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Latvia vs Belgium Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-72
17-25 25-19 17-13 16-15
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game63.5
Latvia 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game56.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Arena Riga
Other2023
Meetings · Latvia v Belgium
22 Nov 2024
LATV75
BELG72
28 Feb 2022
LATV68
BELG63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Latvia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#18
W
109-70
109
70
+39
no box
H25/08
World Cup
France
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
104-84
104
84
+20
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 73
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
62avg 73
H25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
28-13
27-18
27-22
26-33
23-20
13-21
26-12
23-13
19-30
15-24
18-34
17-16
12-16
18-26
27-11
22-20
23-22
36-21
23-21
16-13
18-23
25-26
20-19
18-26
28-16
21-18
20-22
28-20
21-18
28-9
21-16
23-14
17-23
17-20
22-18
15-10
16-17
14-11
19-14
162.0Avg total
85.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.563.5135.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)64.052.0116.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)79.075.0154.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.776.3162.0+9.480%
Last 5 (5)81.470.6152.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.885.8165.5-6.025%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.877.9163.6+7.975%
vs Weaker (18)83.668.3151.9+15.394%
This opponent (Belgium) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
A04/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
63-78
63
78
-15
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#36
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
A07/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
no box
A10/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#50
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
88-59
88
59
+29
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
54-82
54
82
-28
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
75-60
75
60
+15
66avg 58
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
58-53
58
53
+5
50avg 58
H25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
17-22
25-21
26-19
6-20
24-17
17-22
16-19
20-19
21-11
25-30
23-20
19-24
22-20
19-19
12-25
13-23
14-20
13-17
12-26
19-19
15-12
21-27
15-14
19-16
23-10
20-13
26-20
14-22
17-23
14-19
9-18
25-13
15-23
24-18
11-6
11-14
8-12
21-13
18-14
143.5Avg total
70.4Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)66.556.5123.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)58.053.0111.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)75.060.0135.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.473.1143.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)69.065.2134.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.869.0137.8-0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.277.2150.4-4.040%
vs Weaker (16)78.866.3145.1+12.481%
This opponent (Latvia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
LatviaBelgium
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#18
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H25/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A27/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A29/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H25/02
EuroBasket
80.0Avg total
42.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.078.4+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.834.876.6+7.192%-
Last 30 away (17)42.836.979.7+5.965%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.076.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.838.879.5+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.840.681.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker (18)43.533.376.8+10.294%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H06/09
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#36
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A07/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#50
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A11/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/02
EuroBasket
68.8Avg total
33.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.273.0+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.634.069.6+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.938.176.0-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.168.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.866.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.240.271.5-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.938.875.7-1.940%-
vs Weaker (16)38.233.571.8+4.869%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.516.5
60.0%
50.6%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
71.4%12.0
They take 51.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.513.5
41.5%
50.6%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.0
31.0%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.511.5
74.2%
71.4%11.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Latvia
WWWWLWWLWW
Belgium
WWLWLLLWLW
#2
League position
#18
+11.7
Net rating
+15.1
102.7
Offensive rating
99.1
91.0
Defensive rating
84.0
57.4%
Effective FG%
43.9%
38.6%
Opp. effective FG%
41.8%
25.6%
Turnover %
15.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.2%
3-point %
31.0%
70.0%
Assist %
57.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 99.1Defence91.0 · 84.0Shooting57.4% · 43.9%3-point %36.2% · 31.0%Ball care25.6% · 15.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 29.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Latvia   ■ Belgium
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Latvia wins
0
Belgium wins
DateGameScore
28/02/22Latvia v Belgium68-63
25/02/22Belgium v Latvia65-66
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HSlovakia64-52
22/02/24ASpain79-75
09/09/23HLithuania98-63
07/09/23AItaly87-82
06/09/23AGermany79-81
03/09/23ABrazil104-84
01/09/23ASpain74-69
29/08/23ACanada75-101
27/08/23AFrance88-86
25/08/23HLebanon109-70
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HSpain58-53
22/02/24ASlovakia75-60
27/02/23HTurkey54-82
24/02/23AGreat Britain88-59
14/11/22HGreece70-72
11/11/22ATurkey52-86
10/09/22ASlovenia72-88
07/09/22ABulgaria89-80
06/09/22HTurkey63-78
04/09/22ASpain83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Latvia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game71.564.079.0
Allowed / game63.552.075.0
Point differential+8.0+12.0+4.0
Avg total135.0116.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belgium
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game66.558.075.0
Allowed / game56.553.060.0
Point differential+10.0+5.0+15.0
Avg total123.0111.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia330100%75.058.7+16.3
2 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
3 France330100%74.061.3+12.7
4 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
5 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
6 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
7 Estonia330100%73.768.7+5.0
8 Croatia1311285%84.567.5+17.0
9 Portugal86275%82.971.6+11.2
10 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
11 Lithuania32167%74.765.3+9.3
12 Czech Republic32167%83.376.0+7.3
13 North Macedonia96367%74.266.9+7.3
14 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
15 Greece32167%72.769.7+3.0
16 Great Britain32167%84.385.3-1.0
17 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
18 Poland95456%78.474.8+3.7
19 Denmark179853%75.872.2+3.6
20 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
21 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
22 Montenegro21150%78.077.5+0.5
23 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Sweden21150%77.082.5-5.5
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
28 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
29 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
30 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%79.776.3+3.3
32 Georgia31233%74.078.0-4.0
33 Finland31233%77.784.0-6.3
34 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
35 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
36 Cyprus151147%63.180.5-17.3
37 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
38 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
39 Netherlands3030%80.089.3-9.3
40 Hungary2020%63.576.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Latvia1725171675
Belgium2519131572
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