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Lehigh vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 62-88
21-48 41-40
Position#170
Record4-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#153
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lehigh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LehighUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#307
W
78-58
78
58
+20
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#211
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Colgate
#80
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A06/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A08/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
52-78
52
78
-26
A10/11
NCAA
Misericordia
#552
W
97-58
97
58
+39
H13/11
NCAA
Marist
#279
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H17/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A22/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H28/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-24
34-34
42-33
49-44
26-38
35-43
26-44
46-46
25-43
27-35
47-20
50-38
29-16
35-38
36-30
46-46
39-38
41-38
27-27
33-37
144.9Avg total
73.7Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.470.9143.3+1.657%
Season at home (3)80.362.7143.0+17.7100%
Season away (4)66.577.0143.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)73.771.2144.9+2.560%
Last 5 (5)76.665.6142.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.575.1142.6-7.638%
vs Similar ◀ (15)66.970.5137.4-3.740%
vs Weaker (5)80.867.8148.6+13.0100%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hartford
#279
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
43-82
43
82
-39
A12/03
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#458
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
64-94
64
94
-30
H14/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A23/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
109-82
109
82
+27
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
47-27
20-37
23-45
32-45
35-44
40-24
52-41
27-41
37-53
23-24
48-39
34-35
44-41
32-35
40-41
42-42
28-37
65-36
44-46
151.2Avg total
74.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.978.0155.9-0.150%
Season at home (5)82.876.0158.8+6.880%
Season away (3)69.781.3151.0-11.70%
Last 10 (10)74.676.6151.2-2.050%
Last 5 (5)80.075.2155.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.484.8146.2-23.40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.673.5147.1+0.157%
vs Weaker (10)77.166.9144.0+10.280%
This opponent (Lehigh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -1.6-1.6
LehighUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LehighLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#307
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#211
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Colgate
#80
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A06/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A08/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Misericordia
#552
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H13/11
NCAA
Marist
#279
W
29-16
29
16
+13
H17/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A22/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A01/12
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.1Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.165.5-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.631.365.9+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)30.235.065.2-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.131.365.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.626.261.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.437.569.9-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.930.960.8-1.153%-
vs Weaker (5)38.036.074.0+2.060%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hartford
#279
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A12/03
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#458
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H14/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H01/12
NCAA
70.0Avg total
34.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.470.5+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.934.071.9+3.947%-
Last 30 away (13)33.635.068.6-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.270.0-0.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.473.6+4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.841.869.6-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.035.272.2+1.857%-
vs Weaker (10)38.430.769.1+7.740%-
This opponent (Lehigh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lehigh wins
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
No previous meetings.
Lehighlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22AMd.-East. Shore60-64
28/11/22HMonmouth80-76
22/11/22ASt. Francis (PA)82-76
17/11/22HMarist64-54
13/11/22HMisericordia97-58
10/11/22AVirginia Tech52-78
08/11/22ASyracuse72-90
06/03/22AColgate61-81
04/03/22HArmy91-77
26/02/22ALafayette78-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22HCoppin State109-82
26/11/22AGeorgetown70-79
23/11/22ANC Greensboro72-76
20/11/22HCentral Connecticut State78-76
18/11/22HLafayette71-63
14/11/22HPrinceton64-94
11/11/22HPenn State-York92-65
08/11/22ATulane67-89
12/03/22AVermont43-82
10/03/22HHartford80-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lehigh
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game72.480.366.5
Allowed / game70.962.777.0
Point differential+1.6+17.7-10.5
Avg total143.3143.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game77.982.869.7
Allowed / game78.076.081.3
Point differential-0.1+6.8-11.7
Avg total155.9158.8151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 American University75271%68.964.3+4.6
2 Bucknell85362%75.163.0+12.1
3 Navy85362%74.870.5+4.2
4 Lehigh74357%72.470.9+1.6
5 Boston University95456%69.765.3+4.3
6 Colgate105550%79.773.9+5.8
7 Loyola Maryland84450%66.970.9-4.0
8 Army94544%80.674.9+5.7
9 Holy Cross82625%68.676.2-7.6
10 Lafayette81712%60.067.8-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell87188%85.060.5+24.5
2 Bryant University86275%91.269.4+21.9
3 Maine Black Bears74357%73.465.4+8.0
4 UMBC Retrievers84450%77.978.0-0.1
5 Binghamton73443%70.072.9-2.9
6 New Hampshire62433%65.867.0-1.2
7 Albany93633%67.773.7-6.0
8 Vermont103730%67.272.3-5.1
9 NJIT71614%60.169.6-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lehigh214162
UMBC Retrievers484088
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