PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nebraska vs Le Moyne Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 106-64
58-32 48-32
Position#48
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Nebraska 🏆
USA
Vs
91%
■ NEBR 91%■ LE M 9%
Pythia win probability
Projected 80-65
Projected total 145.4
Le Moyne
USA
Position#388
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Nebraska faces Le Moyne in the NCAA on 2 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Nebraska the clear favourite, rating them 91% to win largely because of their dominant season performance and the 80-65 projected score. Nebraska's season record shows a strong offensive output and a solid defence, while Le Moyne's season record reflects a struggling campaign, with only one win in their last five games, including a 71-81 loss to Stonehill and a 59-66 defeat to New Haven. Nebraska's last five games include three wins and two losses, with a recent 74-72 victory over Vanderbilt and a 76-47 win over Troy, whereas Le Moyne's recent results include a 76-59 win over Fairleigh Dickinson but losses to Stonehill and New Haven. The head-to-head history is sparse, with no recent meetings recorded. Pythia's win probabilities are 91% for Nebraska and 9% for Le Moyne, projecting a 80-65 score and a total of 145.4 points; the main total line is 152.5 with a 33% chance of the over, and there is a 2% chance of overtime. Nebraska's 80-point output is the most concrete fact about the game.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nebraska winWon
90.5%fair 1.10
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Moyne winLost
9.5%fair 10.56
Best odds41.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H21/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H26/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A28/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
84-75 OT
84
75
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H13/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H19/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H22/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H26/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
24-24
38-20
49-44
33-27
41-34
31-36
51-31
24-37
28-35
30-26
40-44
28-41
30-33
41-25
35-22
39-32
35-40
46-43
25-34
137.6Avg total
71.0Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.066.6137.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)72.669.0141.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
vs Similar (11)72.471.1143.5+1.355%
vs Weaker (18)77.062.1139.1+14.994%
Le MoyneUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#283
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H31/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A06/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A20/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H27/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-32
26-33
35-40
43-39
38-45
48-39
25-29
33-28
42-29
39-34
34-39
43-39
24-32
44-45
36-33
40-26
31-31
28-35
32-39
39-42
141.7Avg total
70.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.870.9141.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)70.272.2142.4-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.589.0145.5-32.50%
vs Similar (21)71.975.4147.2-3.533%
vs Weaker (7)78.765.1143.9+13.6100%
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Over 147.5
Over 147.5
44.6%
@ 1.47-18.8pp
Under 147.5
55.4%
@ 2.60+18.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Over 152.5
Over 152.5
32.8%
@ 1.92-17.2pp
Under 152.5
67.2%
@ 1.90+17.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.92
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5
Over 157.5
22.7%
@ 2.60-13.8pp
Under 157.5
77.3%
@ 1.47+13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Nebraska total 88.5Actual: Nebraska over 88.5
Over 88.5
20.2%
@ 1.40-44.3pp
Under 88.5
79.8%
@ 2.55+44.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.55
Nebraska total 92.5 · main lineActual: Nebraska over 92.5
Over 92.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 92.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.85
Nebraska total 96.5Actual: Nebraska over 96.5
Over 96.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
Under 96.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.47
Le Moyne total 55.5Actual: Le Moyne over 55.5
Over 55.5
83.0%
@ 1.42+19.2pp
Under 55.5
17.0%
@ 2.50-19.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.50
Le Moyne total 59.5 · main lineActual: Le Moyne over 59.5
Over 59.5
71.0%
@ 1.94+21.4pp
Under 59.5
29.0%
@ 1.91-21.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.77
Le Moyne total 63.5Actual: Le Moyne over 63.5
Over 63.5
56.1%
@ 2.57+20.8pp
Under 63.5
43.9%
@ 1.40-20.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Nebraska -36.5Actual: Nebraska -36.5
NEBR -36.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
LE M +36.5
no forecast
@ 1.64
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.12
LE M
1xBet
1.64
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.60
Spread Nebraska -33.5 · main lineActual: Nebraska -33.5
NEBR -33.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
LE M +33.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
LE M
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Nebraska -30.5Actual: Nebraska -30.5
NEBR -30.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
LE M +30.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.60
LE M
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
NebraskaLe Moyne
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H21/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H26/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A28/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H13/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H19/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H26/03
NCAA
65.8Avg total
33.8Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73
Last 30 (30)35.332.467.7+2.963%20%
Last 30 at home (20)35.831.066.8+4.875%20%
Last 30 away (10)34.335.369.6-1.040%20%
Last 10 (10)33.832.065.8+1.860%10%
Last 5 (5)36.833.470.2+3.480%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.048.098.0+2.0100%100%
