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Liege vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-85
18-13 14-30 11-26 16-16
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeBNXT League· Country Hall (Liège)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liege v Circus Brussels
04 Oct 2023
LIE59
CIRC85
09 Dec 2022
LIE92
CIRC78
03 Dec 2022
LIE86
CIRC81
04 May 2022
LIE65
CIRC72
07 Jan 2022
LIE71
CIRC86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
L
74-96
74
96
-22
no box
H25/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
93-66
93
66
+27
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
A03/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
90-52
90
52
+38
no box
H05/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H12/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
92-100
92
100
-8
no box
A15/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
H21/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A23/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
83-69
83
69
+14
65avg 62
H22/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
59avg 62
A27/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
18-30
24-35
18-17
24-12
25-19
17-21
27-14
21-13
22-19
14-23
23-14
23-16
29-12
22-16
16-8
29-11
15-20
21-22
29-26
24-27
24-23
22-26
22-24
21-20
20-18
21-21
17-29
23-28
12-21
22-18
21-24
15-21
23-12
16-23
29-13
17-20
12-17
20-17
22-25
162.3Avg total
83.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.074.0151.0+3.050%
Season at home (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)83.478.9162.3+4.550%
Last 5 (5)80.685.4166.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.985.2164.1-6.340%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.782.9162.6-3.245%
vs Weaker (9)86.768.9155.6+17.878%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#20
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
A15/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H19/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#19
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A23/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H05/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
61-84
61
84
-23
no box
H12/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
A14/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
73avg 74
H24/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 74
A30/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
20-16
29-24
18-20
10-15
16-27
24-16
21-19
18-23
14-29
30-22
27-16
26-14
26-19
17-24
20-27
16-20
20-14
14-19
27-22
13-10
22-17
15-14
25-21
20-23
15-15
13-28
13-18
21-18
28-24
6-25
28-18
24-20
20-22
20-21
22-31
17-24
20-23
22-14
21-11
159.5Avg total
79.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.083.0166.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)86.094.0180.0-8.00%
Season away (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.779.8159.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)77.079.4156.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)76.785.8162.5-9.132%
vs Similar ◀ (2)83.083.0166.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (6)85.083.5168.5+1.550%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
LiegeCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H25/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H28/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A03/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H05/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H12/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A15/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A27/09
BNXT League
78.4Avg total
41.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.481.2+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.836.480.2+7.473%-
Last 30 away (15)37.944.382.3-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.378.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.479.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.644.983.5-6.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.240.379.5-1.145%-
vs Weaker (9)45.435.480.9+10.078%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#20
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A15/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H19/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#19
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A23/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H28/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H05/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A14/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H24/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/09
BNXT League
77.3Avg total
38.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.780.3-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.140.580.6-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.342.780.0-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.877.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.279.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.941.079.9-2.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.544.585.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (6)37.043.280.2-6.217%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.5
47.3%
52.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
33.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
71.4%11.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀31%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.5
47.4%
52.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.5
27.7%
33.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws34.525.5
73.9%
71.4%25.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
LWLLLWWWWL
Circus Brussels
WLLLWWWLLW
#6
League position
#9
+4.2
Net rating
+0.0
107.2
Offensive rating
108.1
102.9
Defensive rating
108.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
45.2%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
20.3%
Turnover %
11.2%
40.3%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.55
35.1%
3-point %
27.7%
65.5%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 108.1Defence102.9 · 108.1Shooting49.6% · 45.2%3-point %35.1% · 27.7%Ball care20.3% · 11.2%Off. rebounds40.3% · 24.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.55Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Liege   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Liege wins
3
Circus Brussels wins
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23ASpirou Charleroi71-79
22/09/23HBelfius Mons83-69
23/05/23ALimburg78-91
21/05/23HLimburg79-88
15/05/23AZwolle92-100
12/05/23HZwolle94-79
05/05/23HBAL Weert90-52
03/05/23ABAL Weert80-69
28/04/23HBAL Weert93-66
25/04/23HFeyenoord74-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23ALeuven Bears80-72
24/09/23HKortrijk86-94
14/05/23ASpirou Charleroi83-85
12/05/23HSpirou Charleroi61-84
05/05/23HFeyenoord75-62
03/05/23AFeyenoord77-75
28/04/23HQSTA Utd89-84
23/04/23ADen Helder89-90
19/04/23HBAL Weert71-77
15/04/23AAmsterdam86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.083.071.0
Allowed / game74.069.079.0
Point differential+3.0+14.0-8.0
Avg total151.0152.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game83.086.080.0
Allowed / game83.094.072.0
Point differential+0.0-8.0+8.0
Avg total166.0180.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden220100%101.061.5+39.5
2 Zwolle220100%85.561.5+24.0
3 Limburg110100%74.063.0+11.0
4 BAL Weert110100%86.079.0+7.0
5 Spirou Charleroi220100%84.577.5+7.0
6 Kortrijk220100%93.587.5+6.0
7 Antwerp Giants110100%82.078.0+4.0
8 Feyenoord110100%73.070.0+3.0
9 Oostende21150%74.068.5+5.5
10 Donar Groningen21150%72.068.0+4.0
11 Liege21150%77.074.0+3.0
12 Circus Brussels21150%83.083.0+0.0
13 Mechelen21150%80.082.5-2.5
14 Leuven Bears2020%75.081.0-6.0
15 Belfius Mons2020%72.079.5-7.5
16 Den Bosch1010%63.074.0-11.0
17 Okapi Aalst2020%76.089.0-13.0
18 Den Helder2020%64.089.0-25.0
19 QSTA Utd2020%68.594.0-25.5
20 LWD Basket1010%60.093.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege1814111659
Circus Brussels1330261685
← all games of the day
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