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Leicester Riders vs Newcastle Eagles Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record6-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game76.6
United KingdomSLB· Mattioli Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leicester Riders v Newcastle Eagles
27 Dec 2026
LRI v NEWC
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
LRI80
NEWC101
08 Feb 2026
LRI102
NEWC100
17 Oct 2025
LRI91
NEWC77
18 May 2025
LRI105
NEWC74
21 Mar 2025
LRI99
NEWC81
22 Dec 2024
LRI83
NEWC83
15 Dec 2024
LRI89
NEWC65
31 Mar 2024
LRI91
NEWC96
04 Nov 2023
LRI111
NEWC88
09 Apr 2023
LRI87
NEWC78
12 Mar 2023
LRI89
NEWC79
26 Nov 2022
LRI94
NEWC73
17 Dec 2021
LRI101
NEWC72
29 Oct 2021
LRI100
NEWC77
13 May 2021
LRI69
NEWC88
11 May 2021
LRI77
NEWC76
17 Feb 2021
LRI83
NEWC75
12 Jan 2021
LRI71
NEWC76
08 Nov 2020
LRI96
NEWC102
14 Feb 2020
LRI101
NEWC63
15 Mar 2019
LRI86
NEWC76
28 Dec 2018
LRI69
NEWC76
17 Nov 2018
LRI84
NEWC90
29 Mar 2018
LRI92
NEWC80
14 May 2017
LRI84
NEWC63
19 Apr 2017
LRI87
NEWC81
07 Feb 2017
LRI104
NEWC69
09 Dec 2016
LRI73
NEWC92
15 Apr 2016
LRI84
NEWC73
18 Apr 2015
LRI116
NEWC84
14 Feb 2015
LRI89
NEWC95
01 May 2014
LRI90
NEWC79
08 Mar 2014
LRI83
NEWC84
12 Jan 2014
LRI72
NEWC69
28 Apr 2013
LRI68
NEWC57
07 Apr 2013
LRI86
NEWC75
20 Mar 2013
LRI80
NEWC69
18 Apr 2012
LRI81
NEWC68
26 Nov 2011
LRI90
NEWC90
09 Apr 2011
LRI87
NEWC81
19 Feb 2011
LRI102
NEWC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leicester Riders win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Eagles win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 77
H07/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 77
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
94-108
94
108
-14
92avg 77
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 77
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 77
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 77
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
94avg 77
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
83avg 77
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
80-101
80
101
-21
75avg 77
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A06/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
11-24
25-11
17-29
24-16
21-23
13-19
7-20
18-30
19-25
23-28
34-25
10-20
17-23
16-14
23-14
15-16
21-23
13-17
24-22
22-30
19-13
21-19
13-23
23-18
24-33
23-22
23-20
28-31
20-17
20-25
19-16
17-26
21-22
20-23
22-30
20-22
21-17
29-18
27-19
169.1Avg total
80.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.289.4173.6-5.112%
Season at home (3)80.089.3169.3-9.30%
Season away (5)86.889.4176.2-2.620%
Last 10 (10)80.988.2169.1-7.310%
Last 5 (5)88.291.6179.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)81.187.6168.7-6.622%
vs Similar (8)90.491.5181.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (3)86.792.7179.3-6.033%
This opponent (Newcastle Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle EaglesUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
63avg 77
A20/09
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#4
W
94-68
94
68
+26
87avg 77
H25/09
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
91-67
91
67
+24
86avg 77
H02/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
61avg 77
H16/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 77
A18/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
82-55
82
55
+27
82avg 77
H23/10
SLB
Liverpool
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 77
A25/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
101-80
101
80
+21
93avg 77
A30/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
99-92
99
92
+7
no box
A01/11
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#4
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
H06/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
16-21
16-22
20-25
29-16
26-15
22-18
17-19
26-14
28-14
16-24
21-15
22-21
16-23
21-21
19-16
19-24
25-27
27-12
16-18
24-12
21-15
24-10
13-18
18-13
24-17
17-22
15-25
26-17
22-21
23-20
30-22
27-28
22-26
30-14
20-24
12-28
27-15
17-17
9-21
161.3Avg total
84.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.776.6161.3+8.160%
Season at home (5)82.070.4152.4+11.660%
Season away (5)87.482.8170.2+4.660%
Last 10 (10)84.776.6161.3+8.160%
Last 5 (5)84.277.0161.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.093.2173.2-13.225%
vs Similar (12)89.091.8180.8-2.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.169.0155.1+17.177%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
Leicester RidersNewcastle Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H07/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/11
SLB
84.2Avg total
38.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.385.7-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.546.088.5-3.514%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.883.2-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.845.484.2-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.888.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.445.685.0-6.222%-
vs Similar (8)43.443.987.2-0.538%-
vs Weaker (3)42.739.081.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Newcastle Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/09
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#4
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/09
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H02/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A18/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/10
SLB
Liverpool
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A25/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A30/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A01/11
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/11
SLB
83.7Avg total
45.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.041.485.4+2.748%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.985.5+5.650%-
Last 30 away (13)42.243.285.3-1.046%-
Last 10 (10)45.438.383.7+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.483.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.553.088.5-17.50%-
vs Similar (12)43.740.884.5+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.237.485.6+10.867%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.3
52.6%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
34.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
70.7%16.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Newcastle Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Newcastle Eagles: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.0
48.0%
51.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.6
34.3%
34.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
70.7%17.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leicester Riders
WLLLLLLLLL
Newcastle Eagles
LWWLWWLWWL
#10
League position
#2
-10.6
Net rating
+6.4
92.7
Offensive rating
92.1
103.4
Defensive rating
85.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.5%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.0%
3-point %
34.3%
57.0%
Assist %
56.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 92.1Defence103.4 · 85.7Shooting52.6% · 49.5%3-point %35.0% · 34.3%Ball care16.5% · 15.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Leicester Riders   ■ Newcastle Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ALondon Lions97-76
30/10/26HNewcastle Eagles80-101
23/10/26HManchester Basketball87-89
17/10/26ASurrey 89ers102-107 OT
11/10/26ASheffield Sharks75-85
09/10/26HBristol Flyers73-78
02/10/26ALondon Lions66-71
27/09/26ACheshire Phoenix94-108
10/05/26ALondon Lions65-78
07/05/26HLondon Lions70-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HBristol Flyers65-81
01/11/26ACaledonia Gladiators99-92
30/10/26ALeicester Riders101-80
25/10/26ALiverpool74-77
23/10/26HSurrey 89ers82-55
18/10/26ASheffield Sharks87-81
16/10/26HManchester Basketball78-81
02/10/26HCaledonia Gladiators91-67
25/09/26HBristol Flyers94-68
20/09/26ALondon Lions76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leicester Riders
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%0%20%
Points / game84.280.086.8
Allowed / game89.489.389.4
Point differential-5.1-9.3-2.6
Avg total173.6169.3176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Newcastle Eagles
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game84.782.087.4
Allowed / game76.670.482.8
Point differential+8.1+11.6+4.6
Avg total161.3152.4170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions98189%81.675.8+5.8
2 Newcastle Eagles106460%84.776.6+8.1
3 Sheffield Sharks74357%83.781.4+2.3
4 Bristol Flyers105550%77.577.9-0.4
5 Manchester Basketball105550%81.383.2-1.9
6 Cheshire Phoenix94544%94.995.0-0.1
7 Liverpool94544%84.284.3-0.1
8 Surrey 89ers73443%79.181.9-2.7
9 Caledonia Gladiators73443%83.993.0-9.1
10 Leicester Riders81712%84.289.4-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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