26/04/26AEttelbruck71-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larochette
Total League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game93.297.089.5
Allowed / game77.680.574.8
Point differential+15.6+16.5+14.8
Avg total170.9177.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Amicale Steesel
Total League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.277.283.2
Allowed / game80.980.881.0
Point differential-0.6-3.5+2.2
Avg total161.1158.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bertrange97278%89.674.3+15.2
2 Larochette86275%93.277.6+15.6
3 Ettelbruck86275%86.975.0+11.9
4 T71 Dudelange95456%77.776.4+1.2
5 Amicale Steesel84450%80.280.9-0.6
6 Esch84450%77.686.5-8.9
7 Musel Pikes94544%83.082.1+0.9
8 Walferdange94544%84.985.1-0.2
9 Soleuvre83538%86.088.5-2.5
10 Grengewald Hueschtert83538%78.587.4-8.9
11 Kordall Steelers93633%79.086.9-7.9
12 Racing Luxembourg92722%77.192.2-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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