Le Moyne faces Manhattan on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Le Moyne as the favourite at 89% versus 11% for Manhattan, a reflection of Le Moyne's 1-2 record, 76.0 points scored and 76.0 allowed per game, and a league position of 273 compared with Manhattan's 1-2 record, 64.3 points scored and 73.0 allowed per game, league position 289. Le Moyne's sole home game, a 109-39 victory over Elmira, shows a dominant 109.0 points per game and 39.0 allowed, while Manhattan's road outings average 62.5 points and 73.5 allowed. In the last five games each side has won only one, with Le Moyne's recent loss to Creighton 55-83 and Manhattan's defeat by Kentucky 57-85 underscoring recent struggles. Historically, Le Moyne has a 1-0 edge in the single meeting, winning 81-77 on 29 November 2024. The projected score is 82-68, with a total of 149.4 points; the home line of -3.5 carries an 83% chance of covering, and the over on 148.5 has a 52% probability, with a 2% chance of overtime. The game will likely see Le Moyne's high-scoring home performance prevail.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Le Moyne winWon
88.8%fair 1.13
Best odds1.76
Implied55.9%
Edge+32.9pp
Manhattan winLost
11.2%fair 8.91
Best odds2.33
Implied44.1%
Edge-32.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Le Moyne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Under 142.5
Over 142.5
66.1%
@ 1.50+4.0pp
Under 142.5
33.9%
@ 2.50-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 147.5 · main lineActual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
54.2%
@ 1.95+3.9pp
Under 147.5
45.8%
@ 1.93-3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Under
SBO
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
42.0%
@ 2.70+6.1pp
Under 152.5
58.0%
@ 1.47-6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.41
📊 3. Team Totals
Le Moyne total 72Actual: Le Moyne over 72
Over 72
84.3%
Under 72
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Moyne total 76 · main linePush
Over 76
72.3%
@ 1.85+22.3pp
Under 76
27.7%
@ 1.87-22.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Le Moyne total 80Actual: Le Moyne under 80
Over 80
56.9%
Under 80
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manhattan total 69Actual: Manhattan under 69
Over 69
44.1%
Under 69
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manhattan total 73 · main lineActual: Manhattan under 73
Over 73
29.0%
@ 1.87-21.0pp
Under 73
71.0%
@ 1.87+21.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Manhattan total 77Actual: Manhattan under 77
Over 77
17.1%
Under 77
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Le Moyne -5.5Actual: Le Moyne -5.5
LE M -5.5
77.8%
@ 2.30+36.3pp
MANH +5.5
22.2%
@ 1.72-36.3pp
Best 5 market prices
LE M
Bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.27
MANH
Marathon Be
1.72
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Spread Le Moyne -2.5 · main lineActual: Le Moyne -2.5
LE M -2.5
85.0%
@ 1.93+35.4pp
MANH +2.5
15.0%
@ 1.97-35.4pp
Best 5 market prices
LE M
Pinnacle
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
Betano
1.88
MANH
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.84
Spread Le Moyne +0.5Actual: Le Moyne +0.5
LE M +0.5
88.8%
MANH -0.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
LE M
No market prices yet.
MANH
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Le MoyneManhattan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Le Moyne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Le Moyne win
LE M win
no forecast
@ 1.78
MANH win
no forecast
@ 2.05
2nd half Spread Le Moyne -1.5 · main lineActual: Le Moyne -1.5
LE M -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
MANH +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
2nd half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Under 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Le Moyne (regulation)
LE M
no forecast
@ 1.82
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
MANH
no forecast
@ 2.12
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Le Moyne -4
82.6%
2.02
Pinnacle
2.21
Bet365
2.05
SBO
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.90
-
+39.2pp
Won
Le Moyne -7
74.1%
2.62
Bet365
2.62
-
-
-
-
+38.6pp
Won
Le Moyne -8
70.9%
2.85
Bet365
2.85
-
-
-
-
+38.5pp
Won
Le Moyne -6
77.1%
2.40
Bet365
2.40
-
-
-
-
+38.3pp
Won
Le Moyne -3.5
83.0%
1.93
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
+37.8pp
Won
Le Moyne -3
84.7%
1.90
Pinnacle
2.03
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.94
1xBet
1.81
SBO
1.78
+37.4pp
Won
Le Moyne -6.5
74.9%
2.48
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
-
-
-
+37.4pp
Won
Le Moyne -7.5
71.9%
2.67
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.65
-
-
-
+37.3pp
Won
Le Moyne -5
79.9%
2.12
Bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
2.20
Marathon Bet
1.95
-
-
+36.6pp
Won
Le Moyne -5.5
77.8%
2.29
Bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.27
-
-
+36.3pp
Won
Le Moyne -2.5
85.0%
1.88
Pinnacle
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.89
Betano
1.88
+35.4pp
Won
Le Moyne -4.5
80.5%
2.06
Bet365
2.12
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathon Bet
1.90
-
+35.0pp
Won
Le Moyne -2
87.1%
1.79
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.70
-
+35.0pp
Won
Le Moyne (regulation)
87.2%
1.69
Marathon Bet
1.72
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.62
-
-
+34.6pp
Won
Le Moyne win
88.8%
1.69
Bet365
1.76
1xBet
1.73
WilliamHill
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.68
+32.9pp
Won
Le Moyne -1.5
87.4%
1.76
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.74
+32.8pp
Won
Le Moyne -1
88.6%
1.74
Bet365
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.71
-
-
+32.7pp
Won
Le Moyne +2
91.4%
1.57
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
+31.8pp
Won
Le Moyne +1
89.8%
1.64
Bet365
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
-
-