vs Similar (11)34.835.069.8-0.245%27%
vs Weaker (18)34.830.064.8+4.872%11%
Le MoyneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#283
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H07/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/03
NCAA
67.4Avg total
32.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73
Last 30 (30)34.135.169.2-1.027%30%
Last 30 at home (13)33.234.467.6-1.231%23%
Last 30 away (17)34.835.670.4-0.824%35%
Last 10 (10)32.534.967.4-2.420%20%
Last 5 (5)31.434.866.2-3.420%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.039.072.0-6.00%0%
vs Similar (21)33.435.468.8-2.024%33%
vs Weaker (7)36.632.969.4+3.743%29%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Nebraska win
NEBR win
no forecast
@ 1.03
LE M win
no forecast
@ 13.50
1st half Spread Nebraska -17 · main lineActual: Nebraska -17
NEBR -17
no forecast
@ 1.88
LE M +17
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 73 · main lineActual: Over 73
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Nebraska 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Nebraska over 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Le Moyne 1st half total 28 · main lineActual: Le Moyne over 28
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Over 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Nebraska -18.5Actual: Nebraska -18.5
NEBR -18.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
LE M +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Nebraska -15.5Actual: Nebraska -15.5
NEBR -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
LE M +15.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.75
Under
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread Nebraska -19.5Actual: Nebraska -19.5
NEBR -19.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
LE M +19.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Nebraska -14.5Actual: Nebraska -14.5
NEBR -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
LE M +14.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Over 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.65
1st half Spread Nebraska -20.5Actual: Nebraska -20.5
NEBR -20.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
LE M +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Nebraska (regulation)
NEBR
no forecast
@ 1.03
Draw
no forecast
@ 51.00
LE M
no forecast
@ 12.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
NEBR win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
LE M win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEBR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Nebraska under 87.576.8%2.80
Betano
2.80		----+44.5ppLost
Nebraska under 88.579.8%2.55
Betano
2.55		----+44.3ppLost
Nebraska under 89.582.5%2.35
Betano
2.35		----+44.0ppLost
Nebraska under 90.585.0%2.18
Betano
2.18		----+43.4ppLost
Nebraska under 91.587.2%2.07
Betano
2.07		----+42.6ppLost
Le Moyne over 5973.4%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86		----+23.7ppWon
Le Moyne over 59.571.0%1.87
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80		-+21.4ppWon
Le Moyne over 58.574.3%1.75
Betano
1.75		----+21.2ppWon
Le Moyne over 57.577.4%1.60
Betano
1.60		----+21.0ppWon
Le Moyne over 56.580.3%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+20.1ppWon
Le Moyne over 55.583.0%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+19.2ppWon
Under 154.571.5%1.71
WilliamHill
1.80
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.66		-+16.6ppLost
Under 15572.9%1.62
Bet365
1.62		----+15.9ppLost
Under 15470.8%1.66
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.64		---+15.9ppLost
Under 155.573.5%1.63
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58		--+15.8ppLost
Under 15675.0%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+15.2ppLost
Under 156.575.5%1.52
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52		---+14.6ppLost
Under 15776.9%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+14.4ppLost
Under 15878.8%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+13.8ppLost
Under 157.577.3%1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45		---+13.8ppLost
Under 158.579.1%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40		---+13.5ppLost
Under 160.582.5%1.34
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.30		---+13.3ppLost
Under 15980.5%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+13.0ppLost
Under 159.580.8%1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35		---+12.7ppLost
Under 16082.2%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+12.2ppLost
Nebraska (regulation)89.2%1.01
Betano
1.01		-----2.6ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nebraska wins
0
Le Moyne wins
No previous meetings.
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HIowa71-77
22/03/26HVanderbilt74-72
19/03/26HTroy76-47
13/03/26HPurdue58-74
08/03/26HIowa84-75 OT
04/03/26AUCLA52-72
28/02/26AUSC82-67
26/02/26HMaryland74-61
21/02/26HPenn State87-64
18/02/26AIowa52-57
Le Moynelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HStonehill71-81
28/02/26ANew Haven Chargers59-66
27/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson76-59
21/02/26AStonehill68-77
20/02/26ACentral Connecticut State77-78
14/02/26HChicago State81-63
13/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers58-57
07/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)86-84
06/02/26AWagner78-79
31/01/26HStonehill54-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nebraska
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 152.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Le Moyne
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 152.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State110100%96.059.0+37.0
2 Indiana110100%91.057.0+34.0
3 Maryland110100%96.067.0+29.0
4 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stonehill110100%84.056.0+28.0
2 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
3 LIU Sharks1010%60.074.0-14.0
4 New Haven Chargers1010%58.074.0-16.0
5 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nebraska5848106
Le Moyne323264
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.