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Lille vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 85-74
18-22 29-16 17-17 21-19
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game62.0
Lille 🏆
France
vs
Position#48
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FranceFrench Cup· Palais des sports Saint-Sauveur (Lille)
Other2023
Meetings · Lille v Paris
16 Oct 2023
LILL85
PRS74
11 Jun 2021
LILL70
PRS92
03 Apr 2020
LILL v PRS
upcoming
14 Dec 2018
LILL82
PRS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lille winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LilleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLille
Date
Competition
Aix Maurienne
#17
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A18/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
no box
H23/04
Pro B
Orleans
#7
L
71-107
71
107
-36
no box
A29/04
Pro B
Angers
#11
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
A05/05
Pro B
Boulazac
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H12/05
Pro B
Orleans
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H19/05
Pro B
Orleans
#7
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A22/05
Pro B
Orleans
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
H25/05
Pro B
Rueil
#57
W
86-62
86
62
+24
76avg 75
H20/09
French Cup
Orleans
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
74avg 75
H13/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
14-18
16-18
19-20
26-12
25-9
24-27
27-28
17-18
17-23
13-36
24-30
31-29
15-21
23-17
22-26
19-24
24-9
20-20
18-21
26-22
21-17
19-21
19-17
21-14
16-24
19-19
15-28
17-17
20-31
26-23
26-19
26-17
17-18
20-15
23-12
23-8
14-26
14-17
13-18
163.6Avg total
81.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.062.0148.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)86.062.0148.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.781.9163.6-0.240%
Last 5 (5)79.076.6155.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.065.0124.0-6.00%
vs Similar (20)84.283.0167.2+1.260%
vs Weaker (8)88.184.1172.2+4.062%
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
85-93
85
93
-8
74avg 82
A16/05
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
81-64
81
64
+17
88avg 82
H17/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#7
W
81-65
81
65
+16
91avg 82
A23/09
LNB
Le Mans
#12
W
112-71
112
71
+41
119avg 82
H27/09
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
100avg 82
A30/09
LNB
BC Wolves
#14
W
105-78
105
78
+27
103avg 82
H03/10
Eurocup
Nancy
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
64avg 82
A05/10
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
93-86
93
86
+7
105avg 82
H08/10
LNB
Venezia
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 82
A11/10
Eurocup
Le Portel
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
93avg 82
H14/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
20-25
17-18
21-24
17-12
22-20
22-18
20-14
27-15
17-18
13-21
24-11
36-17
20-17
24-18
32-19
21-16
23-12
18-14
21-23
24-15
24-25
26-22
31-16
20-19
20-17
23-25
15-20
24-16
28-31
27-22
14-17
24-22
16-19
16-19
25-15
20-12
25-31
23-22
18-25
165.3Avg total
88.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.576.8165.3+11.770%
Last 5 (5)88.682.0170.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.0100.5182.5-18.50%
vs Similar (17)87.587.9175.5-0.453%
vs Weaker (11)89.977.9167.8+12.082%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
LilleParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aix Maurienne
#17
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A18/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H23/04
Pro B
Orleans
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A29/04
Pro B
Angers
#11
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A05/05
Pro B
Boulazac
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/05
Pro B
Orleans
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/05
Pro B
Orleans
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/05
Pro B
Orleans
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H25/05
Pro B
Rueil
#57
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H20/09
French Cup
Orleans
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/10
Pro B
80.4Avg total
41.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.581.9+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.137.980.9+5.276%-
Last 30 away (13)41.441.783.1-0.331%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.780.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.033.066.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (20)41.939.981.7+2.055%-
vs Weaker (8)44.640.184.8+4.562%-
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/05
