Libertadores vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 88-96

28-20 13-28 20-23 27-25

Position#14

Record10-16

FormLLWWL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game86.2

Libertadores

Astros 🏆

Position#7

Record14-12

FormWWLWW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game86.3

LNBP

Other2019-20

Meetings · Libertadores v Astros

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertadores winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astros winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertadores Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mexico City Capitanes

73-83

-10

A03/11

LNBP

Mexico City Capitanes

91-83

A03/11

LNBP

Abejas

#12

77-96

-19

A08/11

LNBP

Abejas

#12

78-73

A10/11

LNBP

Panteras

76-78

-2

H13/11

LNBP

Panteras

80-94

-14

H15/11

LNBP

Mineros

84-89

-5

H23/11

LNBP

Mineros

86-81

H24/11

LNBP

San Luis

#13

99-74

+25

A29/11

LNBP

San Luis

#13

75-76

-1

A01/12

LNBP

10-21

21-21

19-21

23-20

10-29

27-12

29-16

25-26

15-19

16-21

23-32

23-24

20-19

18-19

24-20

16-15

13-23

21-19

24-24

18-12

23-29

16-26

22-26

19-13

24-20

20-23

15-30

25-16

18-22

24-27

22-18

22-14

20-19

30-20

21-19

28-16

22-18

13-18

27-19

13-21

164.6Avg total

81.9Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	83.9	86.2	170.0	-2.3	38%
Season at home (12)	86.9	85.1	172.0	+1.8	58%
Season away (14)	81.3	87.1	168.4	-5.8	21%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	82.7	164.6	-0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	82.8	167.6	+2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	82.5	92.2	174.7	-9.6	20%
vs Similar (8)	81.0	79.5	160.5	+1.5	62%
vs Weaker (2)	105.5	86.0	191.5	+19.5	100%

This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astros

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Soles

93-108

108

-15

A03/11

LNBP

Soles

67-94

-27

A04/11

LNBP

Michoacan

83-110

110

-27

A08/11

LNBP

Michoacan

80-66

+14

A10/11

LNBP

Mexico City Capitanes

78-93

-15

H13/11

LNBP

Mexico City Capitanes

91-76

+15

H15/11

LNBP

Abejas

#12

103-102 OT

103

102

A20/11

LNBP

Abejas

#12

89-94

-5

A22/11

LNBP

Panteras

80-75

H29/11

LNBP

Panteras

96-88

H01/12

LNBP

17-21

24-26

32-35

20-26

19-21

19-16

13-30

16-27

21-33

20-26

19-26

23-25

17-11

21-15

20-22

22-18

19-25

13-24

25-13

21-31

25-25

25-13

16-28

25-10

16-21

23-22

23-21

22-20

22-22

19-18

23-28

25-26

30-17

16-18

21-22

13-18

21-23

15-21

36-29

24-15

176.6Avg total

86.0Scored

90.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	84.8	86.3	171.1	-1.4	54%
Season at home (14)	84.0	80.3	164.3	+3.7	71%
Season away (12)	85.8	93.2	179.1	-7.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	90.6	176.6	-4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	87.0	178.8	+4.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	85.2	90.8	176.0	-5.7	50%
vs Similar (12)	83.3	87.0	170.3	-3.7	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	86.9	81.8	168.6	+5.1	75%

This opponent (Libertadores) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadoresAstros

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	23.1	41.6	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.9	39.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.4	23.7	42.0	-5.3	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	18.2	36.1	-0.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	19.5	43.5	+4.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.2	21.2	42.3	+0.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	20.3	42.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.9	42.2	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.1	12%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	19.0	44.5	+6.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	75%	-

LibertadoresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mexico City Capitanes

31-42

-11

A03/11

LNBP

Mexico City Capitanes

37-41

-4

A03/11

LNBP

Abejas

#12

31-40

-9

A08/11

LNBP

Abejas

#12

38-38

A10/11

LNBP

Panteras

34-42

-8

H13/11

LNBP

Panteras

39-55

-16

H15/11

LNBP

Mineros

44-43

H23/11

LNBP

Mineros

42-49

-7

H24/11

LNBP

San Luis

#13

50-39

+11

A29/11

LNBP

San Luis

#13

35-36

-1

A01/12

LNBP

80.6Avg total

38.1Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	43.9	82.7	-5.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	43.4	82.2	-4.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	44.2	83.2	-5.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	42.5	80.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	44.4	86.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	38.9	46.5	85.4	-7.6	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.1	38.6	74.8	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	49.5	38.5	88.0	+11.0	100%	-

