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Leicester Riders vs Durham Wildcats Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2015
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-81
23-22 24-16 26-17 11-26
Position#2
Record19-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#12
Record8-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game77.6
United KingdomSLBRound 22
Other2014-15
Meetings · Leicester Riders v Durham Wildcats
21 Feb 2015
LRI84
DURH81
24 Jan 2015
LRI85
DURH46
01 Feb 2014
LRI79
DURH95
30 Mar 2013
LRI93
DURH70
24 Nov 2012
LRI91
DURH68
10 Dec 2011
LRI97
DURH64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leicester Riders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Durham Wildcats winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
A16/01
SLB
Leeds Force
#15
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H17/01
SLB Trophy
Durham Wildcats
#12
W
85-46
85
46
+39
H24/01
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A25/01
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H31/01
SLB Trophy
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
81-104
81
104
-23
A06/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H07/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H14/02
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A15/02
SLB
Leeds Force
#11
W
76-50
76
50
+26
A20/02
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
19-16
14-21
15-22
23-9
16-17
21-13
21-12
19-13
25-16
23-12
18-5
21-22
29-13
20-16
10-18
25-21
26-15
15-14
14-21
21-22
22-37
20-25
18-20
22-22
22-21
24-18
30-24
25-34
20-29
21-14
23-18
24-29
28-17
23-21
27-24
15-15
21-19
15-5
25-11
160.9Avg total
86.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.275.3160.6+9.979%
Season at home (11)88.174.5162.6+13.582%
Season away (13)82.876.0158.8+6.877%
Last 10 (10)86.174.8160.9+11.380%
Last 5 (5)89.285.0174.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.099.5184.5-14.50%
vs Similar (5)79.678.6158.2+1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.973.0158.9+12.886%
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Durham WildcatsUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#7
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H14/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A21/12
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H04/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A10/01
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H18/01
SLB Trophy
Leicester Riders
#2
L
46-85
46
85
-39
A24/01
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H25/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H01/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A13/02
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#3
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H15/02
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-7
14-25
13-19
13-14
20-25
28-22
11-16
10-17
25-22
18-11
23-16
11-23
21-27
14-10
19-19
24-24
16-22
16-20
27-22
25-22
13-19
16-25
12-23
5-18
13-19
20-9
20-23
22-30
22-16
19-25
19-19
16-15
22-25
15-22
17-21
17-30
20-19
18-20
7-14
13-13
148.5Avg total
69.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.577.6152.1-3.233%
Season at home (12)76.573.0149.5+3.550%
Season away (12)72.482.2154.7-9.817%
Last 10 (10)69.778.8148.5-9.120%
Last 5 (5)65.281.0146.2-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.784.9156.6-13.17%
vs Similar (10)78.975.3154.2+3.660%
vs Weaker (4)92.073.2165.2+18.875%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -5.0-5.0
Leicester RidersDurham Wildcats
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A16/01
SLB
Leeds Force
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H17/01
SLB Trophy
Durham Wildcats
#12
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H24/01
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A25/01
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#7
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H31/01
SLB Trophy
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A06/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
45-63
45
63
-18
H14/02
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A15/02
SLB
Leeds Force
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A20/02
SLB
85.3Avg total
45.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.139.582.6+3.662%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.782.6+3.160%-
Last 30 away (14)43.339.382.6+4.064%-
Last 10 (10)45.040.385.3+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.049.093.0-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.061.0105.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (5)40.837.678.4+3.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.738.682.3+5.167%-
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Durham WildcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A21/12
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H04/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A10/01
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/01
SLB Trophy
Leicester Riders
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A24/01
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H25/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H01/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A13/02
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/02
SLB
76.3Avg total
37.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.277.2+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.435.976.3+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.640.678.2-3.027%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.076.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.875.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.040.577.5-3.521%-
vs Similar (10)41.535.376.8+6.270%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.282.8+6.250%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/15ALeeds Force76-50
15/02/15ASurrey Scorchers102-91
14/02/15HNewcastle Eagles89-95
07/02/15HSheffield Sharks98-85
06/02/15ANewcastle Eagles81-104
31/01/15HWorcester Wolves80-71
25/01/15AManchester Giants80-69
24/01/15HDurham Wildcats85-46
17/01/15HLeeds Force81-51
16/01/15ASheffield Sharks89-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/15HWorcester Wolves58-66
13/02/15ANewcastle Eagles71-98
01/02/15HSurrey Scorchers76-75
25/01/15HGlasgow Rocks75-81
24/01/15ALeicester Riders46-85
18/01/15HWorcester Wolves84-86
10/01/15ASurrey Scorchers78-80
04/01/15HBristol Flyers77-72
21/12/14AManchester Giants69-80
14/12/14HSheffield Sharks63-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leicester Riders
SLB 2014-15
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeLWWWL82%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %79%82%77%
Points / game85.288.182.8
Allowed / game75.374.576.0
Point differential+9.9+13.5+6.8
Avg total160.6162.6158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%64%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Durham Wildcats
SLB 2014-15
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game74.576.572.4
Allowed / game77.673.082.2
Point differential-3.2+3.5-9.8
Avg total152.1149.5154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Eagles2523292%96.579.8+16.8
2 Worcester Wolves2520580%82.176.3+5.8
3 Leicester Riders2419579%85.275.3+9.9
4 Cheshire Phoenix2418675%86.578.0+8.5
5 London Lions22121055%78.476.2+2.2
6 Glasgow Rocks22111150%80.182.5-2.4
7 Sheffield Sharks24101442%77.576.2+1.2
8 Manchester Giants25101540%80.883.8-2.9
9 Bristol Flyers2691735%70.877.6-6.8
10 Durham Wildcats2481633%74.577.6-3.2
11 Plymouth Raiders2271532%84.891.3-6.5
12 Leeds Force2662023%63.974.0-10.1
13 Surrey Scorchers2542116%73.885.7-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leicester Riders2324261184
Durham Wildcats2216172681
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