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Lille vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-79
18-21 18-16 18-22 22-20
Position#10
Record14-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game75.0
Lille
France
vs
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
Position#7
Record14-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.2
FrancePro BRound 30· Palais des sports Saint-Sauveur
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lille winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LilleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLille
Date
Competition
ASA
#9
L
64-80
64
80
-16
78avg 83
H06/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
84avg 83
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
64-52
64
52
+12
61avg 83
H01/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
77-85
77
85
-8
65avg 83
A08/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
100avg 83
H15/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
77-74
77
74
+3
84avg 83
A22/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
87-66
87
66
+21
103avg 83
H26/03
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
63-65
63
65
-2
72avg 83
A29/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
96-91 OT
96
91
+5
113avg 83
A05/04
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
70-77
70
77
-7
82avg 83
H09/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
19-20
21-26
10-16
18-16
17-12
18-20
17-20
19-15
12-16
16-10
17-11
30-35
13-13
23-18
11-19
30-28
18-21
18-20
21-15
21-17
24-24
11-12
21-21
31-10
23-17
15-15
18-24
20-18
11-13
14-17
18-17
20-14
22-22
19-22
19-22
13-18
19-18
21-19
17-22
149.7Avg total
75.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.875.0149.8-0.148%
Season at home (14)72.073.1145.1-1.143%
Season away (15)77.576.7154.1+0.853%
Last 10 (10)75.574.2149.7+1.360%
Last 5 (5)78.674.6153.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.572.0135.5-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (21)76.476.3152.7+0.148%
vs Weaker (4)79.075.0154.0+4.075%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#13
W
74-64
74
64
+10
70avg 82
A14/02
French Cup
Angers
#18
L
79-83
79
83
-4
86avg 82
H01/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
68-75
68
75
-7
55avg 82
A08/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
100avg 82
H13/03
Pro B
Dijon
#1
L
58-90
58
90
-32
54avg 82
A16/03
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
L
62-70
62
70
-8
71avg 82
A22/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
98avg 82
A26/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
99avg 82
H29/03
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
88avg 82
A05/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
98avg 82
H09/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
24-7
14-23
18-12
18-23
17-19
27-27
17-14
20-14
10-20
20-22
18-19
18-25
27-22
18-20
31-21
17-21
12-20
8-26
21-23
13-19
19-10
10-25
20-16
19-29
20-18
26-21
23-23
19-28
27-17
17-16
15-17
18-28
18-21
19-26
27-18
18-21
28-18
18-16
20-25
160.8Avg total
78.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.979.2159.1+0.748%
Season at home (15)81.577.6159.1+3.967%
Season away (14)78.280.9159.1-2.629%
Last 10 (10)78.082.8160.8-4.830%
Last 5 (5)81.485.6167.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.589.5165.0-14.025%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.676.7155.3+1.956%
vs Weaker (8)83.080.4163.4+2.650%
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
LillePau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ASA
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H06/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H01/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A08/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H15/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A22/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H26/03
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A29/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/04
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H09/04
Pro B
75.9Avg total
39.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.077.2+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.737.674.3-0.936%-
Last 30 away (16)41.338.479.7+2.969%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.575.9+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.275.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.837.271.0-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.638.177.7+1.552%-
vs Weaker (4)40.238.278.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#13
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A14/02
French Cup
Angers
#18
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H01/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A08/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H13/03
Pro B
Dijon
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A22/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/03
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A05/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/04
Pro B
78.2Avg total
38.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.578.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.638.880.4+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.140.177.2-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.278.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.881.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.541.077.5-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.638.778.3+0.856%-
vs Weaker (8)39.940.580.4-0.638%-
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lille: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.617.4
45.1%
51.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.9
37.1%
33.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.810.3
61.3%
72.2%10.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.7
51.7%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.3
28.3%
33.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.317.9
70.8%
72.2%17.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lille
LWLWWWLWWL
Pau-Orthez
WLLLLLWLLW
#10
League position
#7
+1.6
Net rating
-7.7
101.5
Offensive rating
103.6
99.9
Defensive rating
111.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
47.8%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.4%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.1%
3-point %
28.3%
62.6%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 103.6Defence99.9 · 111.3Shooting49.4% · 47.8%3-point %37.1% · 28.3%Ball care18.8% · 18.4%Off. rebounds32.2% · 32.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lille   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lille wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
08/12/23Pau-Orthez v Lille82-65
Lillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24HEvreux70-77
05/04/24APoitiers96-91 OT
29/03/24ALa Rochelle63-65
26/03/24HDenain-Voltaire87-66
22/03/24AAngers77-74
15/03/24HAntibes87-84
08/03/24ANantes77-85
01/03/24HBoulazac64-52
09/02/24AChalons-Reims70-68
06/02/24HASA64-80
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24HBoulazac84-80
05/04/24AVichy82-93
29/03/24HAix Maurienne91-94 OT
26/03/24ARouen88-91
22/03/24ASt. Chamond62-70
16/03/24ADijon58-90
13/03/24HDenain-Voltaire94-88
08/03/24AChalons-Reims68-75
01/03/24HAngers79-83
14/02/24AGravelines-Dunkerque74-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lille
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLWWWL43%
AwayWLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%43%53%
Points / game74.872.077.5
Allowed / game75.073.176.7
Point differential-0.1-1.1+0.8
Avg total149.8145.1154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%67%29%
Points / game79.981.578.2
Allowed / game79.277.680.9
Point differential+0.7+3.9-2.6
Avg total159.1159.1159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)50% (8)20% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle2925486%79.770.0+9.8
2 Vichy2822679%85.177.5+7.6
3 Boulazac2819968%79.075.2+3.7
4 Rouen29181162%83.881.7+2.1
5 Orleans28171161%80.680.0+0.6
6 Chalons-Reims29151452%80.278.4+1.8
7 Poitiers30151550%81.382.0-0.7
8 Pau-Orthez29141548%79.979.2+0.7
9 St. Chamond29141548%83.483.0+0.4
10 Lille29141548%74.875.0-0.1
11 Nantes29131645%81.681.7-0.1
12 ASA29131645%77.378.6-1.3
13 Antibes29131645%80.982.9-2.0
14 Aix Maurienne29111838%81.085.1-4.1
15 Evreux29101934%79.083.2-4.2
16 Denain-Voltaire29101934%75.780.7-5.0
17 Fos-sur-Mer2992031%78.180.0-1.9
18 Angers2982128%79.386.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lille1818182276
Pau-Orthez2116222079
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