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Le Havre vs Caen Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record3-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game87.9
FrancePro BRound 14
Other2026-27
Meetings · Le Havre v Caen
11 Dec 2026
LHA v CAEN
upcoming
03 Nov 2017
LHA83
CAEN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Havre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Caen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le HavreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHavre
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
H10/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#15
W
90-77
90
77
+13
80avg 85
H25/09
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
85-100
85
100
-15
77avg 85
A02/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
94-79
94
79
+15
96avg 85
H09/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
89-94
89
94
-5
85avg 85
H16/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
78avg 85
A20/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
95-103
95
103
-8
79avg 85
H24/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
103avg 85
A30/10
Pro B
Orleans
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
78-95
78
95
-17
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
22-14
22-24
11-19
15-15
20-17
24-27
31-18
16-30
16-23
18-20
35-27
25-20
25-18
25-22
19-19
23-33
30-21
13-20
23-20
16-11
25-24
13-26
27-22
27-22
24-20
27-26
17-35
27-29
28-29
21-10
25-6
22-27
21-28
22-25
27-15
23-24
23-29
13-29
19-13
176.1Avg total
87.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.488.9178.3+0.633%
Season at home (6)89.790.5180.2-0.833%
Season away (3)89.085.7174.7+3.333%
Last 10 (10)87.988.2176.1-0.330%
Last 5 (5)89.490.0179.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.990.5171.4-9.610%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.582.3162.7-1.836%
vs Weaker (3)89.785.3175.0+4.367%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 70
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
88avg 70
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
102avg 70
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
90-77
90
77
+13
82avg 70
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
63avg 70
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 70
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 70
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
65avg 70
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
14-24
38-28
27-17
22-16
27-23
19-25
13-17
22-18
22-25
20-21
28-28
24-27
31-24
14-10
21-16
19-24
17-17
21-16
19-23
19-15
23-20
15-20
15-26
17-14
21-26
14-22
22-17
20-21
19-25
22-28
16-28
20-15
17-23
19-21
19-16
23-17
24-19
20-20
19-27
174.0Avg total
86.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.687.9173.4-2.344%
Season at home (5)83.283.0166.2+0.240%
Season away (4)88.594.0182.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.387.7174.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.886.4165.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.983.5158.4-8.628%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.486.0171.4-0.656%
vs Weaker (3)87.086.3173.3+0.767%
This opponent (Le Havre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
Le HavreCaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le HavreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#15
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H25/09
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H09/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H16/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A20/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H24/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A30/10
Pro B
Orleans
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H06/11
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H13/11
Pro B
90.6Avg total
44.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.444.085.4-2.645%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.842.585.3+0.353%-
Last 30 away (10)38.746.985.6-8.230%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.990.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.695.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.448.287.6-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.343.285.5-0.945%-
vs Weaker (3)39.041.080.0-2.067%-
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/11
Pro B
82.5Avg total
41.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.280.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.377.9-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.538.676.1-1.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.440.682.0+0.967%-
vs Weaker (3)44.344.088.3+0.367%-
This opponent (Le Havre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Havretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Havre: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.1
56.2%
53.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.118.0
74.7%
74.0%18.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
53.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
74.0%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Havre
LLWLLLWLWL
Caen
WLLLLLWWWW
#16
League position
#12
+4.2
Net rating
-4.3
101.0
Offensive rating
92.4
96.8
Defensive rating
96.7
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.1%
3-point %
33.0%
67.3%
Assist %
57.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 92.4Defence96.8 · 96.7Shooting54.9% · 50.9%3-point %35.1% · 33.0%Ball care18.8% · 16.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Le Havre   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Le Havre wins
2
Caen wins
DateGameScore
02/03/18Caen v Le Havre88-69
03/11/17Le Havre v Caen83-85
Le Havrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HLevallois78-95
06/11/26HOrleans92-95
30/10/26AEvreux101-74
24/10/26HDenain-Voltaire95-103
20/10/26AHyeres-Toulon81-83
16/10/26HQuimper89-94
09/10/26HFos-sur-Mer94-79
02/10/26AAix Maurienne85-100
25/09/26HSt. Chamond90-77
10/11/25HAda Blois74-82
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ADenain-Voltaire86-83
06/11/26HASA85-87 OT
30/10/26AAntibes77-102
23/10/26HPoitiers74-79
20/10/26HQuimper72-81
16/10/26AVichy76-80
09/10/26HHyeres-Toulon90-77
02/10/26ASt. Chamond115-111 OT
25/09/26HAix Maurienne95-91 OT
15/05/26AAntibes93-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Havre
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game89.489.789.0
Allowed / game88.990.585.7
Point differential+0.6-0.8+3.3
Avg total178.3180.2174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caen
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game85.683.288.5
Allowed / game87.983.094.0
Point differential-2.3+0.2-5.5
Avg total173.4166.2182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %33%40%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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