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Leiden vs Spirou Charleroi Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game65.6
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leiden v Spirou Charleroi
03 Apr 2027
LEI v SCH
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
LEI87
SCH81
26 Oct 2024
LEI50
SCH73
02 Mar 2024
LEI70
SCH45
07 Jun 2023
LEI71
SCH58
01 Apr 2023
LEI86
SCH66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Spirou Charleroi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A24/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
24-26
23-14
27-31
17-28
17-24
27-21
17-24
31-31
19-27
23-21
12-18
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
168.4Avg total
85.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.273.0146.2+0.250%
Season at home (2)76.577.0153.5-0.550%
Season away (2)70.069.0139.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)85.183.3168.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)80.678.8159.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.086.1161.1-11.110%
vs Similar (9)85.185.4170.6-0.344%
vs Weaker (11)82.976.9159.8+6.073%
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H23/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A28/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
98-60
98
60
+38
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
W
90-63
90
63
+27
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#8
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A30/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
16-11
16-19
26-17
17-23
20-23
12-29
16-24
23-21
13-14
17-22
24-21
32-20
26-19
18-20
25-20
19-28
16-19
17-24
30-24
15-20
17-25
18-16
15-8
26-22
24-8
25-15
23-15
27-19
28-11
20-13
15-20
21-14
12-18
12-23
20-15
24-18
21-10
20-20
16-18
154.5Avg total
79.7Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.865.6145.4+14.260%
Season at home (2)81.565.0146.5+16.550%
Season away (3)78.766.0144.7+12.767%
Last 10 (10)79.774.8154.5+4.950%
Last 5 (5)79.865.6145.4+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.183.8161.9-5.833%
vs Similar (8)81.082.2163.2-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.972.9158.8+13.070%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
LeidenSpirou Charleroi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
83.4Avg total
40.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.181.5-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.744.185.8-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.140.277.3-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.983.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.643.782.3-5.130%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.383.0-1.744%-
vs Weaker (11)39.140.579.6-1.555%-
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A28/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#8
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/10
BNXT League
77.7Avg total
41.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.581.8+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.981.5-0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.282.0+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.577.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.076.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.244.284.4-3.942%-
vs Similar (8)37.140.677.8-3.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.836.081.8+9.890%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.3
55.7%
53.1%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.2%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.6
75.1%
71.1%13.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spirou Charleroitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Charleroi: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
55.0%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.8
30.5%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.212.8
66.7%
71.1%12.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWLWWWWLLL
Spirou Charleroi
WLWWLLWLLW
#9
League position
#6
+3.5
Net rating
+3.4
97.9
Offensive rating
88.7
94.4
Defensive rating
85.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
19.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.2%
3-point %
30.5%
63.0%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 88.7Defence94.4 · 85.3Shooting53.5% · 51.1%3-point %33.2% · 30.5%Ball care15.6% · 19.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Leiden   ■ Spirou Charleroi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Leiden wins
2
Spirou Charleroi wins
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
25/04/26HOkapi Aalst85-97
20/04/26AAntwerp Giants78-97
17/04/26HAntwerp Giants92-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABrussels Basketball81-66
23/10/26HOostende65-70
14/10/26ADonar Groningen90-63
09/10/26HBelfius Mons98-60
03/10/26ALeuven Bears65-69
09/05/26HAntwerp Giants82-95
06/05/26ABelfius Mons101-79
03/05/26AZwolle77-78
28/04/26AAntwerp Giants65-99
23/04/26HLeuven Bears73-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game73.276.570.0
Allowed / game73.077.069.0
Point differential+0.2-0.5+1.0
Avg total146.2153.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game79.881.578.7
Allowed / game65.665.066.0
Point differential+14.2+16.5+12.7
Avg total145.4146.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants440100%111.882.5+29.2
2 Brussels Basketball54180%81.468.2+13.2
3 Okapi Aalst43175%95.087.0+8.0
4 Limburg43175%94.086.2+7.8
5 Leuven Bears43175%71.569.8+1.8
6 Spirou Charleroi53260%79.865.6+14.2
7 Den Bosch53260%79.880.4-0.6
8 Oostende42250%79.877.8+2.0
9 Leiden42250%73.273.0+0.2
10 Zwolle42250%69.875.8-6.0
11 Donar Groningen42250%79.889.5-9.8
12 Rotterdam52340%76.280.8-4.6
13 Mechelen52340%89.095.2-6.2
14 Kortrijk4040%83.589.5-6.0
15 CB Liege5050%75.492.4-17.0
16 Belfius Mons4040%64.290.2-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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