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Leszno vs Poli. Opolska Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#15
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game94.8
Poland1 LigaRound 24· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leszno v Poli. Opolska
27 Feb 2027
LESZ v POLI
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
LESZ75
POLI89
10 Nov 2019
LESZ94
POLI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Poli. Opolska win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Leszno
6.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.6
93.2▲ 10.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.6
73.4▼ 4.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
64%▲ 7%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.8
25.4▲ 5.6
🔥 Form · Poli. Opolska
5.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.4
82.4▲ 0.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.9
94.6▲ 5.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
54%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.8
16.4▼ 0.4
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H26/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A04/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
W
99-77
99
77
+22
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H25/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
19-20
20-19
14-26
23-18
20-20
13-24
19-20
21-27
20-17
23-22
26-22
15-25
16-33
21-19
27-16
17-22
33-15
17-14
13-20
28-21
23-19
19-15
21-19
23-20
23-25
24-16
28-11
29-18
19-21
34-21
17-17
21-30
24-8
25-29
24-18
20-15
23-15
18-17
23-12
165.5Avg total
86.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.073.0164.0+18.0100%
Season at home (4)88.570.2158.8+18.2100%
Season away (2)96.078.5174.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.579.0165.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)93.273.4166.6+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.587.1170.6-3.545%
vs Similar (12)78.780.1158.8-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.672.0159.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Poli. Opolska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poli. OpolskaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A29/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
82-98
82
98
-16
H08/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A11/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H15/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
75-96
75
96
-21
A19/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A27/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
L
89-97
89
97
-8
H04/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#3
L
79-105
79
105
-26
A10/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H17/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
84-104
84
104
-20
H25/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
27-17
16-14
19-22
20-23
19-34
17-22
26-19
14-21
25-19
20-29
17-27
39-27
15-29
24-18
18-30
16-24
20-22
12-24
27-26
14-30
25-18
17-22
20-19
31-23
15-28
15-21
28-25
24-27
24-24
11-32
20-22
17-26
19-18
22-16
26-18
24-26
20-28
14-26
26-24
176.4Avg total
82.0Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.294.8176.0-13.717%
Season at home (3)85.793.0178.7-7.333%
Season away (3)76.796.7173.3-20.00%
Last 10 (10)82.094.4176.4-12.420%
Last 5 (5)82.494.6177.0-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)82.292.5174.7-10.320%
vs Similar (13)81.981.8163.7+0.254%
vs Weaker (2)89.574.5164.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
LesznoPoli. Opolska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A04/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/10
1 Liga
85.2Avg total
43.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.082.6+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.438.279.6+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.844.286.0-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.385.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.638.485.0+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.843.684.5-2.855%-
vs Similar (12)40.241.281.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.136.781.9+8.4100%-
This opponent (Poli. Opolska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poli. OpolskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A29/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H08/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A11/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H15/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A19/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A27/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H04/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A10/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H17/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H25/10
1 Liga
91.3Avg total
42.5Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.086.3-1.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.245.388.6-2.125%-
Last 30 away (14)41.142.683.7-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.548.891.3-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)42.649.692.2-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.545.988.5-3.420%-
vs Similar (13)41.842.984.8-1.131%-
vs Weaker (2)43.037.080.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.4
54.9%
53.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.616.1
71.2%
70.3%16.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poli. Opolskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poli. Opolska: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.1
53.2%
53.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.4
30.2%
33.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.816.6
69.7%
70.3%16.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
WWWWWWLWLL
Poli. Opolska
LWLLLLLLLW
#1
League position
#15
+9.2
Net rating
-14.1
101.3
Offensive rating
91.9
92.0
Defensive rating
106.0
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
61.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.4%
3-point %
30.2%
67.6%
Assist %
57.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 91.9Defence92.0 · 106.0Shooting54.7% · 49.8%3-point %36.4% · 30.2%Ball care13.2% · 15.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Leszno   ■ Poli. Opolska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leszno wins
1
Poli. Opolska wins
DateGameScore
26/03/26Leszno v Poli. Opolska75-89
04/01/26Poli. Opolska v Leszno76-83
15/02/20Poli. Opolska v Leszno74-92
10/11/19Leszno v Poli. Opolska94-82
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HGKS Tychy84-59
17/10/26AStarogard Gdanski94-85
10/10/26HPolonia Warszawa99-77
03/10/26AR. Rzeszow98-72
30/09/26HPelplin91-74
26/09/26HWKK Wroclaw80-71
15/04/26ALKS Lodz79-93
11/04/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg90-88
04/04/26ASpojnia Stargard75-82
26/03/26HPoli. Opolska75-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HLancut84-104
17/10/26HLKS Lodz84-78
10/10/26ASpojnia Stargard79-105
04/10/26HKrosno89-97
27/09/26APelplin76-89
19/09/26APoznan75-96
15/04/26HLancut96-104
11/04/26AGKS Tychy76-96
08/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-98
29/03/26AMiners Katowice79-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.088.596.0
Allowed / game73.070.278.5
Point differential+18.0+18.2+17.5
Avg total164.0158.8174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poli. Opolska
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game81.285.776.7
Allowed / game94.893.096.7
Point differential-13.7-7.3-20.0
Avg total176.0178.7173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno660100%91.073.0+18.0
2 LKS Lodz65183%86.773.8+12.8
3 Spojnia Stargard65183%90.784.0+6.7
4 WKK Wroclaw64267%86.279.8+6.3
5 Poznan64267%92.787.0+5.7
6 Inowroclaw64267%80.578.0+2.5
7 Pelplin64267%90.389.0+1.3
8 Polonia Warszawa64267%87.790.8-3.2
9 Lancut63350%88.283.5+4.7
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg62433%89.892.5-2.7
11 Bytom62433%82.385.5-3.2
12 GKS Tychy62433%74.882.0-7.2
13 Krosno61517%84.289.5-5.3
14 Starogard Gdanski61517%85.793.8-8.2
15 Poli. Opolska61517%81.294.8-13.7
16 R. Rzeszow6060%76.391.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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