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H17/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/09
LNB
Le Mans
#12
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H27/09
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A30/09
LNB
BC Wolves
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/10
Eurocup
Nancy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/10
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H08/10
LNB
Venezia
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/10
Eurocup
Le Portel
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/10
LNB
84.0Avg total
45.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.442.487.8+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.942.491.3+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.384.3-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.584.0+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.486.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.552.5100.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (17)45.644.089.6+1.647%-
vs Weaker (11)44.738.082.7+6.782%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lille: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.0
46.5%
52.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.5
29.3%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.09.5
52.8%
71.6%9.5
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.7
56.6%
52.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.7
36.5%
35.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.114.0
69.7%
71.6%14.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lille
LWLLWWLLWL
Paris
LWWLWWWWWL
#11
League position
#48
+15.5
Net rating
+15.5
101.2
Offensive rating
120.2
85.7
Defensive rating
104.7
45.5%
Effective FG%
55.8%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
38.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.3%
3-point %
36.5%
71.9%
Assist %
55.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 120.2Defence85.7 · 104.7Shooting45.5% · 55.8%3-point %29.3% · 36.5%Ball care14.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds34.4% · 38.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Lille   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lille wins
4
Paris wins
DateGameScore
11/06/21Lille v Paris70-92
24/10/20Paris v Lille80-57
16/02/20Paris v Lille90-78
19/04/19Paris v Lille84-81
14/12/18Lille v Paris82-74
Lillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HOrleans64-69
20/09/23HRueil86-62
25/05/23HOrleans89-90
22/05/23AOrleans71-85
19/05/23HOrleans85-77
12/05/23HBoulazac81-74
05/05/23AAngers91-93
29/04/23AOrleans71-107
23/04/23HLa Rochelle102-76
18/04/23AAix Maurienne77-86
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HLe Portel86-90
11/10/23AVenezia81-75
08/10/23HBoulogne-Levallois93-86
05/10/23ANancy78-81
03/10/23HBC Wolves105-78
30/09/23ALimoges83-65
27/09/23HLe Mans112-71
23/09/23ASaint Quentin81-65
17/09/23HDijon81-64
16/05/23ABoulogne-Levallois85-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lille
French Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Paris
French Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chalons-Reims110100%96.057.0+39.0
2 Saint Quentin110100%118.091.0+27.0
3 Fos-sur-Mer110100%76.051.0+25.0
4 Lille110100%86.062.0+24.0
5 Gravelines-Dunkerque110100%84.061.0+23.0
6 Evreux110100%86.066.0+20.0
7 Tours110100%20.00.0+20.0
8 Vichy110100%84.067.0+17.0
9 Rennes220100%52.035.5+16.5
10 Nantes110100%84.069.0+15.0
11 ALS Basket Andrezieux-Boutheon110100%79.066.0+13.0
12 Mulhouse110100%81.069.0+12.0
13 Pau-Orthez110100%81.069.0+12.0
14 Aurore110100%74.064.0+10.0
15 Chartres110100%75.066.0+9.0
16 Chalon/Saone110100%76.068.0+8.0
17 Saint Vallier110100%78.072.0+6.0
18 Boulogne sur Mer110100%79.075.0+4.0
19 Rouen110100%88.084.0+4.0
20 Antibes110100%82.079.0+3.0
21 Toulouse110100%95.092.0+3.0
22 Denain-Voltaire21150%82.070.5+11.5
23 La Rochelle21150%85.576.0+9.5
24 Boulazac1010%92.095.0-3.0
25 Pont de Cheruy1010%79.082.0-3.0
26 Berck/Rang Du Fliers1010%75.079.0-4.0
27 Challans1010%84.088.0-4.0
28 Feurs1010%72.078.0-6.0
29 ASA1010%68.076.0-8.0
30 Angers1010%66.075.0-9.0
31 Orleans1010%64.074.0-10.0
32 Loon Plage1010%69.081.0-12.0
33 Poitiers1010%69.081.0-12.0
34 Lyonso1010%66.079.0-13.0
35 Quimper1010%69.084.0-15.0
36 Aix Maurienne1010%67.084.0-17.0
37 CEP Lorient1010%0.020.0-20.0
38 Caen1010%66.086.0-20.0
39 Le Havre1010%0.020.0-20.0
40 Rueil1010%62.086.0-24.0
41 Hyeres-Toulon1010%51.076.0-25.0
42 Besancon1010%91.0118.0-27.0
43 Tarbes1010%68.0100.0-32.0
44 Poissy1010%57.096.0-39.0
45 Orchies1010%57.0103.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lille1829172185
Paris2216171974
← all games of the day
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