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Le Mans vs Nancy Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#12
Record2-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game84.7
FranceLNBRound 30· Antares
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Le Mans v Nancy
30 Apr 2026
LMA102
NAC74
01 Dec 2024
LMA85
NAC96
11 Nov 2023
LMA98
NAC66
27 Dec 2022
LMA96
NAC82
10 Dec 2016
LMA85
NAC70
07 May 2016
LMA81
NAC64
10 May 2015
LMA74
NAC70
21 Feb 2015
LMA64
NAC62
05 Mar 2014
LMA49
NAC59
07 Dec 2013
LMA56
NAC77
08 Oct 2012
LMA68
NAC56
29 May 2012
LMA92
NAC84
22 May 2012
LMA64
NAC89
19 Nov 2011
LMA80
NAC78
26 Nov 2010
LMA76
NAC79
30 Oct 2009
LMA66
NAC64
17 May 2009
LMA79
NAC65
11 Jan 2009
LMA92
NAC82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nancy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
A26/09
LNB
Aris
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H29/09
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H04/10
LNB
Tortona
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A07/10
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#30
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#8
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#14
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
19-15
16-23
29-20
26-15
14-24
15-24
19-24
21-17
20-29
33-25
27-32
20-22
24-24
22-20
17-23
24-33
25-18
25-16
24-20
19-18
32-16
20-18
11-18
26-28
22-24
26-20
17-18
22-16
21-22
28-14
13-14
16-19
27-28
27-10
27-15
19-21
21-27
27-17
16-25
174.7Avg total
89.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)98.089.8187.8+8.280%
Season at home (2)96.096.5192.5-0.550%
Season away (3)99.385.3184.7+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.685.1174.7+4.560%
Last 5 (5)87.477.6165.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar (13)82.287.2169.4-5.123%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)95.181.7176.8+13.3100%
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H27/09
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H03/10
LNB
Vienna Basket
#39
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chalon/Saone
#4
L
67-108
67
108
-41
A10/10
LNB
Parnu
#34
W
84-61
84
61
+23
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#6
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H17/10
LNB
Nitra Blue Wings
#44
W
99-60
99
60
+39
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A25/10
LNB
Szczecin
#12
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#3
W
108-94
108
94
+14
A30/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
17-14
24-16
17-27
21-26
19-23
14-19
22-17
19-13
24-16
12-16
11-20
24-28
18-29
10-23
15-28
28-18
15-13
12-10
29-20
19-20
27-18
19-16
15-11
28-16
18-11
29-13
24-20
24-18
16-25
17-15
17-20
21-22
25-28
21-18
20-22
25-30
21-17
27-21
35-26
159.8Avg total
81.4Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.784.7164.3-5.033%
Season at home (3)76.376.0152.3+0.333%
Season away (3)83.093.3176.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)81.478.4159.8+3.050%
Last 5 (5)89.677.4167.0+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.689.6170.1-9.021%
vs Similar (10)85.285.1170.3+0.150%
vs Weaker (6)86.569.8156.3+16.767%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
Le MansNancy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/09
LNB
Aris
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/09
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/10
LNB
Tortona
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/10
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#30
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#14
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
88.4Avg total
44.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.887.8+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.943.688.6+1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.186.9-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.488.4-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.043.583.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (13)39.445.484.8-6.015%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.542.591.0+5.967%-
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H27/09
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H03/10
LNB
Vienna Basket
#39
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chalon/Saone
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A10/10
LNB
Parnu
#34
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/10
LNB
Nitra Blue Wings
#44
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Szczecin
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A30/10
LNB
83.0Avg total
42.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.884.8+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.438.383.7+7.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.645.385.9-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.683.0+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.085.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.943.184.0-2.329%-
vs Similar (10)44.243.287.4+1.060%-
vs Weaker (6)46.036.582.5+9.567%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.7
53.6%
55.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.1
36.4%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.914.9
74.9%
74.2%14.9
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nancytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nancy: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.8
49.5%
55.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
74.2%17.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
LWWWWWLLLW
Nancy
WLLWWWLWLL
#5
League position
#12
+5.5
Net rating
+4.6
97.8
Offensive rating
93.6
92.3
Defensive rating
89.0
54.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.4%
3-point %
36.4%
52.8%
Assist %
55.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 93.6Defence92.3 · 89.0Shooting54.1% · 51.5%3-point %36.4% · 36.4%Ball care14.9% · 16.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Le Mans   ■ Nancy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Le Mans wins
4
Nancy wins
DateGameScore
30/04/26Le Mans v Nancy102-74
22/11/25Nancy v Le Mans76-78
07/03/25Nancy v Le Mans97-89
01/12/24Le Mans v Nancy85-96
13/04/24Nancy v Le Mans68-60
11/11/23Le Mans v Nancy98-66
08/04/23Nancy v Le Mans100-80
07/02/23Nancy v Le Mans78-86
27/12/22Le Mans v Nancy96-82
09/05/17Nancy v Le Mans76-82
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem83-90
24/10/26ABoulazac97-72
21/10/26ACedevita Olimpija84-66
18/10/26HJL Bourg91-90
14/10/26HRostock82-70
11/10/26ASaint Quentin98-87
07/10/26ATortona83-89
04/10/26HParis101-103
29/09/26HAris74-87
26/09/26AGravelines-Dunkerque103-97 OT
Nancylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADijon108-94
28/10/26ASzczecin87-90
25/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne74-78
20/10/26HNitra Blue Wings99-60
17/10/26HNanterre80-65
13/10/26AParnu84-61
10/10/26AChalon/Saone67-108
06/10/26HVienna Basket66-65
03/10/26HCholet76-85
27/09/26HParis73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game98.096.099.3
Allowed / game89.896.585.3
Point differential+8.2-0.5+14.0
Avg total187.8192.5184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %20%0%33%
Nancy
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game79.776.383.0
Allowed / game84.776.093.3
Point differential-5.0+0.3-10.3
Avg total164.3152.3176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris550100%93.081.6+11.4
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne550100%87.679.0+8.6
3 Dijon65183%92.583.5+9.0
4 Chalon/Saone54180%91.877.4+14.4
5 Le Mans54180%98.089.8+8.2
6 Nanterre53260%82.675.8+6.8
7 Strasbourg63350%82.087.3-5.3
8 JL Bourg52340%89.087.8+1.2
9 Cholet52340%80.284.8-4.6
10 Roanne52340%79.285.2-6.0
11 Pau-Orthez52340%78.284.4-6.2
12 Nancy62433%79.784.7-5.0
13 Limoges51420%87.489.4-2.0
14 Boulazac51420%77.085.6-8.6
15 Saint Quentin61517%88.797.3-8.7
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque5050%79.891.0-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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