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Liberty vs Eastern Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-73
34-36 45-37
Position#30
Record25-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game60.1
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Eastern Kentucky
USA
Position#118
Record20-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Liberty v Eastern Kentucky
02 Mar 2023
LIBE79
EAST73
11 Feb 2023
LIBE83
EAST73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eastern Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A03/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H10/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
79-55
79
55
+24
A18/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H25/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
36-23
37-23
45-47
30-30
34-39
37-16
33-34
35-32
48-41
41-36
40-52
45-25
34-30
32-36
53-41
26-24
47-29
48-31
28-25
141.5Avg total
76.7Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.360.1135.4+15.378%
Season at home (20)78.554.5133.0+24.195%
Season away (12)70.069.4139.4+0.650%
Last 10 (10)76.764.8141.5+11.980%
Last 5 (5)78.865.8144.6+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)70.084.0154.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)75.158.8133.9+16.383%
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#240
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A10/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A12/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H17/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
H19/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A23/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A25/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
36-28
36-36
33-31
34-43
43-31
36-41
48-39
32-35
41-48
37-28
37-30
40-48
40-32
32-40
32-37
34-26
22-26
37-19
36-29
143.6Avg total
73.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.571.9149.4+5.662%
Season at home (16)86.669.1155.7+17.488%
Season away (16)68.474.7143.1-6.238%
Last 10 (10)73.670.0143.6+3.670%
Last 5 (5)72.066.6138.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.080.8146.8-14.825%
vs Similar (12)75.874.3150.2+1.567%
vs Weaker (14)79.269.1148.4+10.171%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
LibertyEastern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A04/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
37-16
37
16
+21
H10/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H12/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A18/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A23/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H01/03
NCAA
65.6Avg total
36.9Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.726.763.4+10.080%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.824.962.7+12.989%-
Last 30 away (11)34.629.864.5+4.864%-
Last 10 (10)36.928.765.6+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.430.468.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)36.526.362.8+10.279%-
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#240
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A12/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H19/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A25/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H01/03
NCAA
70.6Avg total
35.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.472.8+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.434.475.7+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)33.936.370.2-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.170.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.268.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)29.236.065.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (12)36.035.871.8+0.242%-
vs Weaker (14)40.934.975.8+6.164%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Liberty wins
1
Eastern Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Liberty v Eastern Kentucky83-73
08/01/23Eastern Kentucky v Liberty62-59
06/02/22Eastern Kentucky v Liberty84-91
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23HBellarmine76-56
25/02/23HQueens Royals73-53
23/02/23AQueens Royals85-77
18/02/23AJacksonville State79-55
17/02/23AKennesaw State81-88
12/02/23HEastern Kentucky83-73
10/02/23HBellarmine70-50
04/02/23ALipscomb64-69
03/02/23AAustin Peay82-70
29/01/23HFlorida Gulf Coast74-57
Eastern Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23HNorth Alabama73-48
25/02/23AJacksonville56-52
23/02/23ANorth Florida64-77
19/02/23HNorth Alabama93-98 OT
17/02/23HCentral Arkansas74-58
12/02/23ALiberty73-83
10/02/23AQueens Royals84-80
05/02/23HKennesaw State77-74
03/02/23HJacksonville State69-67
29/01/23HBellarmine73-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %78%95%50%
Points / game75.378.570.0
Allowed / game60.154.569.4
Point differential+15.3+24.1+0.6
Avg total135.4133.0139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%95%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eastern Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%88%38%
Points / game77.586.668.4
Allowed / game71.969.174.7
Point differential+5.6+17.4-6.2
Avg total149.4155.7143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)86% (7)62% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.2923679%73.458.7+14.8
2 Liberty3225778%75.360.1+15.3
3 Kennesaw State3224875%75.468.9+6.4
4 Middle Tenn. St.29181162%71.367.7+3.6
5 Missouri State30161453%65.863.7+2.1
6 Western Kentucky29151452%73.370.8+2.5
7 Delaware31161552%69.770.1-0.4
8 Louisiana Tech29131645%72.769.6+3.1
9 UTEP29131645%68.368.3-0.0
10 Florida International29131645%72.374.6-2.3
11 Jacksonville State31131842%69.970.3-0.4
12 New Mexico State2992031%61.062.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lipscomb32201262%76.670.7+5.8
2 Eastern Kentucky32201262%77.571.9+5.6
3 Stetson30171357%76.673.3+3.3
4 North Alabama32181456%74.974.4+0.5
5 Queens Royals33181555%77.774.6+3.1
6 Florida Gulf Coast32171553%71.269.4+1.8
7 Bellarmine33151845%66.367.2-0.9
8 North Florida31141745%76.277.6-1.4
9 Jacksonville29131645%63.362.6+0.7
10 Austin Peay3192229%66.772.3-5.6
11 Central Arkansas3192229%72.981.5-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty344579
Eastern Kentucky363773
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