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Leszno vs Inowroclaw Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-66
23-18 13-10 18-22 18-16
Position#12
Record11-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game82.8
Leszno 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#14
Record9-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game84.8
Poland1 LigaRound 28· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leszno v Inowroclaw
10 Apr 2027
LESZ v INOW
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
LESZ72
INOW66
19 Oct 2016
LESZ79
INOW67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Inowroclaw winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
101-107
101
107
-6
98avg 72
A11/01
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
67-66
67
66
+1
no box
H16/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
72-83
72
83
-11
65avg 72
A21/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 72
H25/01
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 72
A01/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
72-97
72
97
-25
60avg 72
H08/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
82avg 72
A14/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 72
H21/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 72
A01/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 72
A07/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
32-28
22-23
25-34
20-19
13-9
22-19
12-19
17-25
17-15
21-23
17-20
23-28
18-13
18-15
19-18
27-25
21-29
24-29
20-17
14-15
22-26
15-26
21-30
24-23
21-31
23-23
20-19
23-21
16-32
32-18
18-21
23-17
19-20
16-21
17-24
18-21
19-12
23-15
16-20
167.5Avg total
81.0Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.182.8161.9-3.842%
Season at home (13)76.278.6154.8-2.454%
Season away (13)81.987.1169.0-5.231%
Last 10 (10)81.086.5167.5-5.530%
Last 5 (5)80.087.0167.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.184.0167.1-0.946%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.981.6157.5-5.733%
vs Weaker (2)79.073.5152.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
73avg 71
A10/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
H17/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
92-108
92
108
-16
91avg 71
A21/01
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
L
80-81
80
81
-1
68avg 71
H25/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
70avg 71
A31/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
89-55
89
55
+34
96avg 71
H08/02
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
69-57
69
57
+12
75avg 71
A14/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
79-70
79
70
+9
77avg 71
H22/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
73-110
73
110
-37
60avg 71
A28/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
84avg 71
H07/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
14-18
15-15
16-19
24-19
14-19
22-17
15-27
26-32
20-21
19-23
27-32
22-22
18-24
18-18
22-17
27-19
20-19
14-24
14-19
30-10
24-14
15-18
20-13
8-11
18-16
20-15
23-15
14-14
21-24
20-11
24-21
24-33
21-23
16-26
12-28
19-33
29-20
21-21
18-27
163.0Avg total
80.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.084.8164.8-4.935%
Season at home (14)80.184.9165.0-4.936%
Season away (12)79.884.8164.6-4.933%
Last 10 (10)80.382.7163.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)79.478.6158.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.389.3162.6-16.113%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.580.9163.4+1.546%
vs Weaker (2)81.571.5153.0+10.050%
This opponent (Leszno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
LesznoInowroclaw
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A11/01
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H16/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/01
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A01/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H08/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A14/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H21/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A01/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/03
1 Liga
84.0Avg total
40.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.481.4-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.540.077.5-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.885.3-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.184.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.683.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)42.142.184.2+0.062%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.342.380.6-4.127%-
vs Weaker (2)39.030.069.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H17/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A21/01
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A31/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H08/02
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A14/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H22/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H07/03
1 Liga
82.1Avg total
41.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.782.9-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.543.483.9-2.931%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.981.8-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.682.1+0.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.681.2+2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.745.583.2-7.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.840.783.5+2.238%-
vs Weaker (2)41.535.577.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.2
55.2%
52.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.1
29.5%
31.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.316.7
68.7%
70.0%16.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.8
55.9%
52.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.1
34.5%
31.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.312.7
65.8%
70.0%12.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
WLLLLLWLWL
Inowroclaw
LLWWWLLLLW
#12
League position
#14
-5.8
Net rating
-3.2
93.3
Offensive rating
92.2
99.1
Defensive rating
95.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
41.7%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
34.5%
59.4%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 92.2Defence99.1 · 95.4Shooting51.1% · 54.1%3-point %29.5% · 34.5%Ball care16.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds41.7% · 27.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Leszno   ■ Inowroclaw
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leszno wins
2
Inowroclaw wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Inowroclaw v Leszno101-91
01/02/17Inowroclaw v Leszno73-71
19/10/16Leszno v Inowroclaw79-67
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26APolonia Warszawa76-68
01/03/26APelplin75-82
21/02/26HLancut89-92
14/02/26AGKS Tychy88-96
08/02/26HStarogard Gdanski72-97
01/02/26AMiners Katowice92-100
25/01/26HR. Rzeszow78-74
21/01/26APoznan72-83
16/01/26HZubry Bialystok67-66
11/01/26ABydgoszcz101-107
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HLancut87-101
28/02/26AGKS Tychy73-110
22/02/26HStarogard Gdanski79-70
14/02/26AMiners Katowice69-57
08/02/26HR. Rzeszow89-55
31/01/26APoznan75-81
25/01/26HZubry Bialystok80-81
21/01/26ABydgoszcz92-108
17/01/26HPoli. Opolska75-82
10/01/26ALKS Lodz84-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWWWLL54%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game79.176.281.9
Allowed / game82.878.687.1
Point differential-3.8-2.4-5.2
Avg total161.9154.8169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL35%
HomeLLWWL36%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %35%36%33%
Points / game80.080.179.8
Allowed / game84.884.984.8
Point differential-4.9-4.9-4.9
Avg total164.8165.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz2522388%89.877.4+12.4
2 LKS Lodz2417771%87.179.0+8.1
3 Starogard Gdanski2517868%84.980.1+4.8
4 Lancut2718967%86.686.7-0.1
5 Spojnia Stargard2516964%82.980.2+2.8
6 Pelplin26161062%86.382.8+3.5
7 GKS Tychy26161062%82.581.2+1.3
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg24121250%81.577.2+4.2
9 WKK Wroclaw27121544%81.382.4-1.1
10 Poznan25111444%80.481.0-0.6
11 Polonia Warszawa25111444%80.583.8-3.3
12 Leszno26111542%79.182.8-3.8
13 R. Rzeszow25101540%81.583.8-2.3
14 Inowroclaw2691735%80.084.8-4.9
15 Poli. Opolska2581732%81.784.6-2.9
16 Miners Katowice2561924%80.086.0-5.9
17 Zubry Bialystok2432112%76.488.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leszno2313181872
Inowroclaw1810221666
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