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Durham Wildcats vs Worcester Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2015
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 58-66
20-19 18-20 7-14 13-13
Position#12
Record8-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#3
Record19-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game77.1
United KingdomSLBRound 21
Other2014-15
Meetings · Durham Wildcats v Worcester Wolves
19 Apr 2015
DURH79
WORC110
15 Feb 2015
DURH58
WORC66
18 Jan 2015
DURH84
WORC86
01 Dec 2013
DURH86
WORC100
24 Feb 2013
DURH79
WORC83
20 Jan 2013
DURH91
WORC98
24 Feb 2012
DURH70
WORC90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Durham Wildcats winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Worcester Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Durham WildcatsUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leeds Force
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A12/12
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H14/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A21/12
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H04/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A10/01
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H18/01
SLB Trophy
Leicester Riders
#2
L
46-85
46
85
-39
A24/01
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H25/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H01/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A13/02
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
13-20
12-19
22-20
23-7
14-25
13-19
13-14
20-25
28-22
11-16
10-17
25-22
18-11
23-16
11-23
21-27
14-10
19-19
24-24
16-22
16-20
27-22
25-22
13-19
16-25
12-23
5-18
13-19
20-9
20-23
22-30
22-16
19-25
19-19
16-15
22-25
15-22
17-21
17-30
151.2Avg total
70.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.278.1153.3-3.035%
Season at home (11)78.273.6151.8+4.555%
Season away (12)72.482.2154.7-9.817%
Last 10 (10)70.980.3151.2-9.420%
Last 5 (5)70.485.0155.4-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.086.3159.3-13.37%
vs Similar (10)78.975.3154.2+3.660%
vs Weaker (4)92.073.2165.2+18.875%
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Worcester WolvesUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leeds Force
#11
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H28/12
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A04/01
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H09/01
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A17/01
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A18/01
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H23/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H30/01
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A31/01
SLB Trophy
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
74-48
74
48
+26
H06/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A08/02
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
19-11
17-18
18-15
26-29
25-13
18-27
26-21
23-16
22-18
26-32
28-25
23-17
25-18
9-19
12-14
22-16
20-16
22-27
22-25
19-12
20-21
22-23
17-19
16-24
20-12
21-22
14-12
21-25
15-26
14-15
21-14
27-20
16-9
15-11
16-8
22-23
19-22
15-21
19-23
153.9Avg total
78.6Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.877.1159.9+5.779%
Season at home (12)80.271.3151.5+8.892%
Season away (12)85.482.8168.2+2.667%
Last 10 (10)78.675.3153.9+3.380%
Last 5 (5)73.872.4146.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.583.5169.0+2.075%
vs Similar (9)82.181.6163.7+0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.970.6151.5+10.393%
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
Durham WildcatsWorcester Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Durham WildcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leeds Force
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A12/12
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A21/12
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H04/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A10/01
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/01
SLB Trophy
Leicester Riders
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A24/01
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H25/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H01/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A13/02
SLB
76.4Avg total
37.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.577.5+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.376.7+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.640.678.2-3.027%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.376.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.474.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.041.078.0-4.021%-
vs Similar (10)41.535.376.8+6.270%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.282.8+6.250%-
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leeds Force
#11
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H28/12
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A04/01
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H09/01
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A17/01
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/01
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H23/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/01
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A31/01
SLB Trophy
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/02
SLB
77.6Avg total
41.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.082.7+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.936.976.8+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)45.142.887.9+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.277.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.877.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.244.289.5+1.050%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.883.4-2.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.537.180.5+6.487%-
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/15ANewcastle Eagles71-98
01/02/15HSurrey Scorchers76-75
25/01/15HGlasgow Rocks75-81
24/01/15ALeicester Riders46-85
18/01/15HWorcester Wolves84-86
10/01/15ASurrey Scorchers78-80
04/01/15HBristol Flyers77-72
21/12/14AManchester Giants69-80
14/12/14HSheffield Sharks63-65
12/12/14ALeeds Force70-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/15ACheshire Phoenix75-89
06/02/15HBristol Flyers74-48
31/01/15ALeicester Riders71-80
30/01/15HSurrey Scorchers71-70
23/01/15HSheffield Sharks78-75
18/01/15ADurham Wildcats86-84
17/01/15ABristol Flyers69-68
09/01/15HNewcastle Eagles99-91
04/01/15APlymouth Raiders95-90
28/12/14HLeeds Force68-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Durham Wildcats
SLB 2014-15
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%55%17%
Points / game75.278.272.4
Allowed / game78.173.682.2
Point differential-3.0+4.5-9.8
Avg total153.3151.8154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Worcester Wolves
SLB 2014-15
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %79%92%67%
Points / game82.880.285.4
Allowed / game77.171.382.8
Point differential+5.7+8.8+2.6
Avg total159.9151.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)80% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Eagles2422292%96.679.5+17.2
2 Worcester Wolves2419579%82.877.1+5.7
3 Leicester Riders2318578%85.776.4+9.2
4 Cheshire Phoenix2216673%84.176.5+7.5
5 London Lions2112957%78.075.3+2.6
6 Glasgow Rocks2091145%80.784.0-3.4
7 Sheffield Sharks23101343%78.076.4+1.7
8 Manchester Giants24101442%81.384.0-2.8
9 Durham Wildcats2381535%75.278.1-3.0
10 Bristol Flyers2691735%70.877.6-6.8
11 Plymouth Raiders2171433%83.790.1-6.4
12 Leeds Force2561924%64.473.9-9.5
13 Surrey Scorchers2442017%73.584.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Durham Wildcats201871358
Worcester Wolves1920141366
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