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Leszno vs Inowroclaw Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game78.7
Poland1 LigaRound 30· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leszno v Inowroclaw
10 Apr 2027
LESZ v INOW
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
LESZ72
INOW66
19 Oct 2016
LESZ79
INOW67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Inowroclaw win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A04/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
84avg 87
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 87
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 87
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 87
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#15
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 87
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#5
W
99-77
99
77
+22
96avg 87
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
96avg 87
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#11
W
84-59
84
59
+25
87avg 87
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#13
W
90-76
90
76
+14
no box
A31/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
20-20
13-24
19-20
21-27
20-17
23-22
26-22
15-25
16-33
21-19
27-16
17-22
33-15
17-14
13-20
28-21
23-19
19-15
21-19
23-20
23-25
24-16
28-11
29-18
19-21
34-21
17-17
21-30
24-8
25-29
24-18
20-15
23-15
18-17
23-12
29-19
16-21
20-8
25-28
165.7Avg total
88.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.973.4164.3+17.4100%
Season at home (4)88.570.2158.8+18.2100%
Season away (3)94.077.7171.7+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.077.7165.7+10.380%
Last 5 (5)93.073.8166.8+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.487.2169.6-4.840%
vs Similar (12)78.780.1158.8-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.972.5160.4+15.4100%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#7
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A28/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
A08/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 69
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-66
80
66
+14
71avg 69
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#15
W
75-62
75
62
+13
66avg 69
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#5
L
87-90
87
90
-3
75avg 69
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 69
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#11
L
77-96
77
96
-19
64avg 69
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#13
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
68avg 69
H24/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A31/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
20-9
24-18
22-18
11-15
20-29
14-15
23-20
20-13
12-20
20-19
15-29
15-13
20-19
20-15
25-19
16-19
20-12
18-18
21-13
12-17
25-23
25-29
25-21
22-27
24-18
20-11
19-24
20-20
27-21
13-32
17-23
21-13
20-26
16-15
13-16
16-24
14-13
15-25
30-21
155.3Avg total
77.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.778.7158.4+1.057%
Season at home (3)79.772.0151.7+7.7100%
Season away (4)79.883.8163.5-4.025%
Last 10 (10)77.278.1155.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)80.684.6165.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.985.7165.6-5.836%
vs Similar (15)80.179.2159.3+0.940%
vs Weaker (4)79.874.2154.0+5.575%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
LesznoInowroclaw
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A04/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#15
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A31/10
1 Liga
85.2Avg total
44.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.982.4+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.878.9+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.985.9-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.340.985.2+3.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.483.8+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.343.583.8-3.250%-
vs Similar (12)40.241.281.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.137.182.2+8.0100%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A28/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A08/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A31/10
1 Liga
74.4Avg total
36.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.079.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.182.4+2.364%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.077.6-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.674.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.480.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.041.278.2-4.227%-
vs Similar (15)41.639.180.7+2.553%-
vs Weaker (4)40.840.281.0+0.575%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.4
54.9%
53.3%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.616.1
71.2%
70.6%16.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.8
48.5%
53.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.714.9
65.6%
70.6%14.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
WWWWWWWLWL
Inowroclaw
LWLWLWWLLW
#1
League position
#7
+9.2
Net rating
+2.6
101.3
Offensive rating
90.2
92.0
Defensive rating
87.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
13.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
33.0%
67.6%
Assist %
61.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 90.2Defence92.0 · 87.5Shooting54.7% · 48.9%3-point %36.4% · 33.0%Ball care13.2% · 14.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Leszno   ■ Inowroclaw
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leszno wins
2
Inowroclaw wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Leszno v Inowroclaw72-66
22/11/25Inowroclaw v Leszno101-91
01/02/17Inowroclaw v Leszno73-71
19/10/16Leszno v Inowroclaw79-67
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ABytom90-76
25/10/26HGKS Tychy84-59
17/10/26AStarogard Gdanski94-85
10/10/26HPolonia Warszawa99-77
03/10/26AR. Rzeszow98-72
30/09/26HPelplin91-74
26/09/26HWKK Wroclaw80-71
15/04/26ALKS Lodz79-93
11/04/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg90-88
04/04/26ASpojnia Stargard75-82
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APoznan75-83
24/10/26HBytom79-74 OT
17/10/26AGKS Tychy77-96
11/10/26HStarogard Gdanski85-80
04/10/26APolonia Warszawa87-90
26/09/26HR. Rzeszow75-62
18/09/26AWKK Wroclaw80-66
15/04/26ASpojnia Stargard67-81
08/04/26AWKK Wroclaw68-79
28/03/26APelplin79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.988.594.0
Allowed / game73.470.277.7
Point differential+17.4+18.2+16.3
Avg total164.3158.8171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game79.779.779.8
Allowed / game78.772.083.8
Point differential+1.0+7.7-4.0
Avg total158.4151.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno770100%90.973.4+17.4
2 Spojnia Stargard76186%92.785.7+7.0
3 LKS Lodz75271%88.078.3+9.7
4 Poznan75271%91.385.3+6.0
5 Polonia Warszawa75271%90.691.3-0.7
6 WKK Wroclaw74357%83.181.3+1.9
7 Inowroclaw74357%79.778.7+1.0
8 Pelplin74357%90.991.7-0.9
9 Lancut73443%86.084.7+1.3
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg73443%89.991.3-1.4
11 GKS Tychy73443%77.079.6-2.6
12 Krosno72529%85.387.1-1.9
13 Bytom72529%81.486.1-4.7
14 Starogard Gdanski71614%84.491.7-7.3
15 R. Rzeszow71614%76.789.0-12.3
16 Poli. Opolska71614%81.694.1-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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