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Lille vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 66-70
18-11 18-23 16-19 14-17
Position#10
Record7-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Nantes 🏆
France
Position#13
Record7-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.7
FrancePro BRound 14· Palais des sports Saint-Sauveur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lille v Nantes
27 Dec 2023
LILL66
NANT70
31 Mar 2023
LILL95
NANT93
25 Mar 2022
LILL85
NANT87
19 Apr 2021
LILL98
NANT92
27 Dec 2019
LILL76
NANT82
05 Mar 2019
LILL71
NANT74
08 Dec 2017
LILL65
NANT51
04 Nov 2016
LILL82
NANT73
12 Feb 2016
LILL72
NANT78
20 Jan 2015
LILL77
NANT78
21 Mar 2014
LILL100
NANT91
15 Mar 2013
LILL90
NANT74
07 Oct 2011
LILL65
NANT77
18 Feb 2011
LILL86
NANT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lille winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LilleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLille
Date
Competition
Evreux
#17
W
89-77
89
77
+12
113avg 84
A03/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
80-72
80
72
+8
98avg 84
H10/11
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
73-66
73
66
+7
66avg 84
H17/11
Pro B
Vichy
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
57avg 84
A21/11
French Cup
ASA
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
99avg 84
A24/11
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
62-86
62
86
-24
68avg 84
H01/12
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
75avg 84
A08/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
L
56-68
56
68
-12
52avg 84
H15/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
87avg 84
A19/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
86-69
86
69
+17
103avg 84
A22/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
22-19
16-15
25-27
19-23
17-18
27-18
17-13
17-12
15-17
17-21
24-16
18-21
21-15
16-25
14-24
15-17
26-19
19-18
21-19
11-23
12-28
21-17
18-18
15-26
22-21
18-22
10-13
12-21
20-15
12-14
12-18
15-14
23-13
11-20
19-23
20-19
33-17
16-15
17-18
147.7Avg total
72.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.875.8151.5+0.054%
Season at home (6)68.272.0140.2-3.850%
Season away (7)82.379.0161.3+3.357%
Last 10 (10)72.974.8147.7-1.950%
Last 5 (5)67.475.0142.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.078.5146.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.780.9160.6-1.143%
vs Weaker (5)86.479.4165.8+7.080%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#1
L
60-97
60
97
-37
62avg 84
H03/11
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
85-96
85
96
-11
101avg 84
A12/11
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 84
H17/11
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#6
L
49-92
49
92
-43
32avg 84
A21/11
French Cup
Evreux
#17
L
70-78
70
78
-8
78avg 84
A24/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
85-80
85
80
+5
103avg 84
A01/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
107avg 84
H08/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
87avg 84
H15/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
A19/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
82-70
82
70
+12
100avg 84
H22/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
12-23
15-29
15-22
20-18
21-33
28-23
16-22
24-18
18-21
12-16
13-17
12-22
10-23
13-20
14-27
19-20
19-18
17-15
15-25
21-16
19-23
26-14
19-27
20-21
26-8
24-20
20-24
22-16
23-20
17-21
27-14
23-17
19-19
13-20
23-22
17-24
21-12
21-14
23-20
157.7Avg total
76.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.579.7159.2-0.254%
Season at home (7)77.775.0152.7+2.771%
Season away (6)81.585.2166.7-3.733%
Last 10 (10)76.181.6157.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)86.076.2162.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.582.7155.2-10.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.382.0161.3-2.736%
vs Weaker (2)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.5-3.5
LilleNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A03/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H10/11
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H17/11
Pro B
Vichy
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/11
French Cup
ASA
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/11
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H01/12
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H15/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A19/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A22/12
Pro B
75.3Avg total
37.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.481.4+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.179.0+2.969%-
Last 30 away (14)43.141.084.1+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.475.3+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.476.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.043.578.5-8.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.738.980.6+2.862%-
vs Weaker (5)44.441.285.6+3.260%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#1
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H03/11
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A12/11
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H17/11
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#6
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A21/11
French Cup
Evreux
#17
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A01/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H08/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A19/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H22/12
Pro B
77.9Avg total
38.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.177.8-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.377.5-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)35.342.878.1-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.577.9-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.277.4+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.440.775.1-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.941.179.1-3.236%-
vs Weaker (2)37.542.580.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lille: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.418.4
44.4%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.6
34.4%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.512.1
65.4%
72.2%12.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.4
48.3%
51.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.2
32.1%
33.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.812.5
63.1%
72.2%12.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lille
WLLLLWLWWW
Nantes
WLWWWLLLLL
#10
League position
#13
-3.1
Net rating
-8.1
97.2
Offensive rating
101.0
100.4
Defensive rating
109.1
46.9%
Effective FG%
48.3%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
32.1%
72.7%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 101.0Defence100.4 · 109.1Shooting46.9% · 48.3%3-point %34.4% · 32.1%Ball care19.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Lille   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lille wins
5
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
31/03/23Lille v Nantes95-93
18/11/22Nantes v Lille79-99
25/03/22Lille v Nantes85-87
28/01/22Nantes v Lille66-90
19/04/21Lille v Nantes98-92 OT
18/12/20Nantes v Lille72-55
27/12/19Lille v Nantes76-82 OT
05/03/19Lille v Nantes71-74
02/11/18Nantes v Lille77-60
20/03/18Nantes v Lille60-80
Lillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ADenain-Voltaire86-69
19/12/23ABoulazac68-70
15/12/23HPoitiers56-68
08/12/23APau-Orthez65-82
01/12/23HVichy62-86
24/11/23AASA81-73
21/11/23AVichy69-85
17/11/23HRouen73-66
10/11/23HAngers80-72
03/11/23AEvreux89-77
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HFos-sur-Mer82-70
19/12/23ADenain-Voltaire84-87 OT
15/12/23HRouen89-71
08/12/23HChalons-Reims90-73
01/12/23AAngers85-80
24/11/23AEvreux70-78
21/11/23ASaint Quentin49-92
17/11/23HVichy67-72
12/11/23AOrleans85-96
03/11/23HLa Rochelle60-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lille
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW54%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game75.868.282.3
Allowed / game75.872.079.0
Point differential+0.0-3.8+3.3
Avg total151.5140.2161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nantes
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW54%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game79.577.781.5
Allowed / game79.775.085.2
Point differential-0.2+2.7-3.7
Avg total159.2152.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle1312192%83.870.5+13.4
2 Vichy1310377%86.677.9+8.7
3 Boulazac1310377%79.974.3+5.6
4 Rouen139469%84.379.9+4.4
5 Orleans139469%85.881.8+4.0
6 St. Chamond138562%86.281.5+4.7
7 Pau-Orthez137654%79.178.0+1.1
8 Lille137654%75.875.8+0.0
9 Nantes137654%79.579.7-0.2
10 Denain-Voltaire136746%76.780.0-3.3
11 Poitiers135838%78.981.5-2.5
12 Evreux135838%78.882.8-4.0
13 Chalons-Reims134931%78.881.1-2.3
14 Antibes134931%80.083.1-3.1
15 ASA134931%75.980.2-4.2
16 Aix Maurienne134931%77.485.8-8.4
17 Angers1331023%80.987.6-6.7
18 Fos-sur-Mer1331023%74.781.8-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lille1818161466
Nantes1123191770
← all games of the day
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