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Lebanon vs Bahrain Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-63
21-13 18-20 29-13 26-17
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game78.0
Lebanon 🏆
vs
Bahrain
Position#25
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game64.0
EuropeAsia Cup· Nouhad Nawfal Sports Complex
Other2023
Meetings · Lebanon v Bahrain
26 Feb 2024
LEBA94
BAHR63
24 Feb 2020
LEBA116
BAHR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lebanon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bahrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#11
W
77-65
77
65
+12
no box
H10/11
World Cup
India
#80
W
103-74
103
74
+29
no box
H13/11
World Cup
Philippines
#44
L
96-107
96
107
-11
no box
A24/02
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
L
91-106
91
106
-15
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
70-109
70
109
-39
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
73-128
73
128
-55
no box
H27/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 90
A23/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
13-15
22-11
24-17
27-20
22-16
28-21
26-17
19-25
22-28
23-29
32-25
20-30
30-28
30-26
11-22
17-27
13-28
18-27
22-27
13-29
17-37
18-34
25-28
20-19
17-19
22-20
20-27
32-20
23-21
18-25
21-18
20-13
28-23
14-13
19-24
28-22
23-14
25-20
11-22
176.0Avg total
85.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.078.0165.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.078.0165.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.190.9176.0-5.850%
Last 5 (5)82.889.6172.4-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.098.6176.6-20.620%
vs Similar (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.172.1164.2+20.092%
This opponent (Bahrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BahrainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBahrain
Date
Competition
China
#20
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
74-87
74
87
-13
no box
H11/11
World Cup
China
#20
L
67-80 OT
67
80
-13
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
51-83
51
83
-32
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
72-95
72
95
-23
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Philippines
#1
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#16
W
76-62
76
62
+14
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
70-64
70
64
+6
63avg 56
H23/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
22-17
13-20
21-18
10-24
23-26
24-13
17-24
12-18
20-16
14-19
18-11
19-25
5-27
19-7
8-24
19-32
16-19
22-22
15-22
18-22
15-29
14-21
14-17
8-28
18-17
17-22
17-17
17-12
14-22
20-14
25-14
20-24
16-31
15-20
22-13
22-9
20-21
9-12
19-22
148.3Avg total
67.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.064.0134.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)70.064.0134.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.181.2148.3-14.120%
Last 5 (5)68.077.4145.4-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.185.9152.0-19.810%
vs Similar (5)78.882.0160.8-3.260%
vs Weaker (4)77.872.0149.8+5.875%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
LebanonBahrain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#11
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H10/11
World Cup
India
#80
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/11
World Cup
Philippines
#44
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A24/02
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A25/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
30-66
30
66
-36
H27/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/02
Asia Cup
87.8Avg total
42.2Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.038.582.5+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.237.179.4+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)45.539.885.2+5.869%-
Last 10 (10)42.245.687.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.487.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.650.886.4-15.20%-
vs Similar (1)28.038.066.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.436.082.4+10.488%-
This opponent (Bahrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BahrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#20
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H11/11
World Cup
China
#20
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/11
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A23/02
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A26/02
World Cup
Philippines
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A26/09
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H28/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#16
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A02/10
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H23/02
Asia Cup
76.9Avg total
32.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.341.775.0-8.417%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.741.272.9-9.56%-
Last 30 away (14)35.242.377.5-7.129%-
Last 10 (10)32.544.476.9-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.076.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.043.375.2-11.314%-
vs Similar (5)38.036.474.4+1.640%-
vs Weaker (4)34.840.074.8-5.20%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.025.0
71.4%
49.3%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.017.0
85.0%
70.1%17.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bahraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahrain: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.017.0
73.9%
49.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.07.0
23.3%
32.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.015.0
65.2%
70.1%15.0
They take 53.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lebanon
WWWLLLLLWW
Bahrain
WLWLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#25
+16.1
Net rating
+8.6
122.1
Offensive rating
100.8
106.0
Defensive rating
92.1
61.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
21.2%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.43
32.0%
3-point %
23.3%
66.7%
Assist %
70.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence122.1 · 100.8Defence106.0 · 92.1Shooting61.7% · 51.9%3-point %32.0% · 23.3%Ball care18.5% · 21.2%Off. rebounds24.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Lebanon   ■ Bahrain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lebanon wins
0
Bahrain wins
DateGameScore
20/02/21Bahrain v Lebanon87-102
24/02/20Lebanon v Bahrain116-73
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24ASyria87-78
02/09/23AIran81-73
31/08/23AIvory Coast94-84
29/08/23HFrance79-85
27/08/23HCanada73-128
25/08/23ALatvia70-109
27/02/23ANew Zealand91-106
24/02/23APhilippines96-107
13/11/22HIndia103-74
10/11/22HNew Zealand77-65
Bahrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24HUnited Arab Emirates70-64
02/10/23ASouth Korea73-88
30/09/23HThailand76-62
28/09/23HJordan60-84
26/09/23APhilippines61-89
26/02/23AJapan72-95
23/02/23AAustralia51-83
14/11/22HChina67-80 OT
11/11/22HJapan74-87
29/08/22AChina67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lebanon
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total165.0-165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Bahrain
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game70.070.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total134.0134.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines220100%100.058.5+41.5
2 Australia220100%95.561.0+34.5
3 New Zealand220100%88.559.0+29.5
4 Jordan220100%76.055.0+21.0
5 Iran220100%81.063.5+17.5
6 Japan220100%76.564.5+12.0
7 Kazakhstan220100%68.059.0+9.0
8 Lebanon110100%87.078.0+9.0
9 Bahrain110100%70.064.0+6.0
10 Guam76186%73.068.1+4.9
11 Thailand97278%87.873.2+14.6
12 Iraq75271%77.773.7+4.0
13 Mongolia95456%80.077.1+2.9
14 China21150%76.562.5+14.0
15 South Korea21150%83.573.5+10.0
16 Syria21150%78.075.0+3.0
17 Saudi Arabia21150%64.068.5-4.5
18 United Arab Emirates73443%66.466.7-0.3
19 Palestine73443%68.969.6-0.7
20 Qatar73443%65.166.7-1.6
21 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
22 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
23 Hong Kong72529%68.477.4-9.0
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
26 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
27 India2020%51.574.5-23.0
28 Indonesia2020%53.589.5-36.0
29 Chinese Taipei2020%61.097.5-36.5
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lebanon2118292694
Bahrain1320131763
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