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Poli. Opolska vs Leszno Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-83
15-24 23-20 16-19 22-20
Position#13
Record5-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Leszno 🏆
Poland
Position#12
Record7-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game80.9
Poland1 LigaRound 17· Hala sportowa Politechniki Opolskiej
Other2025-26
Meetings · Poli. Opolska v Leszno
15 Nov 2026
POLI v LESZ
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
POLI76
LESZ83
15 Feb 2020
POLI74
LESZ92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poli. Opolska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leszno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Poli. OpolskaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOpolska
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 77
A26/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
77-94
77
94
-17
75avg 77
A02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 77
H08/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
92-81
92
81
+11
92avg 77
A16/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
94-81
94
81
+13
91avg 77
H21/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 77
A29/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
71-73
71
73
-2
no box
A01/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
97avg 77
H07/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
71-99
71
99
-28
59avg 77
A15/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
107-74
107
74
+33
110avg 77
H21/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
21-27
23-15
14-25
17-21
17-26
28-26
15-21
18-17
16-23
24-20
23-24
24-20
21-17
18-21
29-23
14-21
20-20
30-12
30-28
22-23
22-26
16-17
20-21
16-21
21-17
19-16
15-19
19-15
26-19
22-25
23-19
19-27
16-26
16-29
20-17
25-15
26-15
34-25
22-19
167.5Avg total
84.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.784.3167.0-1.733%
Season at home (6)90.283.5173.7+6.767%
Season away (9)77.784.9162.6-7.211%
Last 10 (10)84.383.2167.5+1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.882.2166.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.287.4168.5-6.227%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.383.9165.2-2.631%
vs Weaker (3)100.787.0187.7+13.7100%
This opponent (Leszno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
88avg 69
A18/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
85avg 69
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
49avg 69
A02/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 69
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
83-57
83
57
+26
76avg 69
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
91-101
91
101
-10
78avg 69
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
51avg 69
H30/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
88-87
88
87
+1
79avg 69
H13/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
56avg 69
A20/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 69
H28/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
28-30
26-22
17-23
22-18
20-15
25-11
21-23
16-20
10-25
19-23
19-19
19-23
27-22
27-23
22-18
29-9
11-21
20-16
23-11
28-24
21-31
21-21
21-25
17-21
17-14
16-19
14-20
15-15
26-21
27-23
20-28
12-15
16-21
19-16
23-15
26-18
16-23
19-14
25-18
162.3Avg total
82.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.580.9158.4-3.347%
Season at home (9)76.177.0153.1-0.956%
Season away (6)79.786.7166.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)82.380.0162.3+2.360%
Last 5 (5)79.880.4160.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.780.2162.8+2.562%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.183.9159.9-7.827%
vs Weaker (2)92.089.0181.0+3.050%
This opponent (Poli. Opolska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Poli. OpolskaLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Poli. OpolskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A26/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A16/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H21/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H07/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A15/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H21/12
1 Liga
81.2Avg total
40.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.984.8-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.441.987.3+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)38.843.882.6-5.038%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.883.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.042.583.5-1.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.443.183.4-2.738%-
vs Weaker (3)53.044.097.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A18/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A02/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H13/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H28/12
1 Liga
81.1Avg total
39.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.981.0-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.978.5-1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.541.783.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.281.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.679.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.541.182.6+0.562%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.442.280.6-3.827%-
vs Weaker (2)44.029.573.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Poli. Opolska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poli. Opolskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poli. Opolska: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.8
54.3%
52.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.6
32.9%
31.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws26.719.1
71.5%
70.0%19.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.5
51.9%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.4
31.0%
31.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.717.5
70.9%
70.0%17.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poli. Opolska
WLWLLWWLLL
Leszno
WWWLLWWLWL
#13
League position
#12
-1.5
Net rating
+3.4
106.5
Offensive rating
103.9
108.0
Defensive rating
100.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
49.6%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.9%
3-point %
31.0%
64.4%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 103.9Defence108.0 · 100.4Shooting52.4% · 49.6%3-point %32.9% · 31.0%Ball care19.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 27.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Poli. Opolska   ■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poli. Opolska wins
2
Leszno wins
DateGameScore
15/02/20Poli. Opolska v Leszno74-92
10/11/19Leszno v Poli. Opolska94-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HGKS Tychy107-74
15/12/25AStarogard Gdanski71-99
07/12/25HMiners Katowice90-78
01/12/25AR. Rzeszow71-73
29/11/25ALancut80-87
21/11/25HPoznan94-81
16/11/25AZubry Bialystok92-81
08/11/25HBydgoszcz81-84
02/11/25APelplin77-94
26/10/25ALKS Lodz80-81
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HLKS Lodz86-73
20/12/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg70-67
13/12/25HSpojnia Stargard88-87
30/11/25HWKK Wroclaw64-74
22/11/25AInowroclaw91-101
15/11/25HPolonia Warszawa83-57
09/11/25HPelplin95-86
02/11/25ALancut64-87
26/10/25HGKS Tychy88-67
18/10/25AStarogard Gdanski94-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poli. Opolska
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %33%67%11%
Points / game82.790.277.7
Allowed / game84.383.584.9
Point differential-1.7+6.7-7.2
Avg total167.0173.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW47%
HomeWWLWW56%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%56%33%
Points / game77.576.179.7
Allowed / game80.977.086.7
Point differential-3.3-0.9-7.0
Avg total158.4153.1166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz1613381%89.175.8+13.3
2 LKS Lodz1512380%87.377.4+9.9
3 Starogard Gdanski1512380%86.779.6+7.1
4 Pelplin1611569%87.882.5+5.3
5 Spojnia Stargard1510567%84.980.4+4.5
6 GKS Tychy169756%83.884.9-1.1
7 Lancut169756%84.887.2-2.4
8 Polonia Warszawa158753%81.184.7-3.6
9 Poznan157847%81.880.6+1.2
10 Leszno157847%77.580.9-3.3
11 R. Rzeszow167944%82.882.9-0.1
12 WKK Wroclaw156940%79.782.3-2.5
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1661038%78.378.4-0.1
14 Poli. Opolska1551033%82.784.3-1.7
15 Inowroclaw1651131%79.886.2-6.4
16 Miners Katowice1641225%80.687.2-6.6
17 Zubry Bialystok161156%76.889.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poli. Opolska1523162276
Leszno2420192083
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