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Libertad vs Ciudad Nueva Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 78-62
25-22 14-11 16-13 23-16
Position#5
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#6
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game98.0
ParaguayLNB· Polideportivo Dr. Carlos Montalbetti
Other2024
Meetings · Libertad v Ciudad Nueva
26 Aug 2024
LIBE63
CIUD53
25 Apr 2024
LIBE78
CIUD62
15 Sep 2022
LIBE83
CIUD48
18 Oct 2021
LIBE92
CIUD72
23 Sep 2021
LIBE92
CIUD65
16 Aug 2021
LIBE87
CIUD74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ciudad Nueva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertadParaguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLibertad
Date
Competition
Felix Perez Cardozo
#4
L
69-72
69
72
-3
64avg 69
H14/09
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
61-82
61
82
-21
45avg 69
A21/09
LNB
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
70avg 69
H25/09
LNB
Colonias Gold
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 69
H28/09
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
63avg 69
H02/10
LNB
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
56avg 69
A19/10
LNB
Colonias Gold
#3
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 69
A22/10
LNB
Sol de America
#7
L
80-81
80
81
-1
67avg 69
A15/04
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
51avg 69
H18/04
LNB
Felix Perez Cardozo
#4
L
55-85
55
85
-30
38avg 69
A22/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
11-14
9-17
23-21
8-17
11-24
18-19
24-22
23-27
15-20
23-25
19-16
13-15
27-20
21-17
14-21
20-14
15-25
18-23
15-16
14-24
18-26
8-20
31-19
20-23
19-22
21-14
11-22
15-11
25-29
26-18
14-23
16-21
17-24
18-24
15-24
12-19
15-18
15-21
13-27
151.8Avg total
69.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.086.3153.3-19.30%
Season at home (1)66.093.0159.0-27.00%
Season away (2)67.583.0150.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)69.682.2151.8-12.610%
Last 5 (5)68.685.8154.4-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.087.2162.2-12.28%
vs Similar (6)70.780.8151.5-10.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.469.9153.3+13.555%
This opponent (Ciudad Nueva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ciudad NuevaParaguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNueva
Date
Competition
Libertad
#4
L
48-83
48
83
-35
no box
A15/09
LNB
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
60-114
60
114
-54
no box
H19/09
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
60-90
60
90
-30
no box
H22/09
LNB
Colonias Gold
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
no box
H26/09
LNB
Deportivo Campoalto
#8
L
56-73
56
73
-17
no box
H17/10
LNB
Felix Perez Cardozo
#6
L
56-62
56
62
-6
no box
A20/10
LNB
Libertad
#4
L
55-88
55
88
-33
no box
H24/10
LNB
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
54-107
54
107
-53
no box
H27/10
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
76-116
76
116
-40
65avg 63
A15/04
LNB
Felix Perez Cardozo
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
62avg 63
H18/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-21
10-21
14-13
18-28
14-27
9-42
19-26
18-19
12-27
11-23
10-16
27-24
18-27
16-14
12-21
18-18
21-18
14-15
8-26
13-14
13-12
11-12
14-22
18-16
18-30
16-27
12-17
9-14
6-29
10-25
21-27
17-26
23-34
14-29
20-29
19-24
12-20
22-23
10-23
29-14
149.5Avg total
60.2Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.598.0172.5-23.50%
Season at home (1)73.080.0153.0-7.00%
Season away (1)76.0116.0192.0-40.00%
Last 10 (10)60.289.3149.5-29.10%
Last 5 (5)62.890.6153.4-27.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)62.788.0150.6-25.311%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)90.060.5150.5+29.5100%
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -10.2-10.2Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -9.8-9.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -8.0-8.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -10.2-10.2Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -9.8-9.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -8.0-8.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
LibertadCiudad Nueva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Felix Perez Cardozo
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/09
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
19-41
19
41
-22
A21/09
LNB
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H25/09
LNB
Colonias Gold
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H28/09
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/10
LNB
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A19/10
LNB
Colonias Gold
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/10
LNB
Sol de America
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A15/04
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H18/04
