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Den Helder vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-66
21-17 15-24 17-11 18-14
Position#12
Record3-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#13
Record8-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 18· Sporthal Sportlaan
Other2025-26
Meetings · Den Helder v Leuven Bears
31 Jan 2026
DEN 71
LEUV66
11 Jan 2025
DEN 65
LEUV91
20 Apr 2024
DEN 65
LEUV82
19 Mar 2023
DEN 77
LEUV87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Helder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den HelderLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelder
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 67
A07/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 67
A16/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 67
H22/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 67
A06/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
68-76
68
76
-8
50avg 67
H13/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
88-70
88
70
+18
78avg 67
A19/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
81avg 67
A23/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 67
H11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-105
85
105
-20
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
66avg 67
H24/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
22-22
22-24
24-23
20-27
16-30
23-18
23-22
24-25
17-24
27-17
12-17
24-20
17-10
14-30
16-24
13-23
16-23
19-19
20-11
29-17
17-13
15-18
27-22
30-20
12-17
23-15
18-21
22-20
13-25
20-22
18-17
24-29
26-20
20-28
15-28
18-12
17-35
17-31
24-25
167.3Avg total
79.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.987.7166.6-8.819%
Season at home (8)77.986.0163.9-8.112%
Season away (8)80.089.4169.4-9.425%
Last 10 (10)79.787.6167.3-7.920%
Last 5 (5)81.087.0168.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.089.2166.2-12.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
vs Weaker (5)75.878.8154.6-3.020%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#11
W
104-93 OT
104
93
+11
no box
H19/11
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#12
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 74
H06/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 74
H13/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 74
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
93-64
93
64
+29
91avg 74
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 74
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 74
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
91-64
91
64
+27
90avg 74
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
91avg 74
H24/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
21-17
30-15
17-32
20-24
10-17
30-14
24-16
16-20
20-22
19-21
21-17
18-23
22-14
19-19
13-34
27-16
21-19
26-16
19-13
16-22
30-10
26-10
21-21
23-20
15-8
16-23
28-24
26-12
28-19
22-21
15-12
25-22
17-24
12-22
16-14
29-18
22-22
20-21
19-28
162.6Avg total
85.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.480.2161.5+1.247%
Season at home (9)84.483.4167.9+1.056%
Season away (8)77.976.5154.4+1.438%
Last 10 (10)85.577.1162.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)85.274.6159.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.582.5155.0-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.180.3161.4+0.950%
vs Weaker (9)88.468.9157.3+19.6100%
This opponent (Den Helder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
Den HelderLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A07/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A16/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A06/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H13/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A19/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A17/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H24/01
BNXT League
84.4Avg total
40.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.443.382.7-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.842.980.6-5.121%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.884.5-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.484.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.683.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.244.782.9-6.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.541.782.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/11
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H06/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/01
BNXT League
78.7Avg total
42.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.039.781.7+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.437.376.7+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.778.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.481.6+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.341.078.3-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.540.479.9-0.943%-
vs Weaker (9)45.434.279.7+11.278%-
This opponent (Den Helder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Heldertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Helder: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.2
51.9%
54.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.0
31.2%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.912.9
68.3%
72.4%12.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.4
58.8%
54.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.817.5
76.8%
72.4%17.5
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Helder
LLLWWLLLLL
Leuven Bears
WLWWWWLLWW
#12
League position
#13
-6.9
Net rating
+16.6
99.3
Offensive rating
110.7
106.1
Defensive rating
94.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
57.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
31.2%
3-point %
36.7%
55.7%
Assist %
53.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 110.7Defence106.1 · 94.0Shooting49.5% · 57.3%3-point %31.2% · 36.7%Ball care15.4% · 19.1%Off. rebounds25.8% · 26.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Den Helder   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Den Helder wins
7
Leuven Bears wins
Den Helderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/01/26AOkapi Aalst85-105
11/01/26HKortrijk73-84
23/12/25ABAL Weert83-73
19/12/25ASpirou Charleroi88-70
13/12/25HMechelen68-76
06/12/25ALeuven Bears71-84
22/11/25HBrussels Basketball80-83
16/11/25AZwolle82-97
07/11/25AOostende91-101
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HLimburg90-89
18/01/26ABrussels Basketball70-82
10/01/26HBAL Weert91-64
03/01/26AOkapi Aalst82-75
26/12/25ABelfius Mons93-63
23/12/25HRotterdam93-64
20/12/25ALeiden72-90
13/12/25HOostende76-80
06/12/25HDen Helder84-71
19/11/25HBelfius Mons104-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Helder
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL19%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%12%25%
Points / game78.977.980.0
Allowed / game87.786.089.4
Point differential-8.8-8.1-9.4
Avg total166.6163.9169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW47%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game81.484.477.9
Allowed / game80.283.476.5
Point differential+1.2+1.0+1.4
Avg total161.5167.9154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %18%22%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1715288%90.180.1+10.0
2 Antwerp Giants1815383%95.677.3+18.2
3 Kortrijk1712571%87.980.1+7.8
4 Okapi Aalst1812667%95.987.8+8.1
5 Den Bosch1812667%86.982.0+4.9
6 Leiden1711665%88.180.1+8.1
7 Mechelen1811761%78.080.7-2.7
8 Donar Groningen159660%81.581.4+0.1
9 Brussels Basketball1710759%85.181.0+4.1
10 Limburg189950%89.781.1+8.7
11 Leuven Bears178947%81.480.2+1.2
12 Spirou Charleroi157847%82.989.0-6.1
13 LWD Basket1651131%86.895.5-8.8
14 Zwolle1751229%79.083.5-4.5
15 Belfius Mons1751229%86.494.6-8.2
16 Den Helder1631319%78.987.7-8.8
17 BAL Weert1721512%68.889.0-20.2
18 Rotterdam161156%77.494.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Den Helder2115171871
Leuven Bears1724111466
← all games of the day
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