PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Limburg vs Den Helder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-77
22-6 16-22 25-33 19-16
Position#5
Record12-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game80.4
Limburg 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record6-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 22· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2025-26
Meetings · Limburg v Den Helder
06 Mar 2026
LIMB82
DEN 77
27 Sep 2024
LIMB84
DEN 44
06 May 2022
LIMB108
DEN 84
22 Apr 2022
LIMB113
DEN 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Helder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
83avg 80
A26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#5
W
79-74
79
74
+5
73avg 80
A04/01
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
W
77-75
77
75
+2
73avg 80
A10/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
106-66
106
66
+40
no box
H16/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
89-90
89
90
-1
83avg 80
A24/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
79-95
79
95
-16
70avg 80
A30/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
96-104
96
104
-8
96avg 80
H08/02
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
90avg 80
H13/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
96-84
96
84
+12
87avg 80
A18/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
87-62
87
62
+25
77avg 80
A22/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
31-32
24-26
17-23
22-23
17-15
24-22
16-14
11-17
19-26
25-13
22-19
21-16
31-20
30-15
24-15
18-29
22-22
21-20
28-19
27-31
19-23
15-16
18-25
23-24
18-33
24-18
31-29
21-16
21-22
23-24
25-22
28-23
20-28
25-16
23-17
25-15
16-18
24-12
22-17
173.8Avg total
89.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.980.4170.3+9.557%
Season at home (11)92.876.5169.3+16.473%
Season away (10)86.784.8171.5+1.940%
Last 10 (10)89.784.1173.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)89.685.8175.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.099.0190.0-8.00%
vs Similar (5)86.885.2172.0+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.579.1167.6+9.459%
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den HelderLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelder
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
68-76
68
76
-8
50avg 68
H13/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
88-70
88
70
+18
78avg 68
A19/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
81avg 68
A23/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 68
H11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-105
85
105
-20
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
66avg 68
H24/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
64avg 68
H31/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
88-93
88
93
-5
80avg 68
A14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 68
H18/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
103-94
103
94
+9
95avg 68
H21/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
16-23
19-19
20-11
29-17
17-13
15-18
27-22
30-20
12-17
23-15
18-21
22-20
13-25
20-22
18-17
24-29
26-20
20-28
15-28
18-12
17-35
17-31
24-25
21-17
15-24
17-11
18-14
29-17
16-20
27-26
16-30
23-15
11-21
17-24
22-10
31-24
27-18
16-25
29-27
164.2Avg total
80.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.986.3166.2-6.430%
Season at home (11)79.183.5162.5-4.436%
Season away (9)80.989.8170.7-8.922%
Last 10 (10)80.883.4164.2-2.650%
Last 5 (5)82.285.2167.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.289.9166.2-13.717%
vs Similar (12)78.078.8156.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (6)77.881.2159.0-3.317%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
LimburgDen Helder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/01
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A30/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H08/02
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A18/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A22/02
BNXT League
89.5Avg total
43.6Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.187.0+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.940.084.9+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)45.043.988.9+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.645.989.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.690.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.557.090.5-23.50%-
vs Similar (5)45.843.489.2+2.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.540.686.1+4.959%-
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H13/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A19/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A17/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H24/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H18/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H21/02
BNXT League
82.0Avg total
41.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.982.1-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.642.481.0-3.925%-
Last 30 away (14)39.943.483.4-3.543%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.082.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.682.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.845.883.5-8.017%-
vs Similar (12)39.640.880.3-1.242%-
vs Weaker (6)41.341.582.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.8
59.5%
54.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.0
35.7%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.818.5
77.7%
72.4%18.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Heldertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Helder: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.0
51.9%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.19.9
30.8%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
72.4%13.1
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
WWWLLLWWWL
Den Helder
WWLWLLLWWL
#5
League position
#12
+8.0
Net rating
-2.8
107.7
Offensive rating
94.4
99.7
Defensive rating
97.2
57.4%
Effective FG%
49.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
30.8%
62.9%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 94.4Defence99.7 · 97.2Shooting57.4% · 49.2%3-point %35.7% · 30.8%Ball care15.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.8% · 26.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Limburg   ■ Den Helder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Limburg wins
2
Den Helder wins
DateGameScore
02/11/25Den Helder v Limburg91-83
08/02/25Den Helder v Limburg77-69
27/09/24Limburg v Den Helder84-44
06/05/22Limburg v Den Helder108-84
03/05/22Den Helder v Limburg79-93
22/04/22Limburg v Den Helder113-66
19/03/22Den Helder v Limburg70-85
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ABrussels Basketball87-62
18/02/26ASpirou Charleroi96-84
13/02/26HOostende90-84
08/02/26HAntwerp Giants96-104
30/01/26ADen Bosch79-95
24/01/26ALeuven Bears89-90
16/01/26HMechelen106-66
10/01/26ALeiden77-75
04/01/26AKortrijk79-74
26/12/25AOkapi Aalst98-107
Den Helderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HSpirou Charleroi103-94
18/02/26HZwolle73-70
14/02/26ABelfius Mons88-93
31/01/26HLeuven Bears71-66
24/01/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/01/26AOkapi Aalst85-105
11/01/26HKortrijk73-84
23/12/25ABAL Weert83-73
19/12/25ASpirou Charleroi88-70
13/12/25HMechelen68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game89.992.886.7
Allowed / game80.476.584.8
Point differential+9.5+16.4+1.9
Avg total170.3169.3171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Helder
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW30%
HomeLLWWW36%
AwayLWWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %30%36%22%
Points / game79.979.180.9
Allowed / game86.383.589.8
Point differential-6.4-4.4-8.9
Avg total166.2162.5170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2017385%96.277.1+19.1
2 Oostende2116576%88.480.7+7.8
3 Okapi Aalst2115671%94.887.0+7.8
4 Kortrijk2114767%87.980.4+7.5
5 Den Bosch2013765%87.282.5+4.7
6 Leiden2113862%86.980.4+6.5
7 Mechelen2113862%78.179.7-1.6
8 Limburg2112957%89.980.4+9.5
9 Donar Groningen1810856%82.183.6-1.5
10 Brussels Basketball21111052%85.082.3+2.8
11 Leuven Bears21111052%80.878.8+2.0
12 Spirou Charleroi1981142%83.589.1-5.5
13 Belfius Mons2181338%85.191.5-6.4
14 Den Helder2061430%79.986.3-6.4
15 LWD Basket2061430%85.094.9-9.9
16 Zwolle2161529%78.883.9-5.0
17 Rotterdam2031715%77.691.2-13.6
18 BAL Weert2121910%69.487.8-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg2216251982
Den Helder622331677
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.