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Leuven Bears vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 72-80
24-17 23-20 14-22 11-21
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.0
Leuven Bears
vs
Circus Brussels 🏆
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game94.0
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase (Leuven)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Circus Brussels
01 Feb 2025
LEUV86
CIRC72
08 Mar 2024
LEUV80
CIRC75
30 Sep 2023
LEUV72
CIRC80
02 Nov 2022
LEUV69
CIRC53
12 Nov 2021
LEUV77
CIRC62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
62-75
62
75
-13
50avg 67
A03/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#3
W
86-62
86
62
+24
78avg 67
H05/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
72avg 67
A07/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A12/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
101-65
101
65
+36
no box
H15/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H21/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
74-71
74
71
+3
no box
A23/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H27/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A29/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
70avg 67
A23/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
13-18
17-19
10-14
24-18
29-9
13-24
20-11
20-30
21-25
24-16
24-27
10-26
24-23
22-17
19-15
27-17
28-20
25-13
21-15
21-15
20-21
22-13
17-21
20-26
22-15
17-14
15-16
18-19
27-18
18-22
19-24
20-16
15-15
9-31
28-17
16-14
20-19
16-27
26-22
156.5Avg total
79.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.082.0160.0-4.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.082.0160.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)79.976.6156.5+3.340%
Last 5 (5)77.277.0154.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.875.5152.2+1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.075.4153.4+2.643%
vs Weaker (19)82.570.7153.2+11.868%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#19
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
no box
H09/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
A15/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H19/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#19
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A23/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H05/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
61-84
61
84
-23
no box
H12/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
A14/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
73avg 73
H24/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
22-25
23-21
26-25
19-15
20-16
29-24
18-20
10-15
16-27
24-16
21-19
18-23
14-29
30-22
27-16
26-14
26-19
17-24
20-27
16-20
20-14
14-19
27-22
13-10
22-17
15-14
25-21
20-23
15-15
13-28
13-18
21-18
28-24
6-25
28-18
24-20
20-22
20-21
22-31
165.6Avg total
82.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.094.0180.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)86.094.0180.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.183.5165.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)76.480.0156.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)77.087.0164.0-10.030%
vs Similar ◀ (1)86.094.0180.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (6)85.083.5168.5+1.550%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
Leuven BearsCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A03/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#3
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H05/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A07/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A12/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H15/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H21/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H27/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A29/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A23/09
BNXT League
80.5Avg total
41.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.877.4+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.131.975.0+11.292%-
Last 30 away (17)40.438.879.2+1.659%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.880.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.675.4+4.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.234.572.8+3.8100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.438.179.6+3.357%-
vs Weaker (19)42.335.377.6+7.174%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#19
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H09/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A15/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H19/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#19
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A23/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H28/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H05/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A14/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H24/09
BNXT League
78.6Avg total
39.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.380.8-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.642.381.9-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)37.342.479.7-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.178.6+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.676.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.642.180.7-3.543%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker (6)37.043.280.2-6.217%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.2
51.8%
52.2%42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.3%
33.1%23.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
71.4%12.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.0
51.4%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.0
32.1%
33.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws29.021.0
72.4%
71.4%21.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/1 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LLLWWWLLWL
Circus Brussels
LLLWWWLLWL
#11
League position
#9
-1.4
Net rating
-7.6
109.3
Offensive rating
109.4
110.7
Defensive rating
117.0
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
64.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
10.2%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
17.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.45
32.3%
3-point %
32.1%
45.7%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 109.4Defence110.7 · 117.0Shooting50.6% · 50.0%3-point %32.3% · 32.1%Ball care14.3% · 10.2%Off. rebounds31.5% · 17.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leuven Bears wins
1
Circus Brussels wins
DateGameScore
23/12/22Circus Brussels v Leuven Bears73-71
02/11/22Leuven Bears v Circus Brussels69-53
20/02/22Circus Brussels v Leuven Bears70-75
12/11/21Leuven Bears v Circus Brussels77-62
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23AAntwerp Giants78-82
29/05/23ASpirou Charleroi72-79
27/05/23HSpirou Charleroi82-83
23/05/23ADen Bosch74-71
21/05/23HDen Bosch80-70
15/05/23HOkapi Aalst101-65
12/05/23AOkapi Aalst75-81
07/05/23AMechelen89-98
05/05/23HMechelen86-62
03/05/23AMechelen62-75
Circus Brusselslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/23HKortrijk86-94
14/05/23ASpirou Charleroi83-85
12/05/23HSpirou Charleroi61-84
05/05/23HFeyenoord75-62
03/05/23AFeyenoord77-75
28/04/23HQSTA Utd89-84
23/04/23ADen Helder89-90
19/04/23HBAL Weert71-77
15/04/23AAmsterdam86-75
09/04/23HDen Helder104-109 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential-4.0--4.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game94.094.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden220100%101.061.5+39.5
2 Zwolle110100%93.060.0+33.0
3 Oostende110100%85.063.0+22.0
4 BAL Weert110100%86.079.0+7.0
5 Spirou Charleroi220100%84.577.5+7.0
6 Kortrijk220100%93.587.5+6.0
7 Antwerp Giants110100%82.078.0+4.0
8 Feyenoord110100%73.070.0+3.0
9 Donar Groningen21150%72.068.0+4.0
10 Liege21150%77.074.0+3.0
11 Leuven Bears1010%78.082.0-4.0
12 Mechelen1010%84.090.0-6.0
13 Circus Brussels1010%86.094.0-8.0
14 Den Bosch1010%63.074.0-11.0
15 Okapi Aalst2020%76.089.0-13.0
16 Belfius Mons1010%69.083.0-14.0
17 QSTA Utd2020%68.594.0-25.5
18 LWD Basket1010%60.093.0-33.0
19 Den Helder1010%65.0100.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2423141172
Circus Brussels1720222180
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