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Liberty vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 71-61
35-33 36-28
Position#158
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game60.5
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#16
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game57.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#162
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H25/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H03/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A05/03
NCAA
Villanova
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H15/03
NIT
Wisconsin
#4
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A19/03
NIT
Mid-Atlantic
#692
W
103-43
103
43
+60
H07/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-24
0-0
47-29
0-0
48-31
0-0
28-25
0-0
34-36
0-0
45-37
0-0
29-27
0-0
37-40
0-0
32-25
0-0
30-32
0-0
34-37
0-0
37-38
0-0
48-19
0-0
55-24
0-0
35-23
0-0
36-36
0-0
38-33
0-0
50-41
0-0
39-36
0-0
44-30
139.5Avg total
77.2Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.260.5146.8+25.8100%
Season at home (4)86.260.5146.8+25.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.262.3139.5+14.980%
Last 5 (5)83.263.4146.6+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)76.859.9136.7+16.986%
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#145
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H01/03
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
84-57
84
57
+27
H05/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H08/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H11/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A17/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H07/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#650
W
92-41
92
41
+51
H12/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H16/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
31-28
42-27
37-34
45-28
39-29
39-18
40-39
25-29
–
30-39
31-39
36-20
31-35
51-16
41-25
27-36
46-28
47-32
31-36
136.1Avg total
75.5Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.557.0134.5+20.5100%
Season at home (3)77.353.3130.7+24.0100%
Season away (1)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.560.6136.1+14.990%
Last 5 (5)74.261.2135.4+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.773.3150.0+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.772.3141.0-3.657%
vs Weaker (19)77.160.8137.9+16.395%
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +9.8+9.82nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: +3.8+3.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +9.8+9.82nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: +3.8+3.8
LibertyVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#162
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H03/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Villanova
#21
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H15/03
NIT
Wisconsin
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A19/03
NIT
Mid-Atlantic
#692
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
36.3Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.127.463.6+8.777%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.426.263.6+11.389%-
Last 30 away (11)33.929.663.5+4.355%-
Last 10 (10)36.329.165.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.829.668.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)36.427.263.5+9.279%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#145
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/02
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H01/03
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H05/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H08/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#650
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H12/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H16/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A17/11
NCAA
66.4Avg total
38.1Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.729.266.8+8.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.927.166.1+11.881%-
Last 30 away (14)36.231.567.7+4.764%-
Last 10 (10)38.128.366.4+9.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.228.666.8+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.031.362.3-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.635.467.0-3.943%-
vs Weaker (19)40.327.267.5+13.189%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberty wins
0
Vermont wins
No previous meetings.
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HWichita State83-66
17/11/23HFurman88-74
10/11/23HCharlotte71-59
07/11/23HMid-Atlantic103-43
19/03/23AWisconsin71-75
15/03/23HVillanova62-57
05/03/23AKennesaw State66-67
03/03/23HEastern Kentucky79-73
01/03/23HBellarmine76-56
25/02/23HQueens Royals73-53
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23ASt. Louis Billikens78-68
16/11/23HCharleston73-64
12/11/23HPlattsburgh92-41
07/11/23HMerrimack Warriors67-55
17/03/23AMarquette61-78
11/03/23HUMass Lowell72-59
08/03/23HBinghamton79-57
05/03/23HNJIT84-57
01/03/23HAlbany79-61
25/02/23ABryant University70-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.286.2-
Allowed / game60.560.5-
Point differential+25.8+25.8-
Avg total146.8146.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Vermont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.577.378.0
Allowed / game57.053.368.0
Point differential+20.5+24.0+10.0
Avg total134.5130.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTEP440100%100.870.5+30.2
2 Liberty440100%86.260.5+25.8
3 Delaware440100%80.562.2+18.2
4 Kennesaw State43175%89.271.8+17.5
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%73.261.8+11.5
6 Western Kentucky43175%83.072.8+10.2
7 Louisiana Tech32167%82.062.3+19.7
8 Missouri State32167%71.065.7+5.3
9 New Mexico State53260%71.668.0+3.6
10 Jacksonville State41325%71.563.2+8.2
11 Sam Houston St.41325%68.572.8-4.2
12 Florida International41325%72.581.8-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont440100%77.557.0+20.5
2 UMass Lowell43175%80.060.2+19.8
3 Binghamton53260%74.065.4+8.6
4 UMBC Retrievers53260%83.076.6+6.4
5 New Hampshire42250%84.066.0+18.0
6 Bryant University52340%79.270.6+8.6
7 Maine Black Bears62433%71.768.5+3.2
8 Albany41325%75.587.0-11.5
9 NJIT3030%60.387.7-27.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty353671
Vermont332861
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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