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Lavrio vs Papagou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 86-74
Projected total 159.5
Final 70-71
21-16 14-29 20-11 15-15
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game68.7
Lavrio
Greece
Vs
85%
15%
■ LAV 85%■ PAPA 15%
Pythia win probability
Papagou 🏆
Greece
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.7
GreeceA2Round 7· Sports Center Lavrio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lavrio v Papagou
07 Nov 2026
LAV70
PAPA71
25 Oct 2025
LAV88
PAPA90
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Lavrio hosts Papagou on 7 November 2026 in the A2 competition, and the Pythia model names Lavrio the clear favourite with an 85% chance of winning, reflecting their unbeaten 6-0 record, 85.8 points per game and 68.7 points allowed per game that tops the league. Lavrio has gone 3-0 at home, averaging 88.0 points and conceding 63.0, and won all five of their recent games, including a 95-57 home win over Komotini and an 81-59 away victory over Proteas Voulas. Papagou, meanwhile, sits 11th with a 2-4 record, 76.5 points per game and 80.7 points allowed, and has only won one of their two road games, scoring 71.0 and allowing 70.5. Their last five games yielded two wins, one of which was a 71-67 away win over Komotini. In their two previous meetings Papagou has won both, most recently 77-75 on 31 January 2026. Pythia projects a 86-74 score, 159.5 total points, a home line of -10.5 with a 55% chance of covering, an over line of 156.0 with a 58% probability, and a 3% chance of overtime. The next game will see Lavrio try to extend their perfect season against a Papagou side that has struggled to keep the deficit small.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lavrio winLost
85.3%fair 1.17
Best odds1.36
Implied71.8%
Edge+13.4pp
Papagou winWon
14.7%fair 6.80
Best odds3.50
Implied28.2%
Edge-13.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalkida
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H28/03
A2
Vikos
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A08/04
A2
Vikos
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H14/04
A2
Vikos
#2
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A19/04
A2
Psychikou
#8
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H02/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A10/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H17/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#6
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A21/10
A2
Komotini
#11
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H24/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A31/10
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
25-19
28-23
18-16
28-26
20-19
24-19
15-19
22-16
15-20
18-22
19-29
23-14
20-20
16-24
18-20
14-20
19-10
21-17
20-8
23-23
12-27
32-21
19-14
26-24
20-18
21-18
28-17
31-11
12-19
15-13
23-16
19-19
25-14
20-15
31-9
26-17
21-15
16-22
21-25
157.5Avg total
83.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.868.7154.5+17.2100%
Season at home (3)88.063.0151.0+25.0100%
Season away (3)83.774.3158.0+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)83.773.8157.5+9.980%
Last 5 (5)88.271.4159.6+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.081.6163.6+0.460%
vs Similar (14)80.180.9161.1-0.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.671.0161.6+19.6100%
This opponent (Papagou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PapagouGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalkida
#6
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H08/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A15/04
A2
NE Megaridas
#3
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
L
92-111
92
111
-19
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H24/10
A2
Panionios
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H02/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
20-14
22-12
22-17
20-28
23-14
22-13
16-16
27-9
19-22
21-22
25-21
16-23
18-21
18-15
20-28
25-25
20-29
19-29
28-28
21-26
21-16
14-12
15-20
21-28
22-24
12-10
14-19
15-15
20-20
19-17
17-15
13-14
18-24
31-16
13-15
26-22
13-14
24-24
18-22
156.6Avg total
78.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.580.7157.2-4.233%
Season at home (4)79.285.8165.0-6.525%
Season away (2)71.070.5141.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.777.9156.6+0.850%
Last 5 (5)73.474.6148.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.080.4155.4-5.420%
vs Similar (19)76.973.7150.6+3.268%
vs Weaker (6)82.571.3153.8+11.267%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
70.6%
Under 150.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 155.75 · main lineActual: Under 155.75
Over 155.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under 155.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
47.0%
Under 160.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Lavrio total 77.5Actual: Lavrio under 77.5
Over 77.5
79.6%
@ 1.43+18.7pp
Under 77.5
20.4%
@ 2.23-18.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.23
Lavrio total 81.5 · main lineActual: Lavrio under 81.5
Over 81.5
66.5%
@ 1.85+17.0pp
Under 81.5
33.5%
@ 1.83-17.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Under
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.64
Lavrio total 85.5Actual: Lavrio under 85.5
Over 85.5
51.0%
@ 2.30+13.1pp
Under 85.5
49.0%
@ 1.40-13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.40
Papagou total 68.5Actual: Papagou over 68.5
Over 68.5
69.4%
Under 68.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Papagou total 72.5 · main lineActual: Papagou under 72.5
Over 72.5
54.3%
@ 1.85+3.1pp
Under 72.5
45.7%
@ 2.03-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.03
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Papagou total 76.5Actual: Papagou under 76.5
Over 76.5
38.8%
@ 1.98-5.0pp
Under 76.5
61.2%
@ 1.54+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.98
Under
1xBet
1.54

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lavrio -10Actual: Papagou +10
LAV -10
57.2%
@ 2.06+12.9pp
PAPA +10
42.8%
@ 1.64-12.9pp
Best 5 market prices
LAV
Pinnacle
2.06
PAPA
Pinnacle
1.64
Spread Lavrio -7 · main lineActual: Papagou +7
LAV -7
68.0%
@ 1.81+17.5pp
PAPA +7
32.0%
@ 1.85-17.5pp
Best 5 market prices
LAV
Pinnacle
1.81
PAPA
Pinnacle
1.85
Spread Lavrio -4Actual: Papagou +4
LAV -4
77.7%
@ 1.53+18.4pp
PAPA +4
22.3%
@ 2.23-18.4pp
Best 5 market prices
LAV
Pinnacle
1.53
PAPA
Pinnacle
2.23

