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Liberty vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-50
37-16 33-34
Position#30
Record19-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game58.8
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#240
Record11-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Liberty v Bellarmine
28 Feb 2023
LIBE76
BELL56
09 Feb 2023
LIBE70
BELL50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#266
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A08/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H13/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H15/01
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A20/01
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A21/01
NCAA
Stetson
#146
W
74-45
74
45
+29
H27/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A03/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-13
37-28
29-30
30-32
39-20
33-34
43-29
39-33
26-21
40-31
35-37
38-25
36-22
38-23
38-34
36-23
37-23
45-47
30-30
34-39
129.5Avg total
72.1Scored
57.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.658.8133.4+15.876%
Season at home (16)79.353.6132.9+25.894%
Season away (9)66.168.1134.2-2.044%
Last 10 (10)72.157.4129.5+14.780%
Last 5 (5)73.460.6134.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)64.589.5154.0-25.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)76.159.3135.5+16.882%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#162
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A08/01
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H12/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H14/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A20/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A21/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H26/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A29/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
H03/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-40
48-35
32-37
43-25
19-40
32-40
40-21
21-20
30-19
26-26
22-35
27-34
35-36
37-35
35-37
28-36
39-40
32-31
28-29
43-35
132.6Avg total
65.6Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)66.565.4131.9+1.144%
Season at home (12)73.762.4136.1+11.358%
Season away (13)59.868.2128.0-8.331%
Last 10 (10)65.667.0132.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)67.873.4141.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)61.273.0134.2-11.815%
vs Similar (10)68.466.7135.1+1.760%
vs Weaker (6)76.056.8132.8+19.283%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +2.0+2.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +2.0+2.0
LibertyBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#266
W
38-13
38
13
+25
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H13/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/01
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
26-21
26
21
+5
A20/01
NCAA
North Florida
#243
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Stetson
#146
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H27/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A04/02
NCAA
61.0Avg total
35.1Scored
25.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.227.363.5+9.073%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.025.863.7+12.280%-
Last 30 away (10)32.830.363.1+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)35.125.961.0+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.229.264.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)36.539.075.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)36.226.462.6+9.875%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#162
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H05/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
19-40
19
40
-21
H12/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H14/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A20/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H04/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
30.6Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.532.164.6+0.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.431.967.3+3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)29.132.461.6-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)30.633.464.0-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.467.2-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.234.662.8-6.48%-
vs Similar (10)30.433.563.9-3.130%-
vs Weaker (6)42.526.068.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Liberty wins
0
Bellarmine wins
DateGameScore
29/12/22Bellarmine v Liberty53-70
03/02/22Bellarmine v Liberty53-66
27/02/21Bellarmine v Liberty78-94
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23ALipscomb64-69
03/02/23AAustin Peay82-70
29/01/23HFlorida Gulf Coast74-57
27/01/23HStetson74-45
21/01/23ANorth Florida73-62
20/01/23AJacksonville66-52
15/01/23HCentral Arkansas82-62
13/01/23HNorth Alabama72-54
08/01/23AEastern Kentucky59-62
06/01/23HJacksonville State75-41
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HJacksonville State71-64
03/02/23HKennesaw State84-90 OT
29/01/23AEastern Kentucky63-73
26/01/23HEastern Kentucky72-71
21/01/23ALipscomb49-69
20/01/23AAustin Peay56-45
14/01/23HFlorida Gulf Coast61-41
12/01/23HStetson51-80
08/01/23AJacksonville State75-62
05/01/23HQueens Royals74-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %76%94%44%
Points / game74.679.366.1
Allowed / game58.853.668.1
Point differential+15.8+25.8-2.0
Avg total133.4132.9134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%94%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bellarmine
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayWWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%58%31%
Points / game66.573.759.8
Allowed / game65.462.468.2
Point differential+1.1+11.2-8.3
Avg total131.9136.1128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2519676%74.658.8+15.8
2 Sam Houston St.2317674%75.659.3+16.3
3 Kennesaw State2518772%76.169.2+6.8
4 Middle Tenn. St.2415962%71.066.7+4.3
5 Louisiana Tech23131057%74.668.6+6.0
6 Western Kentucky24131154%73.169.8+3.3
7 Missouri State25131252%65.563.4+2.0
8 Florida International24121250%71.873.5-1.8
9 UTEP23111248%68.566.8+1.7
10 Delaware26121446%69.270.3-1.0
11 Jacksonville State25101540%68.869.9-1.2
12 New Mexico State2491538%73.771.7+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky2516964%78.572.2+6.3
2 Queens Royals2516964%79.674.4+5.3
3 Lipscomb25151060%74.468.2+6.2
4 Stetson23131057%76.071.9+4.1
5 Florida Gulf Coast25141156%71.469.5+2.0
6 North Alabama25141156%75.274.4+0.9
7 Jacksonville23121152%64.762.9+1.7
8 Bellarmine25111444%66.565.4+1.1
9 North Florida24101442%74.677.7-3.1
10 Austin Peay2581732%67.672.0-4.4
11 Central Arkansas2581732%74.182.0-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty373370
Bellarmine163450
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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