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Fos-sur-Mer vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 90-97 (OT)
19-21 20-19 17-19 24-21 10-17
Position#16
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game82.4
Fos-sur-Mer
France
vs
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
Position#7
Record8-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.5
FrancePro BRound 17· Halle des Sports Parsemain
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez
20 Sep 2024
FSM64
POR78
26 Jan 2024
FSM90
POR97
09 Dec 2022
FSM83
POR75
11 Feb 2022
FSM72
POR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 78
A21/11
French Cup
Boulazac
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
76avg 78
A24/11
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
76-97
76
97
-21
90avg 78
A01/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
89avg 78
H08/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
55-76
55
76
-21
49avg 78
A15/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
87avg 78
H19/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
70-82
70
82
-12
86avg 78
A22/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
82-84
82
84
-2
98avg 78
H27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 78
A12/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
91-98
91
98
-7
99avg 78
H19/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-25
20-20
22-24
17-21
19-18
15-19
14-17
26-29
14-17
24-30
12-21
23-12
15-24
18-23
18-22
21-22
13-17
4-21
17-16
22-21
17-28
12-21
26-19
24-17
12-21
14-21
20-23
21-18
13-21
20-23
28-22
20-17
16-20
22-12
12-25
25-26
24-25
21-24
21-23
158.2Avg total
73.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.982.4158.3-6.619%
Season at home (8)78.482.9161.2-4.525%
Season away (8)73.482.0155.4-8.612%
Last 10 (10)73.884.4158.2-10.60%
Last 5 (5)78.085.4163.4-7.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.584.1160.6-7.621%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.682.5160.1-4.921%
vs Weaker (1)88.092.0180.0-4.00%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
106avg 79
A24/11
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 79
A28/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
89avg 79
H03/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
82-65
82
65
+17
97avg 79
H08/12
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
86avg 79
A15/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
66-87
66
87
-21
76avg 79
H19/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
86avg 79
A23/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
67avg 79
H27/12
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
73-74
73
74
-1
84avg 79
A12/01
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
89-78
89
78
+11
101avg 79
H19/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
18-22
18-16
29-21
23-23
12-21
12-16
21-24
19-20
20-17
16-24
22-17
26-15
21-22
22-18
13-10
28-13
16-33
26-18
22-19
9-27
21-25
18-15
18-20
18-27
22-24
14-20
22-11
16-19
17-18
19-16
18-21
9-24
23-15
16-17
25-18
26-20
29-17
25-25
9-16
156.4Avg total
78.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.877.5156.2+1.250%
Season at home (9)79.675.8155.3+3.867%
Season away (7)77.779.7157.4-2.029%
Last 10 (10)78.677.8156.4+0.840%
Last 5 (5)74.879.0153.8-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.085.9163.9-7.943%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.378.1155.4-0.847%
vs Weaker (5)79.673.6153.2+6.060%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
Fos-sur-MerPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/11
French Cup
Boulazac
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A24/11
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A01/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H19/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A22/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H19/01
Pro B
79.6Avg total
37.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.278.4-2.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.338.376.5+0.033%-
Last 30 away (15)38.142.280.3-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.879.6-4.010%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.881.6-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.641.579.1-3.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.640.478.9-1.836%-
vs Weaker (1)32.038.070.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A24/11
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A28/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H03/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/12
Pro B
Angers
#18
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A15/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H19/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A23/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H27/12
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A12/01
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H19/01
Pro B
81.7Avg total
40.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.778.8-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.439.280.7+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)36.440.276.6-3.821%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.681.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.281.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.341.081.3-0.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.339.779.0-0.453%-
vs Weaker (5)37.238.275.4-1.040%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.0
50.3%
51.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.3
36.9%
33.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.712.7
67.9%
72.2%12.7
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.2
53.2%
51.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.6
33.7%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.8
74.2%
72.2%15.8
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLLLLLLLLL
Pau-Orthez
WLLLLWWLLW
#16
League position
#7
-15.0
Net rating
+1.3
98.9
Offensive rating
105.2
113.8
Defensive rating
103.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
21.1%
Turnover %
20.8%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.9%
3-point %
33.7%
63.1%
Assist %
68.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 105.2Defence113.8 · 103.8Shooting52.0% · 52.1%3-point %36.9% · 33.7%Ball care21.1% · 20.8%Off. rebounds24.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fos-sur-Mer wins
3
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer74-63
09/12/22Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez83-75
26/03/22Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer93-72
11/02/22Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez72-70
06/11/21Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer76-74
Fos-sur-Merlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HChalons-Reims91-98
12/01/24ADenain-Voltaire70-74
27/12/23HAntibes82-84
22/12/23ANantes70-82
19/12/23HASA77-89
15/12/23ALa Rochelle55-76
08/12/23HOrleans74-81
01/12/23ASt. Chamond76-97
24/11/23ABoulazac65-75
21/11/23ALe Portel78-88
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HNantes89-78
12/01/24AEvreux73-74
27/12/23HRouen70-74
23/12/23ABoulazac76-82
19/12/23HAntibes66-87
15/12/23AAngers92-83
08/12/23HLille82-65
03/12/23HPoitiers77-78
28/11/23ALa Rochelle68-84
24/11/23AAix Maurienne93-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%25%12%
Points / game75.978.473.4
Allowed / game82.482.982.0
Point differential-6.6-4.5-8.6
Avg total158.3161.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%67%29%
Points / game78.879.677.7
Allowed / game77.575.879.7
Point differential+1.2+3.8-2.0
Avg total156.2155.3157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle1614288%82.773.4+9.3
2 Vichy1613381%86.177.4+8.6
3 Boulazac1712571%81.576.6+4.9
4 Rouen1611569%84.078.3+5.7
5 Orleans1610662%84.181.6+2.5
6 Nantes179853%78.879.9-1.1
7 St. Chamond168850%82.780.7+2.0
8 Pau-Orthez168850%78.877.5+1.2
9 Lille168850%74.975.2-0.2
10 Poitiers168850%79.680.5-0.9
11 Evreux167944%78.681.4-2.9
12 Denain-Voltaire167944%75.879.4-3.6
13 Antibes1661038%80.382.4-2.1
14 ASA1661038%76.478.9-2.4
15 Aix Maurienne1661038%77.784.2-6.5
16 Chalons-Reims1651131%78.980.7-1.8
17 Angers1641225%81.888.2-6.4
18 Fos-sur-Mer1631319%75.982.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Fos-sur-Mer192017241090
Pau-Orthez211919211797
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