PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Papagou vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 76-81
Projected total 157.9
Final 81-82
26-22 13-14 24-24 18-22
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game80.4
Papagou
Greece
Vs
33%
67%
■ PAPA 33%■ PAN 67%
Pythia win probability
Panionios 🏆
Greece
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game70.0
GreeceA2Round 6
Other2026-27
Meetings · Papagou v Panionios
02 Nov 2026
PAPA81
PAN82
21 Apr 2024
PAPA73
PAN75
11 Nov 2023
PAPA88
PAN82
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Papagou will host Panionios on 2 November 2026 in the A2 competition, and the Pythia model foresees a high-scoring affair, projecting 157.9 points as the total. Papagou enters with a 2-3 record, averaging 75.6 points and conceding 80.4, while Panionios is undefeated 5-0, scoring 84.8 and allowing only 70.0, a stark contrast that fuels the model's expectation of a high total. In their last five games Papagou won twice and lost three, with a recent win over Anagennisi 75-69 at home, whereas Panionios has won all five, including a 103-85 victory over Koroivos at home. The head-to-head history shows Panionios winning four of five encounters, most recently 75-73 on 21 April 2024. Pythia rates Panionios the favourite with a 67% chance of winning versus 33% for Papagou, and projects a 76-81 scoreline. The home team's 7.5-point line carries a 58% probability of covering, while the 151.5-point total has a 64% chance of going over; overtime is a 5% possibility.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Papagou winLost
32.9%fair 3.04
Best odds3.75
Implied26.5%
Edge+6.4pp
Panionios winWon
67.1%fair 1.49
Best odds1.31
Implied73.5%
Edge-6.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PapagouGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPapagou
Date
Competition
Vikos
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
A04/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
83-63
83
63
+20
no box
H08/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A15/04
A2
NE Megaridas
#3
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
L
92-111
92
111
-19
no box
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#15
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
no box
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
no box
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
H24/10
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
24-18
17-14
15-19
19-20
20-14
22-12
22-17
20-28
23-14
22-13
16-16
27-9
19-22
21-22
25-21
16-23
18-21
18-15
20-28
25-25
20-29
19-29
28-28
21-26
21-16
14-12
15-20
21-28
22-24
12-10
14-19
15-15
20-20
19-17
17-15
13-14
18-24
31-16
13-15
155.4Avg total
78.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.680.4156.0-4.840%
Season at home (3)78.787.0165.7-8.333%
Season away (2)71.070.5141.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.576.9155.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)75.680.4156.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.580.0153.5-6.525%
vs Similar (20)76.573.9150.4+2.565%
vs Weaker (6)82.571.3153.8+11.267%
This opponent (Panionios) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
64avg 68
H22/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 68
A29/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
103-77
103
77
+26
98avg 68
H04/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
57-71
57
71
-14
41avg 68
H19/04
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
65-75
65
75
-10
54avg 68
A25/04
Basket League
Kronos Agiou Dimitriou
#13
W
70-51
70
51
+19
no box
A05/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/10
A2
Koroivos
#16
W
103-85
103
85
+18
no box
H17/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A21/10
A2
Amyntas
#12
W
87-60
87
60
+27
no box
H24/10
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
13-23
18-28
23-14
19-18
21-22
10-18
22-27
28-20
23-22
29-11
23-24
7-21
22-17
13-21
15-12
15-19
16-12
18-20
16-24
11-19
20-16
16-9
23-7
23-15
25-24
15-12
20-26
30-21
20-30
23-17
30-17
24-19
23-16
27-15
7-27
16-8
30-13
14-22
27-17
153.1Avg total
78.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.870.0154.8+14.8100%
Season at home (3)91.074.0165.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)75.564.0139.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.974.2153.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)84.870.0154.8+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.587.4159.8-14.912%
vs Similar (8)86.583.1169.6+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.870.0154.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Papagou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146.5Actual: Over 146.5
Over 146.5
75.1%
Under 146.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151.5 · main lineActual: Over 151.5
Over 151.5
64.5%
@ 1.85+14.1pp
Under 151.5
35.5%
@ 1.88-14.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.74
Over/Under 156.5Actual: Over 156.5
Over 156.5
52.6%
Under 156.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Papagou total 68.5Actual: Papagou over 68.5
Over 68.5
77.7%
Under 68.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Papagou total 72.5 · main lineActual: Papagou over 72.5
Over 72.5
64.5%
@ 1.85+14.5pp
Under 72.5
35.5%
@ 1.85-14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Papagou total 76.5Actual: Papagou over 76.5
Over 76.5
49.3%
Under 76.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios total 76.5Actual: Panionios over 76.5
Over 76.5
68.6%
Under 76.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios total 80.5 · main lineActual: Panionios over 80.5
Over 80.5
53.6%
@ 1.91+4.5pp
Under 80.5
46.4%
@ 1.83-4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.75
Panionios total 84.5Actual: Panionios under 84.5
Over 84.5
38.1%
Under 84.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Papagou +4.5Actual: Papagou +4.5
PAPA +4.5
47.0%
PAN -4.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
PAPA
No market prices yet.
PAN
No market prices yet.
