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Limburg vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 129-78
32-19 34-27 35-18 28-14
Position#5
Record6-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game79.0
Limburg 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record3-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game97.2
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 13· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2025-26
Meetings · Limburg v LWD Basket
23 Dec 2025
LIMB129
LWD 78
10 Jan 2025
LIMB75
LWD 57
19 Apr 2023
LIMB96
LWD 77
29 Mar 2022
LIMB91
LWD 94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
W
84-75
84
75
+9
88avg 77
H17/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 77
H24/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 77
A02/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
94-62
94
62
+32
97avg 77
H07/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
64avg 77
H14/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi 2
#15
W
103-71
103
71
+32
no box
A18/11
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 77
A22/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
82-64
82
64
+18
78avg 77
H05/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
96-74
96
74
+22
104avg 77
H14/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
85avg 77
H19/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
24-13
31-17
18-20
22-18
23-16
30-28
16-15
23-16
15-17
19-34
26-24
25-14
26-18
23-15
20-15
20-13
24-24
13-21
22-24
25-20
27-18
23-16
28-17
22-20
21-25
16-16
22-24
21-21
22-15
18-13
21-15
28-14
25-19
20-16
23-25
13-25
13-32
34-16
26-21
165.4Avg total
87.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.479.0165.4+7.450%
Season at home (8)87.076.6163.6+10.462%
Season away (4)85.283.8169.0+1.525%
Last 10 (10)87.977.5165.4+10.460%
Last 5 (5)89.677.6167.2+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.389.0173.3-4.733%
vs Similar (4)81.077.5158.5+3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.878.4164.2+7.468%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
L
82-94
82
94
-12
79avg 80
H11/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
89-108
89
108
-19
70avg 80
A18/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
94-105
94
105
-11
92avg 80
H22/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
81avg 80
A25/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
73-122
73
122
-49
65avg 80
H02/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
78avg 80
A08/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-101
107
101
+6
99avg 80
A22/11
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
98-85
98
85
+13
98avg 80
H06/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
87avg 80
H13/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 80
H17/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
22-34
15-19
17-22
21-21
23-28
23-26
22-33
18-23
22-28
23-38
31-16
17-11
28-31
15-21
23-20
23-30
16-33
16-32
18-27
22-16
26-21
14-20
24-15
33-25
33-29
17-30
24-17
22-21
20-17
28-23
28-24
18-25
23-18
27-26
23-28
21-20
15-16
18-18
20-30
185.8Avg total
89.0Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.797.2185.8-8.525%
Season at home (7)86.098.1184.1-12.114%
Season away (5)92.495.8188.2-3.440%
Last 10 (10)89.096.8185.8-7.830%
Last 5 (5)91.287.8179.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)84.692.1176.7-7.426%
vs Similar (5)94.489.8184.2+4.680%
vs Weaker (6)84.380.3164.7+4.067%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
LimburgLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H17/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H07/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi 2
#15
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A18/11
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
26-57
26
57
-31
H19/12
BNXT League
81.3Avg total
43.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.384.6+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.338.380.6+4.071%-
Last 30 away (13)46.843.089.8+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.381.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.885.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.348.384.7-12.033%-
vs Similar (4)42.840.283.0+2.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.339.484.6+5.968%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H11/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H22/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
39-63
39
63
-24
H02/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A08/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A22/11
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H17/12
BNXT League
91.7Avg total
45.1Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.588.8-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.345.790.1-1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)44.343.287.5+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)45.146.691.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.688.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)42.846.489.3-3.632%-
vs Similar (5)51.643.094.6+8.680%-
vs Weaker (6)43.039.582.5+3.567%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.7
51.9%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.1
34.1%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws27.821.7
78.1%
72.4%21.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.9
52.9%
54.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.6
34.7%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.617.6
71.5%
72.4%17.6
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
LWWLWLWLWW
LWD Basket
LLWWWLLLLL
#5
League position
#15
+14.9
Net rating
-9.5
114.8
Offensive rating
110.3
99.9
Defensive rating
119.8
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.1%
3-point %
34.7%
64.2%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 110.3Defence99.9 · 119.8Shooting51.7% · 52.5%3-point %34.1% · 34.7%Ball care16.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds33.1% · 32.3%Free throws0.44 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Limburg   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Limburg wins
1
LWD Basket wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25LWD Basket v Limburg89-98 OT
10/01/25Limburg v LWD Basket75-57
19/04/23Limburg v LWD Basket96-77
29/03/23LWD Basket v Limburg75-88
29/03/22Limburg v LWD Basket91-94
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HAntwerp Giants86-94
14/12/25HSpirou Charleroi96-74
05/12/25HKortrijk82-64
22/11/25AMechelen81-85
18/11/25ASpirou Charleroi 2103-71
14/11/25HDonar Groningen79-82
07/11/25HZwolle94-62
02/11/25ADen Helder83-91
24/10/25HDen Bosch91-77
17/10/25HLeuven Bears84-75
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HBrussels Basketball74-84
13/12/25HKortrijk91-97
06/12/25HRotterdam98-85
22/11/25ABelfius Mons107-101
08/11/25ABAL Weert86-72
02/11/25HAntwerp Giants73-122
25/10/25ALeuven Bears96-100 OT
22/10/25HOkapi Aalst94-105
18/10/25ALeiden89-108
11/10/25HDen Bosch82-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %50%62%25%
Points / game86.487.085.2
Allowed / game79.076.683.8
Point differential+7.4+10.4+1.5
Avg total165.4163.6169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LWD Basket
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL25%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%14%40%
Points / game88.786.092.4
Allowed / game97.298.195.8
Point differential-8.5-12.1-3.4
Avg total185.8184.1188.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1211192%98.176.8+21.2
2 Oostende1211192%89.880.1+9.8
3 Mechelen119282%82.876.2+6.6
4 Leiden1310377%92.280.0+12.2
5 Brussels Basketball129375%87.981.8+6.1
6 Okapi Aalst128467%93.986.8+7.2
7 Den Bosch127558%87.482.7+4.8
8 Kortrijk127558%85.581.2+4.2
9 Donar Groningen137654%81.582.5-1.0
10 Limburg126650%86.479.0+7.4
11 Belfius Mons125742%91.095.1-4.1
12 Spirou Charleroi125742%81.089.5-8.5
13 Leuven Bears124833%78.883.4-4.6
14 LWD Basket123925%88.797.2-8.5
15 Zwolle1331023%79.384.5-5.2
16 Den Helder1331023%79.285.5-6.3
17 Rotterdam121118%78.894.8-16.0
18 BAL Weert131128%68.391.2-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg32343528129
LWD Basket1927181478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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