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
LavrioPapagou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalkida
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/03
A2
Vikos
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A08/04
A2
Vikos
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/04
A2
Vikos
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A19/04
A2
Psychikou
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A10/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H17/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/10
A2
Komotini
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A31/10
A2
78.5Avg total
41.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)43.838.882.6+5.167%57%
Last 30 at home (15)43.136.779.9+6.473%47%
Last 30 away (15)44.540.885.3+3.760%67%
Last 10 (10)41.437.178.5+4.380%40%
Last 5 (5)43.037.480.4+5.680%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.039.080.0+2.080%40%
vs Similar (14)42.740.182.9+2.650%57%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.536.983.5+9.682%64%
This opponent (Papagou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PapagouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalkida
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/04
A2
NE Megaridas
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#6
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H24/10
A2
Panionios
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/11
A2
80.5Avg total
39.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)39.638.277.8+1.457%43%
Last 30 at home (17)39.040.979.9-1.941%47%
Last 30 away (13)40.534.775.2+5.877%38%
Last 10 (10)39.740.880.5-1.140%50%
Last 5 (5)38.040.678.6-2.620%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.842.482.2-2.640%60%
vs Similar (19)38.638.176.7+0.658%37%
vs Weaker (6)42.735.277.8+7.567%50%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Papagou win
LAV win
no forecast
@ 1.47
PAPA win
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half Spread Lavrio -5.5 · main lineActual: Papagou +5.5
LAV -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
PAPA +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Over 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Lavrio 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Lavrio under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Papagou 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Papagou over 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: LAV + total 77.5
LAV & over
no forecast
@ 2.90
LAV & under
no forecast
@ 2.95
1st half: Draw + total 77.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Papagou (regulation)
LAV
no forecast
@ 1.52
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
PAPA
no forecast
@ 2.72

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LAV win + total 155.5
🔒 Pro
PAPA win + total 155.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LAV leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAPA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Lavrio (regulation)83.5%1.38
1xBet
1.38		----+21.0ppLost
Lavrio over 8072.5%1.64
1xBet
1.64		----+20.1ppLost
Lavrio over 79.573.5%1.59
1xBet
1.59		----+19.2ppLost
Lavrio over 78.576.6%1.50
1xBet
1.50		----+18.9ppLost
Lavrio over 80.570.1%1.72
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.69		---+18.8ppLost
Lavrio over 77.579.6%1.43
1xBet
1.43		----+18.7ppLost
Lavrio -477.7%1.53
Pinnacle
1.53		----+18.4ppLost
Lavrio over 76.582.3%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+18.0ppLost
Lavrio -2.580.7%1.41
1xBet
1.41		----+17.7ppLost
Lavrio -3.578.4%1.48
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.48		---+17.6ppLost
Lavrio -671.4%1.67
Pinnacle
1.67		----+16.7ppLost
Lavrio -574.6%1.56
Pinnacle
1.56		----+16.4ppLost
Lavrio -5.572.3%1.65
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.61		---+15.7ppLost
Lavrio -4.575.4%1.55
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.52		---+15.6ppLost
Lavrio win85.3%1.29
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.34
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25		+13.4ppLost
Overtime: no97.0%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+5.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.6
47.8%
-33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.9
30.4%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws17.912.4
69.3%
-12.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Papagoutheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lavrio wins
2
Papagou wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Papagou v Lavrio77-75
25/10/25Lavrio v Papagou88-90
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AAnagennisi84-79
24/10/26HKomotini95-57
21/10/26AProteas Voulas81-59
17/10/26HGlafkos Esperos95-77
10/10/26APanerythraikos86-85
02/10/26HPsychikou74-55
19/04/26AVikos77-78
14/04/26HVikos74-87
08/04/26AVikos87-83
28/03/26HChalkida84-78
Papagoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HPanionios81-82
24/10/26HAnagennisi75-69
21/10/26AKomotini71-67
16/10/26HProteas Voulas69-81
10/10/26AGlafkos Esperos71-74
03/10/26HPanerythraikos92-111
03/05/26HVikos72-87
01/05/26ANE Megaridas92-74
15/04/26AChalkida81-71
08/04/26HChalkida83-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lavrio
A2 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.888.083.7
Allowed / game68.763.074.3
Point differential+17.2+25.0+9.3
Avg total154.5151.0158.0
Over 155.7550%33%67%
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Papagou
A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game76.579.271.0
Allowed / game80.785.870.5
Point differential-4.2-6.5+0.5
Avg total157.2165.0141.5
Over 155.7533%50%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lavrio660100%85.868.7+17.2
2 Panionios660100%84.371.8+12.5
3 NE Megaridas64267%78.270.0+8.2
4 Proteas Voulas64267%74.069.7+4.3
5 Peiramatiko Machites64267%82.379.0+3.3
6 Psychikou64267%74.774.7+0.0
7 Sofadon74357%75.671.3+4.3
8 Chalkida74357%81.379.0+2.3
9 Panerythraikos63350%89.590.8-1.3
10 Komotini73443%72.377.7-5.4
11 Papagou62433%76.580.7-4.2
12 Amyntas62433%64.777.7-13.0
13 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou61517%72.875.3-2.5
14 Glafkos Esperos61517%73.882.3-8.5
15 Koroivos61517%76.785.3-8.7
16 Anagennisi71614%72.980.3-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lavrio2114201570
Papagou1629111571
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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