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Leiden vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-97
31-31 19-27 23-21 12-18
Position#10
Record15-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#3
Record22-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game87.3
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 31· Sportcomplex
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leiden v Okapi Aalst
17 Oct 2026
LEI92
OKAP77
25 Apr 2026
LEI85
OKAP97
12 Oct 2024
LEI79
OKAP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A21/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H07/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A13/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A27/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H01/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A04/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
H11/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A20/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
16-21
19-14
27-19
15-36
13-19
29-15
31-22
21-10
25-22
12-25
20-11
19-18
13-11
19-23
8-23
14-23
16-21
14-23
17-22
20-21
24-17
26-19
17-24
9-20
28-16
18-20
10-19
14-19
22-21
20-29
13-24
18-25
24-26
23-14
27-31
17-28
17-24
27-21
17-24
159.2Avg total
74.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.481.8165.2+1.650%
Season at home (15)90.483.3173.7+7.160%
Season away (15)76.480.3156.7-3.940%
Last 10 (10)74.984.3159.2-9.420%
Last 5 (5)78.288.4166.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.089.8166.8-12.811%
vs Similar (8)85.583.1168.6+2.450%
vs Weaker (13)86.575.5162.1+11.077%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
103-82
103
82
+21
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H13/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
106-90
106
90
+16
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
90-109
90
109
-19
H21/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
111-82
111
82
+29
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A04/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
107-103
107
103
+4
H11/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
104-77
104
77
+27
A17/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
98-78
98
78
+20
H19/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
18-19
35-27
23-26
27-17
22-24
19-27
35-14
32-22
25-17
17-19
21-18
26-21
27-27
19-22
34-20
25-28
20-28
15-16
30-37
34-14
30-30
27-18
20-20
18-28
17-18
15-27
24-21
32-22
20-24
30-30
25-27
26-21
24-16
21-20
33-20
22-19
35-23
22-16
19-20
187.8Avg total
99.2Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)96.087.3183.2+8.773%
Season at home (15)99.686.3185.9+13.387%
Season away (15)92.388.3180.6+4.160%
Last 10 (10)99.288.6187.8+10.680%
Last 5 (5)98.886.8185.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.097.5200.5+5.550%
vs Similar (5)90.296.2186.4-6.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)96.184.8180.9+11.482%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +4.1+4.1
LeidenOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#16
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
28-55
28
55
-27
H07/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A13/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A27/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H11/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/04
BNXT League
77.6Avg total
35.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.683.5+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.542.586.1+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.680.9-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)35.542.177.6-6.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.482.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.345.383.7-7.022%-
vs Similar (8)42.041.983.9+0.150%-
vs Weaker (13)44.338.883.1+5.569%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H13/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H21/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H11/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A17/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H19/04
BNXT League
94.9Avg total
50.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.744.191.8+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.645.094.6+4.660%-
Last 30 away (15)45.843.289.0+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)50.844.194.9+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)51.643.094.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (5)44.648.693.2-4.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.542.991.4+5.573%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.6
51.8%
54.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.7
30.0%
34.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.6
66.3%
72.4%13.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.624.0
62.2%
54.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.0
39.5%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.421.2
83.5%
72.4%21.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LLLLWLLWLL
Okapi Aalst
WWWLWLWWWW
#10
League position
#3
-10.6
Net rating
+12.2
86.0
Offensive rating
114.1
96.6
Defensive rating
101.9
49.4%
Effective FG%
61.0%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.0%
3-point %
39.5%
60.1%
Assist %
56.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence86.0 · 114.1Defence96.6 · 101.9Shooting49.4% · 61.0%3-point %30.0% · 39.5%Ball care18.2% · 14.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Leiden   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
2
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Okapi Aalst v Leiden108-83
07/02/25Okapi Aalst v Leiden80-71
12/10/24Leiden v Okapi Aalst79-67
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/26AAntwerp Giants78-97
17/04/26HAntwerp Giants92-96
11/04/26HKortrijk69-93
04/04/26ADonar Groningen65-75
01/04/26HSpirou Charleroi87-81
27/03/26ALimburg61-89
15/03/26HMechelen59-75
13/03/26AMechelen78-68
07/03/26HZwolle88-92
21/02/26ABelfius Mons72-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HBelfius Mons98-78
17/04/26ABelfius Mons104-77
11/04/26HDen Bosch107-103
04/04/26AMechelen74-94
28/03/26HDonar Groningen111-82
21/03/26HOostende90-109
15/03/26ALeuven Bears106-90
13/03/26HLeuven Bears95-76
07/03/26ABAL Weert103-82
22/02/26AZwolle104-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeLLWLL60%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game83.490.476.4
Allowed / game81.883.380.3
Point differential+1.6+7.1-3.9
Avg total165.2173.7156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%87%60%
Points / game96.099.692.3
Allowed / game87.386.388.3
Point differential+8.7+13.3+4.1
Avg total183.2185.9180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants3025583%95.277.9+17.3
2 Oostende3023777%89.780.2+9.6
3 Okapi Aalst3022873%96.087.3+8.7
4 Kortrijk31211068%87.580.6+6.9
5 Limburg30191163%91.081.6+9.4
6 Den Bosch30181260%85.781.5+4.2
7 Donar Groningen30171357%83.483.5-0.1
8 Mechelen31171455%77.079.5-2.5
9 Brussels Basketball30161453%85.181.1+4.0
10 Leiden30151550%83.481.8+1.6
11 Spirou Charleroi30151550%82.584.8-2.3
12 Leuven Bears31131842%79.980.7-0.8
13 Den Helder31131842%81.582.7-1.3
14 Zwolle30121840%80.883.2-2.4
15 LWD Basket30102033%84.692.7-8.2
16 Belfius Mons3092130%83.992.2-8.3
17 Rotterdam3042613%73.890.8-17.0
18 BAL Weert3032710%69.588.5-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden3119231285
Okapi Aalst3127211897
← all games of the day
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