+31.2pp
Won
Le Moyne +1.5
89.9%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.55
-
-
+30.1pp
Won
Le Moyne +2.5
91.5%
1.50
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+29.2pp
Won
Le Moyne +3
92.5%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+28.2pp
Won
Le Moyne +3.5
92.6%
1.43
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+27.3pp
Won
Le Moyne over 73.5
79.5%
1.75
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.70
-
-
-
+26.8pp
Won
Le Moyne +4
93.6%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Won
Le Moyne over 74.5
76.5%
1.86
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
+26.5pp
Won
Le Moyne over 75.5
73.3%
1.90
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.86
+26.2pp
Won
Le Moyne over 75
75.7%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+25.7pp
Won
Le Moyne +4.5
93.6%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+25.6pp
Won
Le Moyne +5
94.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+24.4pp
Won
Le Moyne +5.5
94.6%
1.31
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
+23.7pp
Won
Le Moyne over 71.5
84.7%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+23.2pp
Won
Le Moyne over 72.5
82.2%
1.54
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+22.7pp
Won
Le Moyne over 76
72.3%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
-
-
+22.3pp
Push
Le Moyne +7.5
96.1%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+21.4pp
Won
Le Moyne +6.5
95.4%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Won
Manhattan under 73
71.0%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
-
-
+21.0pp
Won
Le Moyne over 69.5
88.9%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+20.6pp
Won
Le Moyne over 70.5
86.9%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+20.3pp
Won
Manhattan under 73.5
72.0%
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
+19.1pp
Won
Le Moyne +8.5
96.7%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+18.9pp
Won
Manhattan under 74.5
75.2%
1.60
Betano
1.60
-
-
-
-
+18.4pp
Won
Manhattan under 76.5
80.9%
1.46
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Manhattan under 78.5
85.6%
1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
+16.9pp
Won
Manhattan under 75.5
78.1%
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+16.6pp
Won
Le Moyne over 68.5
90.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Manhattan under 77.5
83.3%
1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Won
Le Moyne +12.5
98.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+13.9pp
Won
Manhattan under 80.5
89.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+13.2pp
Won
Le Moyne +13.5
98.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
Manhattan under 79.5
87.6%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
Le Moyne +11.5
98.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Won
Le Moyne +17.5
99.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+9.9pp
Won
Le Moyne +18.5
99.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Le Moyne +16.5
99.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
Overtime: no
97.6%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Le Moyne +22.5
99.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
Le Moyne +23.5
99.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
Le Moyne +21.5
99.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Over 140
72.0%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Lost
Over 140.5
70.5%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Lost
Over 122.5
95.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Over 139.5
72.6%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Lost
Over 137.5
76.6%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Over 127.5
91.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Over 123.5
94.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Under 173.5
93.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Over 132.5
85.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Over 128.5
90.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Under 172.5
92.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Over 138.5
74.6%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Lost
Under 168.5
88.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Over 133.5
83.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.6pp
Won
Le Moyne under 95.5
91.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Won
Under 167.5
86.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Under 163.5
80.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Le Moyne under 94.5
90.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Manhattan over 55.5
88.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Under 158.5
71.6%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Le Moyne under 92.5
86.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
Manhattan over 56.5
86.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
Under 162.5
79.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Manhattan over 57.5
84.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-6.4pp
Won
Le Moyne under 90.5
81.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-9.0pp
Won
Manhattan over 58.5
81.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-9.0pp
Won
Manhattan over 59.5
79.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-9.7pp
Won
Manhattan +23.5
80.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-10.0pp
Won
Manhattan +22.5
77.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-12.5pp
Won
Manhattan over 60.5
76.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-12.7pp
Won
Le Moyne under 88.5
75.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-13.1pp
Won
Manhattan over 61.5
72.8%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-13.3pp
Won
Manhattan +21.5
75.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-14.6pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.