This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Soles

41-47

-6

A03/11

LNBP

Soles

38-37

A04/11

LNBP

Michoacan

41-59

-18

A08/11

LNBP

Michoacan

38-26

+12

A10/11

LNBP

Mexico City Capitanes

32-49

-17

H13/11

LNBP

Mexico City Capitanes

50-38

+12

H15/11

LNBP

Abejas

#12

39-43

-4

A20/11

LNBP

Abejas

#12

41-40

A22/11

LNBP

Panteras

46-35

+11

H29/11

LNBP

Panteras

36-44

-8

H01/12

LNBP

82.0Avg total

40.2Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	58%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	38.9	79.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.8	41.8	83.5	+0.0	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.8	40.7	81.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.0	41.3	82.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.0	38.1	79.1	+2.9	75%	-

This opponent (Libertadores) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.4	45.8	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	22.7	45.4	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	24.0	46.1	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.5	45.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.9	24.0	46.0	-2.1	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	26.0	51.0	-1.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.3	23.5	44.8	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	26.6	47.4	-5.8	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	25.4	48.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	25.6	49.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	24.3	27.7	52.0	-3.3	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.1	23.0	42.1	-3.9	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	18.9	41.6	+3.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	55%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.1	19.6	41.8	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.3	21.5	42.8	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.7	23.4	45.1	-1.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.1	21.7	43.8	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	43.9	87.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	41.6	87.0	+3.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.6	45.8	88.4	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	40.2	84.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.4	81.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	43.2	45.0	88.2	-1.8	45%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.9	40.9	85.8	+4.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.5	44.5	91.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	42.6	44.9	87.5	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	40.6	83.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.5	50.0	92.5	-7.5	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	47.0	90.9	-3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	43.4	89.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	44.3	50.2	94.5	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.2	44.7	85.8	-3.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.5	41.4	84.9	+2.1	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertadores wins

Astros wins

Date	Game	Score
13/10/19	Astros v Libertadores	77-74
11/10/19	Astros v Libertadores	85-75

Libertadoreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/19	A	San Luis	75-76
29/11/19	A	San Luis	99-74
24/11/19	H	Mineros	86-81
23/11/19	H	Mineros	84-89
15/11/19	H	Panteras	80-94
13/11/19	H	Panteras	76-78
10/11/19	A	Abejas	78-73
08/11/19	A	Abejas	77-96
03/11/19	A	Mexico City Capitanes	91-83
03/11/19	A	Mexico City Capitanes	73-83

Astroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/19	H	Panteras	96-88
29/11/19	H	Panteras	80-75
22/11/19	A	Abejas	89-94
20/11/19	A	Abejas	103-102 OT
15/11/19	H	Mexico City Capitanes	91-76
13/11/19	H	Mexico City Capitanes	78-93
10/11/19	A	Michoacan	80-66
08/11/19	A	Michoacan	83-110
04/11/19	A	Soles	67-94
03/11/19	A	Soles	93-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertadores

LNBP 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	38%
Home	WLLLW	58%
Away	WLWWL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	38%	58%	21%
Points / game	83.9	86.9	81.3
Allowed / game	86.2	85.1	87.1
Point differential	-2.3	+1.8	-5.8
Avg total	170.0	172.0	168.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	17%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	57% (7)	25% (4)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Astros

LNBP 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	54%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	54%	71%	33%
Points / game	84.8	84.0	85.8
Allowed / game	86.3	80.3	93.2
Point differential	-1.4	+3.7	-7.4
Avg total	171.1	164.3	179.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	29%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	83% (6)	50% (4)
Overtime %	8%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Soles	27	21	6	78%	94.3	82.0	+12.3
2	Mineros	29	22	7	76%	91.2	82.2	+9.0
3	Mexico City Capitanes	27	20	7	74%	86.0	79.7	+6.3
4	Dorados	27	20	7	74%	84.0	78.4	+5.5
5	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	68%	86.0	79.7	+6.2
6	Panteras	27	16	11	59%	91.3	82.7	+8.5
7	Michoacan	27	16	11	59%	88.9	84.4	+4.4
8	Abejas	27	16	11	59%	82.8	82.2	+0.6
9	Lenadores	27	15	12	56%	90.3	86.9	+3.4
10	Astros	26	14	12	54%	84.8	86.3	-1.4
11	Huracanes	25	13	12	52%	88.5	90.1	-1.6
12	Plateros	27	13	14	48%	83.1	85.6	-2.5
13	Libertadores	26	10	16	38%	83.9	86.2	-2.3
14	San Luis	27	9	18	33%	82.7	85.7	-2.9
15	Correcaminos	29	5	24	17%	83.9	91.5	-7.6
16	Angeles	27	1	26	4%	77.8	98.8	-21.0
17	Laguneros	29	1	28	3%	77.0	93.5	-16.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertadores	28	13	20	27	88
Astros	20	28	23	25	96

← all games of the day

Libertadores vs Astros Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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