LNB
Felix Perez Cardozo
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A22/04
LNB
75.3Avg total
34.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.075.4-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.238.378.5+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)34.737.772.4-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.041.375.3-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.477.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.239.874.1-5.623%-
vs Similar (6)35.840.376.2-4.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.234.576.6+7.764%-
This opponent (Ciudad Nueva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ciudad NuevaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertad
#4
L
16-42
16
42
-26
A15/09
LNB
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
23-69
23
69
-46
H19/09
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
23-50
23
50
-27
H22/09
LNB
Colonias Gold
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H26/09
LNB
Deportivo Campoalto
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H17/10
LNB
Felix Perez Cardozo
#6
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A20/10
LNB
Libertad
#4
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H24/10
LNB
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
16-54
16
54
-38
H27/10
LNB
Dep. San Jose
#1
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A15/04
LNB
Felix Perez Cardozo
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H18/04
LNB
75.2Avg total
27.6Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.043.374.4-12.320%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.842.874.6-11.131%-
Last 30 away (14)30.243.974.1-13.77%-
Last 10 (10)27.647.675.2-20.010%-
Last 5 (5)29.048.277.2-19.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)30.044.474.4-14.414%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)45.028.573.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Libertadtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Libertad: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.214.9
43.6%
49.3%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.58.8
28.9%
29.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.812.4
62.6%
65.0%12.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ciudad Nuevatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ciudad Nueva: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.5
51.2%
49.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.0
27.5%
29.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.09.5
55.9%
65.0%9.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Libertad
LLLLLLWLLL
Ciudad Nueva
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#6
-17.0
Net rating
-29.6
90.4
Offensive rating
88.8
107.3
Defensive rating
118.4
43.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.4%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.9%
3-point %
27.5%
71.7%
Assist %
64.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 88.8Defence107.3 · 118.4Shooting43.4% · 47.4%3-point %28.9% · 27.5%Ball care17.6% · 20.4%Off. rebounds24.9% · 20.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 0%
■ Libertad   ■ Ciudad Nueva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Libertad wins
0
Ciudad Nueva wins
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/24AFelix Perez Cardozo55-85
18/04/24HDep. San Jose66-93
15/04/24ASol de America80-81
22/10/23AColonias Gold71-81
19/10/23AOlimpia Kings71-89
02/10/23HDep. San Jose68-78
28/09/23HColonias Gold75-73
25/09/23HOlimpia Kings80-88
21/09/23ADep. San Jose61-82
14/09/23HFelix Perez Cardozo69-72
Ciudad Nuevalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/24HFelix Perez Cardozo73-80
15/04/24ADep. San Jose76-116
27/10/22HOlimpia Kings54-107
24/10/22HLibertad55-88
20/10/22AFelix Perez Cardozo56-62
17/10/22HDeportivo Campoalto56-73
26/09/22HColonias Gold64-80
22/09/22HDep. San Jose60-90
19/09/22HOlimpia Kings60-114
15/09/22ALibertad48-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad
LNB 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.066.067.5
Allowed / game86.393.083.0
Point differential-19.3-27.0-15.5
Avg total153.3159.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ciudad Nueva
LNB 2024
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.573.076.0
Allowed / game98.080.0116.0
Point differential-23.5-7.0-40.0
Avg total172.5153.0192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Kings220100%92.559.5+33.0
2 Dep. San Jose330100%101.772.7+29.0
3 Felix Perez Cardozo220100%82.564.0+18.5
4 Colonias Gold31233%85.078.3+6.7
5 Sol de America31233%60.795.7-35.0
6 Libertad3030%67.086.3-19.3
7 Ciudad Nueva2020%74.598.0-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertad2514162378
Ciudad Nueva2211131662
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