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Le Havre vs Nantes Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record3-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.0
FrancePro BRound 25
Other2026-27
Meetings · Le Havre v Nantes
05 Mar 2027
LHA v NANT
upcoming
16 Mar 2018
LHA79
NANT74
09 May 2017
LHA82
NANT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Havre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le HavreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHavre
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
H10/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#15
W
90-77
90
77
+13
80avg 85
H25/09
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
85-100
85
100
-15
77avg 85
A02/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
94-79
94
79
+15
96avg 85
H09/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
89-94
89
94
-5
85avg 85
H16/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
78avg 85
A20/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
95-103
95
103
-8
79avg 85
H24/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
103avg 85
A30/10
Pro B
Orleans
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
78-95
78
95
-17
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
22-14
22-24
11-19
15-15
20-17
24-27
31-18
16-30
16-23
18-20
35-27
25-20
25-18
25-22
19-19
23-33
30-21
13-20
23-20
16-11
25-24
13-26
27-22
27-22
24-20
27-26
17-35
27-29
28-29
21-10
25-6
22-27
21-28
22-25
27-15
23-24
23-29
13-29
19-13
176.1Avg total
87.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.488.9178.3+0.633%
Season at home (6)89.790.5180.2-0.833%
Season away (3)89.085.7174.7+3.333%
Last 10 (10)87.988.2176.1-0.330%
Last 5 (5)89.490.0179.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.990.5171.4-9.610%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.582.3162.7-1.836%
vs Weaker (3)89.785.3175.0+4.367%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 80
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 80
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
74avg 80
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
73-90
73
90
-17
65avg 80
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 80
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 80
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
99-90
99
90
+9
95avg 80
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 80
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-21
13-20
15-18
27-24
14-22
21-12
11-23
19-15
12-15
21-15
24-17
22-18
16-26
12-32
23-14
21-21
21-18
18-17
23-22
27-19
20-23
30-17
20-23
15-23
32-16
25-26
27-25
16-22
30-26
16-24
10-24
20-13
23-19
14-26
17-17
24-24
23-18
23-26
24-25
164.8Avg total
81.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.383.0165.3-0.756%
Season at home (4)83.076.2159.2+6.875%
Season away (5)81.888.4170.2-6.640%
Last 10 (10)81.683.2164.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)87.287.2174.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)85.581.0166.6+4.562%
vs Weaker (6)93.779.8173.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Le Havre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Le HavreNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le HavreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#15
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H25/09
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H09/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H16/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A20/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H24/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A30/10
Pro B
Orleans
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H06/11
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H13/11
Pro B
90.6Avg total
44.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.444.085.4-2.645%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.842.585.3+0.353%-
Last 30 away (10)38.746.985.6-8.230%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.990.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.695.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.448.287.6-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.343.285.5-0.945%-
vs Weaker (3)39.041.080.0-2.067%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/11
Pro B
83.8Avg total
42.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.936.981.8+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)44.743.488.1+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.983.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.686.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)43.440.183.5+3.357%-
vs Weaker (6)50.739.890.5+10.883%-
This opponent (Le Havre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Havretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Havre: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.1
56.2%
53.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.118.0
74.7%
74.0%18.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.8
54.2%
53.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
33.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.3
67.4%
74.0%16.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Havre
LLWLLLWLWL
Nantes
WLLWWWLWLL
#16
League position
#9
+4.2
Net rating
-1.8
101.0
Offensive rating
91.1
96.8
Defensive rating
92.9
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
18.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.1%
3-point %
29.2%
67.3%
Assist %
65.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 91.1Defence96.8 · 92.9Shooting54.9% · 50.0%3-point %35.1% · 29.2%Ball care18.8% · 15.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Le Havre   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Le Havre wins
2
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
16/03/18Le Havre v Nantes79-74
01/12/17Nantes v Le Havre63-58
09/05/17Le Havre v Nantes82-77
25/11/16Nantes v Le Havre82-71
Le Havrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HLevallois78-95
06/11/26HOrleans92-95
30/10/26AEvreux101-74
24/10/26HDenain-Voltaire95-103
20/10/26AHyeres-Toulon81-83
16/10/26HQuimper89-94
09/10/26HFos-sur-Mer94-79
02/10/26AAix Maurienne85-100
25/09/26HSt. Chamond90-77
10/11/25HAda Blois74-82
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AAix Maurienne94-93
06/11/26HVichy74-75
30/10/26ADenain-Voltaire72-96
23/10/26HASA99-90
20/10/26AEvreux97-82
16/10/26HRouen83-78
09/10/26APoitiers73-90
02/10/26HQuimper76-62
26/09/26AAntibes73-81
09/06/26APoitiers75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Havre
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game89.489.789.0
Allowed / game88.990.585.7
Point differential+0.6-0.8+3.3
Avg total178.3180.2174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nantes
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game82.383.081.8
Allowed / game83.076.288.4
Point differential-0.7+6.8-6.6
Avg total165.3159.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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