Spread Papagou +7.5 · main lineActual: Papagou +7.5
PAPA +7.5
58.4%
@ 1.86+8.2pp
PAN -7.5
41.6%
@ 1.88-8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
PAPA
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
PAN
Pinnacle
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.83
Spread Papagou +10.5Actual: Papagou +10.5
PAPA +10.5
68.7%
PAN -10.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
PAPA
No market prices yet.
PAN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
PapagouPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PapagouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/04
A2
Chalkida
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/04
A2
NE Megaridas
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H24/10
A2
81.6Avg total
40.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74.5
Last 30 (30)39.538.377.8+1.253%67%
Last 30 at home (16)39.041.280.2-2.238%81%
Last 30 away (14)40.035.075.0+5.071%50%
Last 10 (10)40.541.181.6-0.640%70%
Last 5 (5)39.244.283.4-5.00%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.044.084.0-4.025%100%
vs Similar (20)38.438.176.5+0.355%55%
vs Weaker (6)42.735.277.8+7.567%83%
This opponent (Panionios) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H22/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A29/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H04/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/04
Basket League
Aris
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A25/04
Basket League
Kronos Agiou Dimitriou
#13
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A05/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
A2
Koroivos
#16
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H17/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A21/10
A2
Amyntas
#12
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H24/10
A2
77.4Avg total
40.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74.5
Last 30 (30)38.541.880.3-3.340%60%
Last 30 at home (16)39.341.480.7-2.144%56%
Last 30 away (14)37.642.279.8-4.636%64%
Last 10 (10)40.037.477.4+2.640%50%
Last 5 (5)44.436.280.6+8.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.143.378.4-8.218%53%
vs Similar (8)42.142.084.1+0.175%75%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.436.280.6+8.260%60%
This opponent (Papagou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Papagou win
PAPA win
no forecast
@ 2.87
PAN win
no forecast
@ 1.43
1st half Spread Papagou +3.5 · main lineActual: Papagou +3.5
PAPA +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
PAN -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Over/Under 74.5 · main lineActual: Over 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Papagou 1st half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Papagou over 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Panionios 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Panionios under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half: PAPA + total 74.5
PAPA & over
no forecast
@ 5.25
PAPA & under
no forecast
@ 5.25
1st half: Draw + total 74.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Panionios (regulation)
PAPA
no forecast
@ 3.00
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
PAN
no forecast
@ 1.48

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
PAPA win + total 151.5
🔒 Pro
PAN win + total 151.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAPA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 147.573.1%1.84
1xBet
1.84		----+24.5ppWon
Over 14872.5%1.57
Pinnacle
1.57		----+14.4ppWon
Over 148.571.0%1.67
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.61		---+14.2ppWon
Over 14970.4%1.64
Pinnacle
1.64		----+13.6ppWon
Overtime: no95.1%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+3.8pp-
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Papagoutheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.6
49.0%
-35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.0
33.5%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
-12.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Papagou wins
4
Panionios wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Papagou v Panionios73-75
18/04/24Panionios v Papagou89-56
21/02/24Panionios v Papagou76-73
06/12/23Panionios v Papagou88-83
11/11/23Papagou v Panionios88-82
Papagoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAnagennisi75-69
21/10/26AKomotini71-67
16/10/26HProteas Voulas69-81
10/10/26AGlafkos Esperos71-74
03/10/26HPanerythraikos92-111
03/05/26HVikos72-87
01/05/26ANE Megaridas92-74
15/04/26AChalkida81-71
08/04/26HChalkida83-63
04/04/26AVikos79-72
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAmyntas87-60
21/10/26AAnagennisi81-77
17/10/26HKoroivos103-85
10/10/26HKomotini83-77
05/10/26AKronos Agiou Dimitriou70-51
25/04/26AAris65-75
19/04/26HAEK Athens57-71
04/04/26HIraklis103-77
29/03/26AAS Karditsas72-85
22/03/26HPanathinaikos68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Papagou
A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game75.678.771.0
Allowed / game80.487.070.5
Point differential-4.8-8.3+0.5
Avg total156.0165.7141.5
Over 151.520%33%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panionios
A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.891.075.5
Allowed / game70.074.064.0
Point differential+14.8+17.0+11.5
Avg total154.8165.0139.5
Over 151.560%67%50%
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lavrio660100%85.868.7+17.2
2 Panionios550100%84.870.0+14.8
3 NE Megaridas64267%78.270.0+8.2
4 Proteas Voulas64267%74.069.7+4.3
5 Peiramatiko Machites64267%82.379.0+3.3
6 Psychikou64267%74.774.7+0.0
7 Sofadon63350%76.574.0+2.5
8 Chalkida63350%81.882.0-0.2
9 Panerythraikos63350%89.590.8-1.3
10 Komotini63350%75.279.0-3.8
11 Papagou52340%75.680.4-4.8
12 Amyntas62433%64.777.7-13.0
13 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou61517%72.875.3-2.5
14 Anagennisi61517%74.880.7-5.8
15 Glafkos Esperos61517%73.882.3-8.5
16 Koroivos61517%76.785.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Papagou2613241881
Panionios2214242282
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.